NFL Prop Research: Game Logs vs Today's Line

Harold Fannin Jr. TE

CLE vs BAL · Sun Oct 18 · 1:00 PM ET

35.5 Rec Yds O -111U -113

Hit rate · Last 20 55%11/20 Odds imply 49.8% Over

Season avg: 31.4
Graph avg: 41.2
Graph median: 38.04–114
Over the close: 53%10/19

2026 per game

Targets5.4▼-1.3

Rec3.6▼-0.9

Rec Yds31.4▼-14.3

Rec TD0.6▲+0.2

Snaps54.4▲+5.3

Snap %87.2%▲+11.3

35.5

2025

48

Sep 14
25

Sep 21
24

Sep 28
13

Oct 05
81

Oct 12
36

Oct 19
62

Oct 26
44

Nov 09
26

Nov 16
40

Nov 23
43

Nov 30
114

Dec 07
48

Dec 14
34

Dec 21
30

Dec 28
2026

21

Sep 13
54

Sep 20
51

Sep 27
27

Oct 01
4

Oct 11
?

Oct 18

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 35.5

Home 46% 5/11 · avg 42.0
Away 70% 7/10 · avg 42.6
vs BAL 50% 1/2 · avg 37.0

Alt lines last 20 · how often Over cleared

O 25.5 75% 15/20
O 30.5 60% 12/20
O 35.5 Today 55% 11/20
O 40.5 45% 9/20
O 45.5 35% 7/20

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · TEs vs BAL

What BAL allowed to TEs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

Rec Yds39.0#26
Receptions4.3#24
Targets6.1#26
Yds/Target6.4#23
Rec TD0.4#14

TEs vs BAL · 2026

Each main TE who faced BAL this season: rec yds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm+0.7

Avg diff %+15%

Beat their average60% (3/5)

Date	Player	Result	Their avg	Diff
Oct 11	Kyle Pitts	42	16.8	+151%
Oct 04	Gunnar Helm	5	13.8	-64%
Sep 27	Jake Ferguson	23	19.8	+16%
Sep 20	Juwan Johnson	66	45.5	+45%
Sep 13	Tyler Warren	13	50.0	-74%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

CLE offense

CLE offense: Share of CLE pass attempts, last 10 games
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	5%10.9 yds	6%13.1 yds	5%10.6 yds
Short	34%5.3 yds	18%7.6 yds	32%5.2 yds

Share of CLE pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

BAL defense

BAL defense: Throws BAL faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	6%16.0 yds#3	5%14.3 yds#19	7%17.7 yds#3
Short	31%5.8 yds#16	16%5.8 yds#27	35%5.2 yds#21

Throws BAL faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His targets

His targets: Last 10 games
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	5%11.3 yds	5%0.0 yds	6%15.8 yds
Short	31%7.5 yds	25%5.4 yds	29%4.8 yds

Last 10 games · Yds/target

Each pass-catcher’s share of CLE targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.

#	Player	GP	Tgt/g	Total	Share
1	KC Concepcion WR	5	5.8	29	20.0%
2	Denzel Boston WR	5	5.8	29	19.6%
3	Harold Fannin Jr. TE	5	5.4	27	18.3%
4	Quinshon Judkins RB	5	4.0	20	13.2%
5	Jerry Jeudy WR	4	3.8	15	13.1%
6	Isaiah Bond WR	3	3.0	9	9.4%
7	Raheim Sanders RB	5	2.4	12	8.6%
8	Blake Whiteheart TE	3	1.0	3	3.7%
9	Jaleel McLaughlin RB	3	0.7	2	2.2%
10	Michael Burton FB	2	0.5	1	1.7%

Game log · 20 games

Date	Wk	Opp	Rec Yds	vs 35.5	Close	Snaps
2026-10-11	5	@ NYJ	4	Under	35.5	63 (93%)
2026-10-01	4	vs PIT	27	Under	40.5	57 (89%)
2026-09-27	3	vs CAR	51	Over	37.5	60 (86%)
2026-09-20	2	@ TB	54	Over	33.5	50 (86%)
2026-09-13	1	@ JAX	21	Under	36.5	42 (82%)
2025-12-28	17	vs PIT	30	Under	49.5	12 (23%)
2025-12-21	16	vs BUF	34	Under	39.5	57 (86%)
2025-12-14	15	@ CHI	48	Over	46.5	55 (96%)
2025-12-07	14	vs TEN	114	Over	94.5	62 (90%)
2025-11-30	13	vs SF	43	Over	45.5	58 (92%)
2025-11-23	12	@ LV	40	Over	40.5	46 (90%)
2025-11-16	11	vs BAL	26	Under	10.5	40 (73%)
2025-11-09	10	@ NYJ	44	Over	35.5	48 (66%)
2025-10-26	8	@ NE	62	Over	32.5	40 (74%)
2025-10-19	7	vs MIA	36	Over	15.5	47 (82%)
2025-10-12	6	@ PIT	81	Over	57.5	66 (80%)
2025-10-05	5	vs MIN	13	Under	15.5	55 (79%)
2025-09-28	4	@ DET	24	Under	30.5	57 (85%)
2025-09-21	3	vs GB	25	Under	—	42 (64%)
2025-09-14	2	@ BAL	48	Over	45.5	46 (63%)

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 35.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: DraftKings, updated 13m ago.