NFL Prop Research: Game Logs vs Today's Line

Rashod Bateman WR

BAL vs CLE · Sun Oct 18 · 1:00 PM ET

21.5 Rec Yds O -115U -109

Hit rate · Last 20 50%10/20 Odds imply 50.6% Over

Season avg: 46.6
Graph avg: 27.4
Graph median: 19.00–88
Over the close: 28%5/18

2026 per game

Targets4.2▲+1.3

Rec3.2▲+1.7

Rec Yds46.6▲+29.4

Rec TD0.2+0.0

Snaps50.8▲+8.5

Snap %77.2%▲+7.9

21.5

2024

24

Jan 11
66

Jan 19
2025

10

Sep 07
15

Sep 14
63

Sep 22
24

Sep 28
0

Oct 05
8

Oct 12
51

Oct 26
13

Oct 30
10

Nov 09
0

Nov 27
23

Dec 07
0

Dec 21
7

Dec 27
2026

0

Sep 13
88

Sep 20
37

Sep 27
46

Oct 04
62

Oct 11
?

Oct 18

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 21.5

Home 67% 12/18 · avg 34.5
Away 67% 12/18 · avg 37.9
vs CLE 67% 2/3 · avg 39.7

Alt lines last 20 · how often Over cleared

O 11.5 60% 12/20
O 16.5 50% 10/20
O 21.5 Today 50% 10/20
O 26.5 35% 7/20
O 31.5 35% 7/20

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · WRs vs CLE

What CLE allowed to WRs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

Rec Yds132.4#20
Receptions10.2#24
Targets17.6#16
Yds/Target7.5#24
Rec TD1.3#2

WRs vs CLE · 2026

Each main WR who faced CLE this season: rec yds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm-24.4

Avg diff %-36%

Beat their average20% (2/10)

Date	Player	Result	Their avg	Diff
Oct 11	Garrett Wilson	104	67.5	+54%
Oct 11	Isaiah Williams	16	33.8	-53%
Oct 01	Germie Bernard	11	43.0	-74%
Oct 01	Michael Pittman	15	37.0	-59%
Sep 27	Tetairoa McMillan	17	122.7	-86%
Sep 27	Jalen Coker	18	102.0	-82%
Sep 20	Emeka Egbuka	16	44.0	-64%
Sep 20	Ted Hurst III	27	33.7	-20%
Sep 13	Parker Washington	83	67.2	+23%
Sep 13	Jakobi Meyers	40	40.5	-1%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

BAL offense

BAL offense: Share of BAL pass attempts, last 10 games
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	8%19.9 yds	3%14.1 yds	7%14.9 yds
Short	27%6.6 yds	24%9.8 yds	31%5.3 yds

Share of BAL pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

CLE defense

CLE defense: Throws CLE faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	8%7.8 yds#26	5%16.4 yds#13	7%6.2 yds#30
Short	30%4.7 yds#31	14%7.0 yds#15	37%6.1 yds#8

Throws CLE faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His targets

His targets: Last 10 games
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	17%9.8 yds	3%22.0 yds	17%11.2 yds
Short	30%8.8 yds	10%9.7 yds	23%5.4 yds

Last 10 games · Yds/target

Each pass-catcher’s share of BAL targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.

#	Player	GP	Tgt/g	Total	Share
1	Zay Flowers WR	4	7.8	31	29.6%
2	Mark Andrews TE	5	6.0	30	22.8%
3	Rashod Bateman WR	5	4.2	21	15.3%
4	Ja'Kobi Lane WR	1	3.0	3	12.5%
5	Chris Moore WR	3	2.0	6	7.9%
6	Matthew Hibner TE	3	1.7	5	7.0%
7	Justice Hill RB	5	2.0	10	6.9%
8	Elijah Sarratt WR	1	2.0	2	6.9%
9	Derrick Henry RB	5	1.8	9	6.6%
10	Devontez Walker WR	4	1.8	7	6.3%

Game log · 20 games

Date	Wk	Opp	Rec Yds	vs 21.5	Close	Snaps
2026-10-11	5	@ ATL	62	Over	17.5	61 (80%)
2026-10-04	4	vs TEN	46	Over	26.5	30 (47%)
2026-09-27	3	@ DAL	37	Over	39.5	56 (88%)
2026-09-20	2	vs NO	88	Over	39.5	54 (93%)
2026-09-13	1	@ IND	0	Under	26.5	53 (78%)
2025-12-27	17	@ GB	7	Under	7.5	40 (53%)
2025-12-21	16	vs NE	0	Under	0.5	38 (69%)
2025-12-07	14	vs PIT	23	Over	23.5	69 (86%)
2025-11-27	13	vs CIN	0	Under	0.5	44 (73%)
2025-11-09	10	@ MIN	10	Under	10.5	43 (61%)
2025-10-30	9	@ MIA	13	Under	30.5	40 (71%)
2025-10-26	8	vs CHI	51	Over	17.5	49 (79%)
2025-10-12	6	vs LA	8	Under	10.5	44 (56%)
2025-10-05	5	vs HOU	0	Under	10.5	35 (81%)
2025-09-28	4	@ KC	24	Over	36.5	44 (80%)
2025-09-22	3	vs DET	63	Over	50.5	34 (60%)
2025-09-14	2	vs CLE	15	Under	15.5	33 (59%)
2025-09-07	1	@ BUF	10	Under	10.5	37 (73%)
2025-01-19	20 (P)	@ BUF	66	Over	—	37 (63%)
2025-01-11	19 (P)	vs PIT	24	Over	—	36 (49%)

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 21.5Underdog 39.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: DraftKings, updated 11m ago.