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Game logs through Oct 15, 2026 · 181 players

Jaylen Warren RB

PIT vs TB ·

60.5 Rush Yds O -112U -112
Hit rate · Last 5 60%3/5 Odds imply 50.0% Over
Season avg
82.0
Graph avg
82.0
Graph median
93.043–127
Over the close
100%5/5
2026 per game
Carries14.0â–²+0.9
Rush Yds82.0â–²+23.1
Rush TD0.2â–¼-0.2
Targets5.2â–²+2.5
Rec3.8â–²+1.4
Rec Yds46.0â–²+26.2
Snaps50.6â–²+20.3
Snap %76.4%â–²+25.9
Over 60.5 in 3 straight
Jaylen Warren rushing yards by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 60.5.
60.5
  1. 2026
    46
  2. 43
  3. 127
  4. 93
  5. 101
  6. ?

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 60.5

  • Home 32% 6/19 · avg 51.6
  • Away 37% 7/19 · avg 49.8
  • vs TB No games

Alt lines last 5 · how often Over cleared

  • O 40.5 100% 5/5
  • O 50.5 60% 3/5
  • O 60.5 Today 60% 3/5
  • O 70.5 60% 3/5
  • O 80.5 60% 3/5

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · RBs vs TB

What TB allowed to RBs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

Rush YdsYds/CarryRush TDTargetsRec Yds
  • Rush Yds71.1#28
  • Yds/Carry3.9#22
  • Rush TD0.4#29
  • Targets5.8#11
  • Rec Yds35.7#9

RBs vs TB · 2026

Each main RB who faced TB this season: rush yds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm-15.0
Avg diff %-29%
Beat their average20% (1/5)
DatePlayerResultTheir avgDiff
Oct 08 Javonte Williams4557.8-22%
Oct 04 MarShawn Lloyd1324.8-47%
Sep 27 Aaron Jones5888.0-34%
Sep 20 Quinshon Judkins2150.0-58%
Sep 13 Chase Brown5647.5+18%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

PIT offense

PIT offense: Share of PIT pass attempts, last 10 games
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep8%7.0 yds4%15.5 yds9%5.6 yds
Short30%5.1 yds18%8.3 yds32%5.2 yds

Share of PIT pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

TB defense

TB defense: Throws TB faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep7%9.7 yds#205%12.7 yds#226%9.3 yds#24
Short34%7.0 yds#416%7.7 yds#1332%5.8 yds#12

Throws TB faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His targets

His targets: Last 10 games
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep0% 0% 0% 
Short28%3.8 yds12%14.2 yds60%9.4 yds

Last 10 games · Yds/target

Target share · PIT 2026

Each pass-catcher’s share of PIT targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.

#PlayerGPTgt/gTotalShare
1DK Metcalf WR57.43720.8%
2Pat Freiermuth TE55.22615.2%
3Jaylen Warren RB55.22615.1%
4Germie Bernard WR45.02015.0%
5Roman Wilson WR55.02514.1%
6Michael Pittman WR34.01211.5%
7Rico Dowdle RB23.579.5%
8Darnell Washington TE53.2169.3%
9Ben Skowronek WR31.343.7%
10Robert Tonyan TE11.013.2%

Game log · 5 games

DateWkOppRush Ydsvs 60.5CloseSnaps
2026-10-115vs IND101Over73.552 (87%)
2026-10-014@ CLE93Over75.570 (97%)
2026-09-273vs CIN127Over57.556 (90%)
2026-09-202@ NE43Under42.550 (71%)
2026-09-131vs ATL46Under42.525 (37%)

Pick’em lines: Underdog 59.5PrizePicks 60.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: DraftKings, updated 16m ago.