NFL Prop Research: Game Logs vs Today's Line

Davis Allen TE

LAR vs ARI · Sun Oct 18 · 4:05 PM ET

6.5 Rec Yds O -106U -118

Hit rate · Last 10 70%7/10 Odds imply 48.7% Over

Season avg: 12.6
Graph avg: 13.8
Graph median: 14.50–34
Over the close: 50%4/8

2026 per game

Targets1.8▼-0.4

Rec1.2▼-0.4

Rec Yds12.6▼-1.3

Rec TD0.0▼-0.2

Snaps33.0▼-2.9

Snap %44.0%▼-7.7

6.5

2025

4

Nov 30
21

Dec 07
16

Dec 14
34

Dec 18
0

Jan 04
2026

13

Sep 10
7

Sep 21
19

Sep 27
0

Oct 04
24

Oct 12
?

Oct 18

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 6.5

Home 67% 10/15 · avg 14.0
Away 46% 6/13 · avg 8.7
vs ARI 33% 1/3 · avg 7.0

Alt lines last 10 · how often Over cleared

O 1.5 80% 8/10
O 6.5 Today 70% 7/10
O 11.5 60% 6/10
O 16.5 40% 4/10

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · TEs vs ARI

What ARI allowed to TEs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

Rec Yds78.7#2
Receptions6.8#3
Targets8.7#3
Yds/Target9.0#3
Rec TD1.0#3

TEs vs ARI · 2026

Each main TE who faced ARI this season: rec yds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm+6.2

Avg diff %-4%

Beat their average60% (3/5)

Date	Player	Result	Their avg	Diff
Oct 11	Sam LaPorta	88	57.0	+54%
Oct 04	Isaiah Likely	66	54.5	+21%
Sep 27	George Kittle	82	46.5	+76%
Sep 20	AJ Barner	8	26.0	-69%
Sep 13	Charlie Kolar	0	29.0	-100%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

LAR offense

LAR offense: Share of LAR pass attempts, last 10 games
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	9%7.3 yds	3%9.9 yds	15%11.6 yds
Short	23%6.7 yds	18%7.9 yds	33%5.6 yds

Share of LAR pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

ARI defense

ARI defense: Throws ARI faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	7%14.5 yds#5	3%14.6 yds#17	10%12.2 yds#11
Short	30%6.1 yds#12	18%8.6 yds#5	31%7.3 yds#2

Throws ARI faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His targets

His targets: Last 10 games
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	4%0.0 yds	4%21.0 yds	4%0.0 yds
Short	36%7.5 yds	4%7.0 yds	46%5.0 yds

Last 10 games · Yds/target

Each pass-catcher’s share of LA targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.

#	Player	GP	Tgt/g	Total	Share
1	Puka Nacua WR	3	15.0	45	33.9%
2	Davante Adams WR	5	9.0	45	22.6%
3	Kyren Williams RB	5	6.6	33	14.6%
4	Tyler Higbee TE	4	6.2	25	13.2%
5	Terrance Ferguson TE	3	4.0	12	12.6%
6	Konata Mumpfield WR	4	3.5	14	8.2%
7	Colby Parkinson TE	4	1.8	7	5.0%
8	Blake Corum RB	5	2.2	11	4.6%
9	Davis Allen TE	5	1.8	9	4.2%
10	Ronnie Rivers RB	1	1.0	1	3.7%

Game log · 10 games

Date	Wk	Opp	Rec Yds	vs 6.5	Close	Snaps
2026-10-12	5	vs BUF	24	Over	5.5	41 (50%)
2026-10-04	4	@ PHI	0	Under	11.5	40 (48%)
2026-09-27	3	@ DEN	19	Over	24.5	31 (36%)
2026-09-21	2	vs NYG	7	Over	4.5	32 (52%)
2026-09-10	1	vs SF	13	Over	—	21 (34%)
2026-01-04	18	vs ARI	0	Under	—	53 (71%)
2025-12-18	16	@ SEA	34	Over	27.5	60 (65%)
2025-12-14	15	vs DET	16	Over	16.5	54 (75%)
2025-12-07	14	@ ARI	21	Over	10.5	50 (71%)
2025-11-30	13	@ CAR	4	Under	10.5	20 (38%)

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 6.5Underdog 14.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: DraftKings, updated 11m ago.