NFL Prop Research: Game Logs vs Today's Line

Wan'Dale Robinson WR

TEN vs IND · Sun Oct 18 · 1:00 PM ET

38.5 Rec Yds O -115U -115

Hit rate · All 55%21/38 Odds imply 50.0% Over

Season avg: 35.2
Graph avg: 49.7
Graph median: 45.06–156
Over the close: 45%9/20

2026 per game

Targets6.0▼-2.8

Rec4.4▼-1.3

Rec Yds35.2▼-28.2

Rec TD0.4▲+0.2

Snaps39.4▼-21.4

Snap %68.0%▼-22.8

38.5

2024

44

Sep 08
18

Sep 15
61

Sep 22
71

Sep 26
36

Oct 06
50

Oct 13
23

Oct 20
30

Oct 28
10

Nov 03
51

Nov 10
47

Nov 24
6

Nov 28
38

Dec 08
38

Dec 15
62

Dec 22
71

Dec 29
43

Jan 05
2025

55

Sep 07
142

Sep 14
26

Sep 21
14

Sep 28
30

Oct 05
84

Oct 09
95

Oct 19
48

Oct 26
46

Nov 02
62

Nov 09
36

Nov 16
156

Nov 23
34

Dec 01
54

Dec 14
19

Dec 21
113

Dec 28
2026

38

Sep 13
9

Sep 20
57

Sep 27
19

Oct 04
53

Oct 11
?

Oct 18

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 38.5

Home 47% 9/19 · avg 40.6
Away 63% 12/19 · avg 58.8
vs IND 100% 1/1 · avg 71.0

Alt lines all · how often Over cleared

O 28.5 76% 29/38
O 33.5 71% 27/38
O 38.5 Today 55% 21/38
O 43.5 53% 20/38
O 48.5 42% 16/38

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · WRs vs IND

What IND allowed to WRs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

Rec Yds168.9#7
Receptions12.0#11
Targets18.9#10
Yds/Target8.9#6
Rec TD0.9#16

WRs vs IND · 2026

Each main WR who faced IND this season: rec yds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm-6.2

Avg diff %-17%

Beat their average40% (4/10)

Date	Player	Result	Their avg	Diff
Oct 11	DK Metcalf	12	53.2	-77%
Oct 11	Roman Wilson	0	47.0	-100%
Oct 04	Stefon Diggs	35	45.0	-22%
Oct 04	Antonio Williams	21	33.5	-37%
Sep 27	Jaylin Noel	17	52.5	-68%
Sep 27	Xavier Hutchinson	51	45.0	+13%
Sep 20	Rashee Rice	83	53.5	+55%
Sep 20	Tyquan Thornton	86	44.3	+94%
Sep 13	Zay Flowers	150	85.0	+76%
Sep 13	Rashod Bateman	0	58.2	-100%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

TEN offense

TEN offense: Share of TEN pass attempts, last 10 games
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	7%5.7 yds	2%16.8 yds	7%14.4 yds
Short	34%5.3 yds	10%4.1 yds	40%4.4 yds

Share of TEN pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

IND defense

IND defense: Throws IND faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	7%13.6 yds#8	3%12.3 yds#24	10%12.0 yds#12
Short	28%6.1 yds#11	21%8.8 yds#4	32%5.9 yds#11

Throws IND faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His targets

His targets: Last 10 games
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	12%11.8 yds	1%0.0 yds	5%14.0 yds
Short	24%6.6 yds	23%5.0 yds	34%5.4 yds

Last 10 games · Yds/target

Each pass-catcher’s share of TEN targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.

#	Player	GP	Tgt/g	Total	Share
1	Carnell Tate WR	5	7.4	37	26.7%
2	Wan'Dale Robinson WR	5	6.0	30	19.3%
3	Tyjae Spears RB	5	3.2	16	11.1%
4	Gunnar Helm TE	5	2.6	13	9.5%
5	Elic Ayomanor WR	5	2.4	12	9.2%
6	Tony Pollard RB	5	2.4	12	8.3%
7	Calvin Ridley WR	4	2.0	8	7.6%
8	Daniel Bellinger TE	5	1.4	7	4.9%
9	Chimere Dike WR	5	1.4	7	4.3%
10	Kylen Granson TE	1	1.0	1	2.9%

Game log · 38 games

Date	Wk	Opp	Rec Yds	vs 38.5	Close	Snaps
2026-10-11	5	vs HOU	53	Over	32.5	47 (75%)
2026-10-04	4	@ BAL	19	Under	37.5	43 (67%)
2026-09-27	3	@ NYG	57	Over	30.5	38 (63%)
2026-09-20	2	vs PHI	9	Under	37.5	28 (53%)
2026-09-13	1	vs NYJ	38	Under	41.5	41 (82%)
2025-12-28	17	@ LV	113	Over	113.5	48 (75%)
2025-12-21	16	vs MIN	19	Under	25.5	55 (98%)
2025-12-14	15	vs WAS	54	Over	57.5	67 (99%)
2025-12-01	13	@ NE	34	Under	36.5	55 (100%)
2025-11-23	12	@ DET	156	Over	153.5	68 (83%)
2025-11-16	11	vs GB	36	Under	—	70 (97%)
2025-11-09	10	@ CHI	62	Over	49.5	72 (99%)
2025-11-02	9	vs SF	46	Over	52.5	57 (100%)
2025-10-26	8	@ PHI	48	Over	20.5	51 (98%)
2025-10-19	7	@ DEN	95	Over	76.5	70 (91%)
2025-10-09	6	vs PHI	84	Over	90.5	67 (97%)
2025-10-05	5	@ NO	30	Under	38.5	69 (95%)
2025-09-28	4	vs LAC	14	Under	14.5	74 (97%)
2025-09-21	3	vs KC	26	Under	10.5	51 (77%)
2025-09-14	2	@ DAL	142	Over	38.5	47 (70%)
2025-09-07	1	@ WAS	55	Over	35.5	52 (76%)
2025-01-05	18	@ PHI	43	Over	—	39 (74%)
2024-12-29	17	vs IND	71	Over	—	36 (64%)
2024-12-22	16	@ ATL	62	Over	—	55 (93%)
2024-12-15	15	vs BAL	38	Under	—	52 (76%)
2024-12-08	14	vs NO	38	Under	—	77 (99%)
2024-11-28	13	@ DAL	6	Under	—	48 (76%)
2024-11-24	12	vs TB	47	Over	—	49 (83%)
2024-11-10	10	@ CAR	51	Over	—	49 (65%)
2024-11-03	9	vs WAS	10	Under	—	47 (72%)
2024-10-28	8	@ PIT	30	Under	—	62 (86%)
2024-10-20	7	vs PHI	23	Under	—	49 (84%)
2024-10-13	6	vs CIN	50	Over	—	64 (81%)
2024-10-06	5	@ SEA	36	Under	—	59 (82%)
2024-09-26	4	vs DAL	71	Over	—	45 (65%)
2024-09-22	3	@ CLE	61	Over	—	43 (60%)
2024-09-15	2	@ WAS	18	Under	—	35 (63%)
2024-09-08	1	vs MIN	44	Over	—	48 (68%)

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 38.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: BetMGM, updated 10m ago.