NFL Prop Research: Game Logs vs Today's Line

Gunnar Helm TE

TEN vs IND · Sun Oct 18 · 1:00 PM ET

15.5 Rec Yds O -114U -114

Hit rate · All 48%10/21 Odds imply 50.0% Over

Season avg: 12.0
Graph avg: 19.9
Graph median: 15.00–51
Over the close: 62%13/21

2026 per game

Targets2.6▼-0.8

Rec1.8▼-0.9

Rec Yds12.0▼-10.3

Rec TD0.0▼-0.1

Snaps44.8▲+11.5

Snap %77.6%▲+25.0

15.5

2025

16

Sep 07
9

Sep 14
27

Sep 21
12

Sep 28
34

Oct 05
15

Oct 12
36

Oct 19
23

Oct 26
15

Nov 02
29

Nov 16
51

Nov 23
23

Nov 30
8

Dec 07
49

Dec 14
9

Dec 21
1

Dec 28
2026

28

Sep 13
13

Sep 20
14

Sep 27
5

Oct 04
0

Oct 11
?

Oct 18

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 15.5

Home 50% 6/12 · avg 20.1
Away 44% 4/9 · avg 19.6
vs IND 100% 2/2 · avg 25.0

Alt lines all · how often Over cleared

O 5.5 86% 18/21
O 10.5 71% 15/21
O 15.5 Today 48% 10/21
O 20.5 43% 9/21
O 25.5 33% 7/21

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · TEs vs IND

What IND allowed to TEs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

Rec Yds58.6#9
Receptions5.2#16
Targets7.7#10
Yds/Target7.6#11
Rec TD0.5#8

TEs vs IND · 2026

Each main TE who faced IND this season: rec yds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm+5.2

Avg diff %+14%

Beat their average60% (3/5)

Date	Player	Result	Their avg	Diff
Oct 11	Pat Freiermuth	44	31.2	+41%
Oct 04	Chig Okonkwo	5	38.0	-87%
Sep 27	Dalton Schultz	30	53.5	-44%
Sep 20	Travis Kelce	101	48.3	+109%
Sep 13	Mark Andrews	49	32.0	+53%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

TEN offense

TEN offense: Share of TEN pass attempts, last 10 games
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	7%5.7 yds	2%16.8 yds	7%14.4 yds
Short	34%5.3 yds	10%4.1 yds	40%4.4 yds

Share of TEN pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

IND defense

IND defense: Throws IND faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	7%13.6 yds#8	3%12.3 yds#24	10%12.0 yds#12
Short	28%6.1 yds#11	21%8.8 yds#4	32%5.9 yds#11

Throws IND faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His targets

His targets: Last 10 games
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	0%	0%	3%34.0 yds
Short	36%3.9 yds	16%1.8 yds	45%4.6 yds

Last 10 games · Yds/target

Each pass-catcher’s share of TEN targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.

#	Player	GP	Tgt/g	Total	Share
1	Carnell Tate WR	5	7.4	37	26.7%
2	Wan'Dale Robinson WR	5	6.0	30	19.3%
3	Tyjae Spears RB	5	3.2	16	11.1%
4	Gunnar Helm TE	5	2.6	13	9.5%
5	Elic Ayomanor WR	5	2.4	12	9.2%
6	Tony Pollard RB	5	2.4	12	8.3%
7	Calvin Ridley WR	4	2.0	8	7.6%
8	Daniel Bellinger TE	5	1.4	7	4.9%
9	Chimere Dike WR	5	1.4	7	4.3%
10	Kylen Granson TE	1	1.0	1	2.9%

Game log · 21 games

Date	Wk	Opp	Rec Yds	vs 15.5	Close	Snaps
2026-10-11	5	vs HOU	0	Under	16.5	45 (71%)
2026-10-04	4	@ BAL	5	Under	19.5	46 (72%)
2026-09-27	3	@ NYG	14	Under	21.5	49 (82%)
2026-09-20	2	vs PHI	13	Under	22.5	46 (87%)
2026-09-13	1	vs NYJ	28	Over	20.5	38 (76%)
2025-12-28	17	vs NO	1	Under	1.5	43 (58%)
2025-12-21	16	vs KC	9	Under	24.5	52 (71%)
2025-12-14	15	@ SF	49	Over	40.5	26 (49%)
2025-12-07	14	@ CLE	8	Under	8.5	44 (67%)
2025-11-30	13	vs JAX	23	Over	20.5	31 (53%)
2025-11-23	12	vs SEA	51	Over	24.5	48 (63%)
2025-11-16	11	vs HOU	29	Over	12.5	38 (64%)
2025-11-02	9	vs LAC	15	Under	10.5	21 (45%)
2025-10-26	8	@ IND	23	Over	10.5	37 (52%)
2025-10-19	7	vs NE	36	Over	16.5	28 (53%)
2025-10-12	6	@ LV	15	Under	10.5	29 (48%)
2025-10-05	5	@ ARI	34	Over	13.5	44 (66%)
2025-09-28	4	@ HOU	12	Under	10.5	20 (40%)
2025-09-21	3	vs IND	27	Over	6.5	27 (39%)
2025-09-14	2	vs LA	9	Under	8.5	22 (33%)
2025-09-07	1	@ DEN	16	Over	16.5	23 (40%)

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 17.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: FanDuel, updated 10m ago.