NFL Prop Research: Game Logs vs Today's Line

Jakobi Meyers WR

JAX vs HOU · Sun Oct 18 · 9:30 AM ET

34.5 Rec Yds O -114U -114

Hit rate · Last 10 70%7/10 Odds imply 50.0% Over

Season avg: 40.4
Graph avg: 41.3
Graph median: 39.512–71
Over the close: 40%4/10

2026 per game

Targets3.6▼-3.1

Rec3.0▼-1.5

Rec Yds40.4▼-9.4

Rec TD0.4▲+0.2

Snaps50.2▼-4.3

Snap %80.6%▼-5.0

34.5

2025

71

Dec 14
45

Dec 21
39

Dec 28
44

Jan 04
12

Jan 11
2026

40

Sep 13
28

Sep 20
64

Sep 27
33

Oct 04
37

Oct 11
?

Oct 18

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 34.5

Home 84% 16/19 · avg 54.6
Away 72% 13/18 · avg 57.7
vs HOU 100% 1/1 · avg 41.0

Alt lines last 10 · how often Over cleared

O 24.5 90% 9/10
O 29.5 80% 8/10
O 34.5 Today 70% 7/10
O 39.5 50% 5/10
O 44.5 30% 3/10

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · WRs vs HOU

What HOU allowed to WRs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

Rec Yds167.2#8
Receptions11.8#13
Targets18.9#9
Yds/Target8.8#9
Rec TD1.1#8

WRs vs HOU · 2026

Each main WR who faced HOU this season: rec yds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm+7.4

Avg diff %+12%

Beat their average60% (6/10)

Date	Player	Result	Their avg	Diff
Oct 11	Carnell Tate	6	67.0	-91%
Oct 11	Wan'Dale Robinson	53	30.8	+72%
Oct 04	CeeDee Lamb	189	79.5	+138%
Oct 04	George Pickens	75	70.0	+7%
Sep 27	Josh Downs	77	43.0	+79%
Sep 27	Laquon Treadwell	20	34.2	-42%
Sep 20	Tee Higgins	95	82.0	+16%
Sep 20	Ja'Marr Chase	75	53.5	+40%
Sep 13	Keon Coleman	1	55.8	-98%
Sep 13	Khalil Shakir	50	51.5	-3%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

JAX offense

JAX offense: Share of JAX pass attempts, last 10 games
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	10%9.4 yds	4%18.1 yds	7%11.5 yds
Short	34%6.8 yds	16%6.6 yds	28%7.9 yds

Share of JAX pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

HOU defense

HOU defense: Throws HOU faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	10%12.6 yds#11	3%22.5 yds#2	7%13.0 yds#7
Short	28%5.1 yds#28	19%6.9 yds#17	33%4.5 yds#29

Throws HOU faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His targets

His targets: Last 10 games
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	6%27.0 yds	10%13.2 yds	2%0.0 yds
Short	29%5.4 yds	23%7.4 yds	31%6.0 yds

Last 10 games · Yds/target

Each pass-catcher’s share of JAX targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.

#	Player	GP	Tgt/g	Total	Share
1	Parker Washington WR	5	7.0	35	25.3%
2	Brenton Strange TE	5	5.2	26	19.2%
3	Jakobi Meyers WR	5	3.6	18	13.6%
4	Brian Thomas Jr. WR	5	3.4	17	12.6%
5	Josh Cameron WR	5	2.4	12	8.3%
6	Bhayshul Tuten RB	5	2.0	10	7.2%
7	Nate Boerkircher TE	4	1.5	6	5.6%
8	LeQuint Allen Jr. RB	4	1.2	5	4.1%
9	Ameer Abdullah RB	5	0.6	3	2.4%
10	Quintin Morris TE	4	0.5	2	2.1%

Game log · 10 games

Date	Wk	Opp	Rec Yds	vs 34.5	Close	Snaps
2026-10-11	5	vs PHI	37	Over	41.5	61 (85%)
2026-10-04	4	@ CIN	33	Under	41.5	50 (82%)
2026-09-27	3	vs NE	64	Over	35.5	50 (81%)
2026-09-20	2	@ DEN	28	Under	37.5	53 (90%)
2026-09-13	1	vs CLE	40	Over	37.5	37 (65%)
2026-01-11	19 (P)	vs BUF	12	Under	12.5	54 (96%)
2026-01-04	18	vs TEN	44	Over	40.5	48 (79%)
2025-12-28	17	@ IND	39	Over	30.5	65 (94%)
2025-12-21	16	@ DEN	45	Over	45.5	60 (86%)
2025-12-14	15	vs NYJ	71	Over	75.5	54 (87%)

Pick’em lines: Underdog 29.5PrizePicks 34.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: FanDuel, updated 11m ago.