NFL Prop Research: Game Logs vs Today's Line

Tutu Atwell WR

LAR vs ARI · Sun Oct 18 · 4:05 PM ET

14.5 Rec Yds

Hit rate · Last 20 50%10/20 Odds imply —

Season avg: 10.3
Graph avg: 21.9
Graph median: 15.00–88
Over the close: 38%3/8

2026 per game

Targets1.3▼-0.5

Rec1.0▲+0.2

Rec Yds10.3▼-13.7

Rec TD0.0▼-0.1

Snaps20.7▼-0.5

Snap %26.7%▼-5.3

14.5

2024

6

Nov 11
21

Nov 17
30

Nov 24
39

Dec 01
45

Dec 08
6

Dec 12
12

Dec 22
37

Jan 05
18

Jan 19
2025

4

Sep 07
0

Sep 14
0

Sep 21
88

Sep 28
72

Oct 02
9

Dec 14
0

Dec 29
19

Jan 04
2026

19

Sep 21
8

Oct 04
4

Oct 12
?

Oct 18

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 14.5

Home 73% 11/15 · avg 36.9
Away 50% 6/12 · avg 20.8
vs ARI 100% 2/2 · avg 33.5

Alt lines last 20 · how often Over cleared

O 4.5 75% 15/20
O 9.5 55% 11/20
O 14.5 Today 50% 10/20
O 19.5 35% 7/20
O 24.5 30% 6/20

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · WRs vs ARI

What ARI allowed to WRs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

Rec Yds141.7#17
Receptions9.7#28
Targets15.5#30
Yds/Target9.1#5
Rec TD1.7#1

WRs vs ARI · 2026

Each main WR who faced ARI this season: rec yds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm+7.1

Avg diff %+16%

Beat their average40% (4/10)

Date	Player	Result	Their avg	Diff
Oct 11	Amon-Ra St. Brown	69	75.8	-9%
Oct 11	Jameson Williams	47	57.2	-18%
Oct 04	Malik Nabers	112	54.2	+106%
Oct 04	Darnell Mooney	0	27.2	-100%
Sep 27	Mike Evans	34	73.0	-53%
Sep 27	Deebo Samuel Sr.	80	31.5	+154%
Sep 20	Jaxon Smith-Njigba	155	112.4	+38%
Sep 20	Cooper Kupp	20	31.8	-37%
Sep 13	Tre Harris	20	51.2	-61%
Sep 13	Ladd McConkey	82	33.7	+144%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

LAR offense

LAR offense: Share of LAR pass attempts, last 10 games
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	9%7.3 yds	3%9.9 yds	15%11.6 yds
Short	23%6.7 yds	18%7.9 yds	33%5.6 yds

Share of LAR pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

ARI defense

ARI defense: Throws ARI faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	7%14.5 yds#5	3%14.6 yds#17	10%12.2 yds#11
Short	30%6.1 yds#12	18%8.6 yds#5	31%7.3 yds#2

Throws ARI faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His targets

His targets: Last 10 games
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	39%15.3 yds	6%34.0 yds	11%19.0 yds
Short	11%4.0 yds	11%0.0 yds	22%8.0 yds

Last 10 games · Yds/target

Each pass-catcher’s share of LA targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.

#	Player	GP	Tgt/g	Total	Share
1	Puka Nacua WR	3	15.0	45	33.9%
2	Davante Adams WR	5	9.0	45	22.6%
3	Kyren Williams RB	5	6.6	33	14.6%
4	Tyler Higbee TE	4	6.2	25	13.2%
5	Terrance Ferguson TE	3	4.0	12	12.6%
6	Konata Mumpfield WR	4	3.5	14	8.2%
7	Colby Parkinson TE	4	1.8	7	5.0%
8	Blake Corum RB	5	2.2	11	4.6%
9	Davis Allen TE	5	1.8	9	4.2%
10	Ronnie Rivers RB	1	1.0	1	3.7%

Game log · 20 games

Date	Wk	Opp	Rec Yds	vs 14.5	Close	Snaps
2026-10-12	5	vs BUF	4	Under	14.5	32 (39%)
2026-10-04	4	@ PHI	8	Under	—	19 (23%)
2026-09-21	2	vs NYG	19	Over	6.5	11 (18%)
2026-01-04	18	vs ARI	19	Over	—	10 (13%)
2025-12-29	17	@ ATL	0	Under	—	13 (20%)
2025-12-14	15	vs DET	9	Under	10.5	4 (6%)
2025-10-02	5	vs SF	72	Over	35.5	45 (66%)
2025-09-28	4	vs IND	88	Over	10.5	21 (28%)
2025-09-21	3	@ PHI	0	Under	8.5	25 (38%)
2025-09-14	2	@ TEN	0	Under	20.5	26 (43%)
2025-09-07	1	vs HOU	4	Under	10.5	25 (42%)
2025-01-19	20 (P)	@ PHI	18	Over	—	2 (3%)
2025-01-05	18	vs SEA	37	Over	—	36 (55%)
2024-12-22	16	@ NYJ	12	Under	—	11 (21%)
2024-12-12	15	@ SF	6	Under	—	20 (31%)
2024-12-08	14	vs BUF	45	Over	—	35 (45%)
2024-12-01	13	@ NO	39	Over	—	22 (39%)
2024-11-24	12	vs PHI	30	Over	—	17 (27%)
2024-11-17	11	@ NE	21	Over	—	7 (13%)
2024-11-11	10	vs MIA	6	Under	—	13 (19%)

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 6.5Underdog 14.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: Underdog, updated 12m ago.