NFL Prop Research

TS

Tyjae Spears RB

TEN vs IND · Sun Oct 18 · 1:00 PM ET

12.5 Rush Yds

Hit rate · Last 20 60%12/20 Odds imply —

Season avg

13.0

Graph avg

23.5

Graph median

18.5-1–95

Over the close

33%6/18

2026 per game

Carries3.4▼-2.1

Rush Yds13.0▼-8.8

Rush TD0.0▼-0.2

Targets3.2▼-0.6

Rec2.8▼-0.7

Rec Yds13.6▼-6.7

Snaps25.8▼-3.0

Snap %44.6%▼-1.3

Splits all logged games · over 12.5

• Home 44% 7/16 · avg 15.1
• Away 79% 11/14 · avg 29.9
• vs IND 100% 3/3 · avg 37.7

Alt lines last 20 · how often Over cleared

• O 2.5 85% 17/20
• O 7.5 65% 13/20
• O 12.5 Today 60% 12/20
• O 17.5 55% 11/20
• O 22.5 40% 8/20

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · RBs vs IND

What IND allowed to RBs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

• Rush Yds97.9#13
• Yds/Carry4.5#11
• Rush TD0.7#13
• Targets5.3#18
• Rec Yds33.3#15

RBs vs IND · 2026

Each main RB who faced IND this season: rush yds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm+0.5

Avg diff %-8%

Beat their average40% (2/5)

Date	Player	Result	Their avg	Diff
Oct 11	PIT Jaylen Warren	101	77.2	+31%
Oct 04	WAS Jacory Croskey-Merritt	15	56.0	-73%
Sep 27	HOU Woody Marks	15	33.5	-55%
Sep 20	KC Kenneth Walker III	117	140.0	-16%
Sep 13	BAL Derrick Henry	144	83.0	+73%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

TEN offense

TEN offense: Share of TEN pass attempts, last 10 games

Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	7%5.7 yds	2%16.8 yds	7%14.4 yds
Short	34%5.3 yds	10%4.1 yds	40%4.4 yds

Share of TEN pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

IND defense

IND defense: Throws IND faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed

Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	7%13.6 yds#8	3%12.3 yds#24	10%12.0 yds#12
Short	28%6.1 yds#11	21%8.8 yds#4	32%5.9 yds#11

Throws IND faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His targets

His targets: Last 10 games

Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	0%	0%	0%
Short	31%3.3 yds	7%7.0 yds	62%4.6 yds

Last 10 games · Yds/target

Target share · TEN 2026

Each pass-catcher’s share of TEN targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.

#	Player	GP	Tgt/g	Total	Share
1	Carnell Tate WR	5	7.4	37	26.7%
2	Wan'Dale Robinson WR	5	6.0	30	19.3%
3	Tyjae Spears RB	5	3.2	16	11.1%
4	Gunnar Helm TE	5	2.6	13	9.5%
5	Elic Ayomanor WR	5	2.4	12	9.2%
6	Tony Pollard RB	5	2.4	12	8.3%
7	Calvin Ridley WR	4	2.0	8	7.6%
8	Daniel Bellinger TE	5	1.4	7	4.9%
9	Chimere Dike WR	5	1.4	7	4.3%
10	Kylen Granson TE	1	1.0	1	2.9%

Game log · 20 games

Date	Wk	Opp	Rush Yds	vs 12.5	Close	Snaps
2026-10-11	5	vs HOU	0	Under	14.5	34 (54%)
2026-10-04	4	@ BAL	7	Under	14.5	23 (36%)
2026-09-27	3	@ NYG	5	Under	16.5	28 (47%)
2026-09-20	2	vs PHI	41	Over	17.5	19 (36%)
2026-09-13	1	vs NYJ	12	Under	26.5	25 (50%)
2026-01-04	18	@ JAX	18	Over	14.5	25 (46%)
2025-12-28	17	vs NO	2	Under	2.5	39 (53%)
2025-12-21	16	vs KC	52	Over	14.5	34 (47%)
2025-12-14	15	@ SF	34	Over	15.5	22 (42%)
2025-12-07	14	@ CLE	19	Over	25.5	28 (42%)
2025-11-30	13	vs JAX	-1	Under	5.5	28 (47%)
2025-11-23	12	vs SEA	4	Under	24.5	33 (43%)
2025-11-16	11	vs HOU	3	Under	29.5	31 (53%)
2025-11-02	9	vs LAC	26	Over	26.5	21 (45%)
2025-10-26	8	@ IND	59	Over	50.5	37 (52%)
2025-10-19	7	vs NE	22	Over	20.5	23 (43%)
2025-10-12	6	@ LV	31	Over	35.5	36 (59%)
2025-10-05	5	@ ARI	14	Over	17.5	17 (25%)
2024-12-29	17	@ JAX	95	Over	—	45 (65%)
2024-12-22	16	@ IND	27	Over	—	37 (61%)

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 12.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: PrizePicks, updated 14m ago.