NFL Prop Research: Game Logs vs Today's Line

Woody Marks RB

HOU vs JAX · Sun Oct 18 · 9:30 AM ET

46.5 Rush Yds O -114U -110

Hit rate · All 44%10/23 Odds imply 50.4% Over

Season avg: 29.8
Graph avg: 42.7
Graph median: 42.03–112
Over the close: 25%1/4

2026 per game

Carries8.6▼-4.1

Rush Yds29.8▼-16.4

Rush TD0.4▲+0.2

Targets2.6▲+0.4

Rec2.2▲+0.8

Rec Yds10.8▼-1.8

Snaps35.6▼-1.6

Snap %53.0%▼-0.5

46.5

2025

3

Sep 07
14

Sep 15
27

Sep 21
69

Sep 28
24

Oct 05
15

Oct 20
62

Oct 26
27

Nov 02
63

Nov 09
44

Nov 16
74

Nov 20
64

Nov 30
68

Dec 07
30

Dec 14
71

Dec 27
48

Jan 04
112

Jan 12
17

Jan 18
2026

42

Sep 13
8

Sep 20
15

Sep 27
22

Oct 04
62

Oct 11
?

Oct 18

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 46.5

Home 46% 5/11 · avg 41.7
Away 42% 5/12 · avg 43.5
vs JAX 50% 1/2 · avg 45.0

Alt lines all · how often Over cleared

O 36.5 52% 12/23
O 41.5 52% 12/23
O 46.5 Today 44% 10/23
O 51.5 39% 9/23
O 56.5 39% 9/23

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · RBs vs JAX

What JAX allowed to RBs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

Rush Yds57.0#32
Yds/Carry3.3#32
Rush TD0.5#22
Targets7.0#4
Rec Yds34.7#11

RBs vs JAX · 2026

Each main RB who faced JAX this season: rush yds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm-22.0

Avg diff %-49%

Beat their average0% (0/5)

Date	Player	Result	Their avg	Diff
Oct 11	Will Shipley	6	12.8	-53%
Oct 04	Chase Brown	10	59.0	-83%
Sep 27	Rhamondre Stevenson	22	51.2	-57%
Sep 20	J.K. Dobbins	36	46.8	-23%
Sep 13	Quinshon Judkins	33	47.0	-30%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

HOU offense

HOU offense: Share of HOU pass attempts, last 10 games
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	7%8.9 yds	2%20.3 yds	9%8.8 yds
Short	24%5.4 yds	22%8.3 yds	35%5.6 yds

Share of HOU pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

JAX defense

JAX defense: Throws JAX faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	9%10.0 yds#18	3%17.3 yds#9	9%13.6 yds#6
Short	34%5.6 yds#21	14%5.5 yds#28	31%5.2 yds#24

Throws JAX faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His targets

His targets: Last 10 games
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	4%0.0 yds	0%	0%
Short	26%2.5 yds	22%5.4 yds	48%3.9 yds

Last 10 games · Yds/target

Each pass-catcher’s share of HOU targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.

#	Player	GP	Tgt/g	Total	Share
1	Nico Collins WR	3	8.3	25	26.3%
2	Xavier Hutchinson WR	5	6.2	31	18.5%
3	Dalton Schultz TE	5	6.2	31	16.3%
4	Kayshon Boutte WR	5	3.6	18	10.8%
5	Jaylin Noel WR	5	3.4	17	10.0%
6	Jared Wayne WR	4	3.0	12	8.2%
7	Foster Moreau TE	5	2.4	12	7.7%
8	Woody Marks RB	5	2.6	13	6.9%
9	David Montgomery RB	5	1.4	7	4.0%
10	Lewis Bond WR	1	1.0	1	4.0%

Game log · 23 games

Date	Wk	Opp	Rush Yds	vs 46.5	Close	Snaps
2026-10-11	5	@ TEN	62	Over	34.5	56 (85%)
2026-10-04	4	vs DAL	22	Under	36.5	24 (44%)
2026-09-27	3	@ IND	15	Under	30.5	20 (37%)
2026-09-20	2	vs CIN	8	Under	29.5	38 (48%)
2026-09-13	1	vs BUF	42	Under	—	40 (51%)
2026-01-18	20 (P)	@ NE	17	Under	—	51 (68%)
2026-01-12	19 (P)	@ PIT	112	Over	—	48 (71%)
2026-01-04	18	vs IND	48	Over	—	31 (46%)
2025-12-27	17	@ LAC	71	Over	—	44 (68%)
2025-12-14	15	vs ARI	30	Under	—	15 (22%)
2025-12-07	14	@ KC	68	Over	—	61 (87%)
2025-11-30	13	@ IND	64	Over	—	41 (54%)
2025-11-20	12	vs BUF	74	Over	—	41 (69%)
2025-11-16	11	@ TEN	44	Under	—	46 (66%)
2025-11-09	10	vs JAX	63	Over	—	60 (80%)
2025-11-02	9	vs DEN	27	Under	—	35 (48%)
2025-10-26	8	vs SF	62	Over	—	32 (40%)
2025-10-20	7	@ SEA	15	Under	—	48 (63%)
2025-10-05	5	@ BAL	24	Under	—	27 (39%)
2025-09-28	4	vs TEN	69	Over	—	40 (56%)
2025-09-21	3	@ JAX	27	Under	—	30 (48%)
2025-09-15	2	vs TB	14	Under	—	13 (27%)
2025-09-07	1	@ LA	3	Under	—	7 (11%)

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 46.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: DraftKings, updated 12m ago.