NFL Prop Research: Game Logs vs Today's Line

Kenneth Walker RB

KC vs LAC · Sun Oct 18 · 4:25 PM ET

90.5 Rush Yds O -114U -114

Hit rate · All 26%9/35 Odds imply 50.0% Over

Season avg: 134.2
Graph avg: 70.0
Graph median: 67.012–177
Over the close: 57%12/21

2026 per game

Carries21.8▲+7.4

Rush Yds134.2▲+67.2

Rush TD1.0▲+0.6

Targets4.8▲+2.4

Rec3.0▲+1.0

Rec Yds21.0▲+1.7

Snaps49.0▲+18.0

Snap %74.5%▲+25.2

90.5

2024

103

Sep 08
80

Sep 30
19

Oct 06
32

Oct 10
69

Oct 20
12

Oct 27
83

Nov 03
54

Nov 17
41

Nov 24
49

Dec 01
31

Dec 22
2025

20

Sep 07
105

Sep 14
38

Sep 21
81

Sep 25
86

Oct 05
34

Oct 12
66

Oct 20
42

Nov 02
67

Nov 09
67

Nov 16
71

Nov 23
56

Nov 30
29

Dec 07
17

Dec 14
100

Dec 18
51

Dec 28
97

Jan 03
116

Jan 17
62

Jan 25
135

Feb 08
2026

173

Sep 14
117

Sep 20
70

Sep 27
177

Oct 04
?

Oct 18

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 90.5

Home 26% 5/19 · avg 65.2
Away 25% 4/16 · avg 75.7
vs LAC No games

Alt lines all · how often Over cleared

O 70.5 40% 14/35
O 80.5 34% 12/35
O 90.5 Today 26% 9/35
O 100.5 20% 7/35
O 110.5 14% 5/35

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · RBs vs LAC

What LAC allowed to RBs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

Rush Yds84.1#24
Yds/Carry3.6#27
Rush TD0.4#30
Targets5.0#20
Rec Yds29.4#21

RBs vs LAC · 2026

Each main RB who faced LAC this season: rush yds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm+20.2

Avg diff %+34%

Beat their average60% (3/5)

Date	Player	Result	Their avg	Diff
Oct 11	J.K. Dobbins	68	40.4	+68%
Oct 04	Emanuel Wilson	81	44.4	+82%
Sep 27	James Cook	154	94.5	+63%
Sep 20	Ashton Jeanty	48	60.8	-21%
Sep 13	Jeremiyah Love	41	51.0	-20%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

KC offense

KC offense: Share of KC pass attempts, last 10 games
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	5%13.9 yds	5%10.5 yds	8%12.4 yds
Short	28%5.9 yds	17%4.9 yds	38%5.3 yds

Share of KC pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

LAC defense

LAC defense: Throws LAC faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	9%16.8 yds#1	3%12.0 yds#26	4%12.9 yds#9
Short	33%6.1 yds#10	17%6.6 yds#19	34%5.8 yds#13

Throws LAC faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His targets

His targets: Last 10 games
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	0%	0%	0%
Short	49%9.9 yds	18%4.4 yds	33%5.8 yds

Last 10 games · Yds/target

Each pass-catcher’s share of KC targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.

#	Player	GP	Tgt/g	Total	Share
1	Rashee Rice WR	3	5.7	17	20.4%
2	Xavier Worthy WR	4	5.5	22	18.7%
3	Travis Kelce TE	4	5.5	22	17.3%
4	Kenneth Walker III RB	4	4.8	19	14.9%
5	Tyquan Thornton WR	4	3.8	15	12.9%
6	Noah Gray TE	4	2.0	8	7.6%
7	Emmett Johnson RB	4	1.2	5	4.1%
8	Jalen Royals WR	4	1.2	5	4.1%
9	Cyrus Allen WR	2	1.0	2	3.9%
10	Jake Briningstool TE	3	0.7	2	2.8%

Game log · 35 games

Date	Wk	Opp	Rush Yds	vs 90.5	Close	Snaps
2026-10-04	4	@ LV	177	Over	86.5	45 (75%)
2026-09-27	3	@ MIA	70	Under	82.5	38 (73%)
2026-09-20	2	vs IND	117	Over	83.5	66 (82%)
2026-09-14	1	vs DEN	173	Over	64.5	47 (68%)
2026-02-08	22 (P)	@ NE	135	Over	70.5	47 (65%)
2026-01-25	21 (P)	vs LA	62	Under	80.5	42 (63%)
2026-01-17	20 (P)	vs SF	116	Over	58.5	33 (62%)
2026-01-03	18	@ SF	97	Over	48.5	29 (42%)
2025-12-28	17	@ CAR	51	Under	54.5	31 (47%)
2025-12-18	16	vs LA	100	Over	45.5	30 (44%)
2025-12-14	15	vs IND	17	Under	57.5	25 (42%)
2025-12-07	14	@ ATL	29	Under	63.5	32 (52%)
2025-11-30	13	vs MIN	56	Under	66.5	37 (55%)
2025-11-23	12	@ TEN	71	Under	71.5	30 (62%)
2025-11-16	11	@ LA	67	Under	65.5	43 (51%)
2025-11-09	10	vs ARI	67	Under	55.5	27 (44%)
2025-11-02	9	@ WAS	42	Under	—	29 (57%)
2025-10-20	7	vs HOU	66	Under	—	32 (44%)
2025-10-12	6	@ JAX	34	Under	36.5	19 (35%)
2025-10-05	5	vs TB	86	Under	49.5	27 (44%)
2025-09-25	4	@ ARI	81	Under	65.5	33 (50%)
2025-09-21	3	vs NO	38	Under	—	30 (53%)
2025-09-14	2	@ PIT	105	Over	45.5	23 (35%)
2025-09-07	1	vs SF	20	Under	57.5	21 (40%)
2024-12-22	16	vs MIN	31	Under	—	38 (59%)
2024-12-01	13	@ NYJ	49	Under	—	39 (61%)
2024-11-24	12	vs ARI	41	Under	—	41 (64%)
2024-11-17	11	@ SF	54	Under	—	44 (73%)
2024-11-03	9	vs LA	83	Under	—	61 (76%)
2024-10-27	8	vs BUF	12	Under	—	28 (55%)
2024-10-20	7	@ ATL	69	Under	—	28 (47%)
2024-10-10	6	vs SF	32	Under	—	54 (69%)
2024-10-06	5	vs NYG	19	Under	—	39 (67%)
2024-09-30	4	@ DET	80	Under	—	53 (59%)
2024-09-08	1	vs DEN	103	Over	—	44 (66%)

Pick’em lines: Underdog 89.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: FanDuel, updated 11m ago.