NFL Prop Research: Game Logs vs Today's Line

Omarion Hampton RB

LAC vs KC · Sun Oct 18 · 4:25 PM ET

31.5 Rush Yds O -114U -114

Hit rate · All 80%12/15 Odds imply 50.0% Over

Season avg: 54.2
Graph avg: 54.3
Graph median: 48.0-1–128
Over the close: 40%6/15

2026 per game

Carries14.6▲+2.1

Rush Yds54.2▼-0.2

Rush TD0.6▲+0.2

Targets1.2▼-2.3

Rec1.0▼-2.2

Rec Yds7.0▼-12.2

Snaps29.8▼-8.8

Snap %45.6%▼-11.8

31.5

2025

48

Sep 05
24

Sep 15
70

Sep 21
128

Sep 28
44

Oct 05
56

Dec 08
61

Dec 14
85

Dec 21
29

Dec 27
-1

Jan 11
2026

43

Sep 13
94

Sep 20
56

Sep 27
45

Oct 04
33

Oct 11
?

Oct 18

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 31.5

Home 88% 7/8 · avg 52.1
Away 71% 5/7 · avg 56.9
vs KC 100% 2/2 · avg 54.5

Alt lines all · how often Over cleared

O 21.5 93% 14/15
O 26.5 87% 13/15
O 31.5 Today 80% 12/15
O 36.5 73% 11/15
O 41.5 73% 11/15

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · RBs vs KC

What KC allowed to RBs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

Rush Yds88.5#19
Yds/Carry3.6#26
Rush TD0.6#16
Targets4.8#23
Rec Yds29.9#20

RBs vs KC · 2026

Each main RB who faced KC this season: rush yds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm-4.9

Avg diff %-10%

Beat their average25% (1/4)

Date	Player	Result	Their avg	Diff
Oct 04	Ashton Jeanty	58	58.2	+0%
Sep 27	Ollie Gordon II	41	65.0	-37%
Sep 20	Jonathan Taylor	92	76.5	+20%
Sep 14	J.K. Dobbins	36	46.8	-23%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

LAC offense

LAC offense: Share of LAC pass attempts, last 10 games
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	9%13.7 yds	1%17.0 yds	8%7.0 yds
Short	28%6.3 yds	15%6.2 yds	39%4.6 yds

Share of LAC pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

KC defense

KC defense: Throws KC faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	10%9.3 yds#22	4%14.1 yds#20	5%8.0 yds#27
Short	30%5.6 yds#19	14%6.2 yds#24	37%5.3 yds#18

Throws KC faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His targets

His targets: Last 10 games
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	0%	0%	0%
Short	47%6.8 yds	20%3.7 yds	33%3.7 yds

Last 10 games · Yds/target

Each pass-catcher’s share of LAC targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.

#	Player	GP	Tgt/g	Total	Share
1	Tre Harris WR	5	5.0	25	18.0%
2	Quentin Johnston WR	4	4.8	19	16.5%
3	David Njoku TE	2	4.0	8	15.0%
4	Ladd McConkey WR	4	4.2	17	14.8%
5	Brenen Thompson WR	1	3.0	3	11.5%
6	Oronde Gadsden II TE	5	3.2	16	11.0%
7	Keaton Mitchell RB	5	2.8	14	10.3%
8	Charlie Kolar TE	3	2.3	7	10.2%
9	Kimani Vidal RB	4	2.0	8	7.1%
10	Marquez Valdes-Scantling WR	3	1.7	5	6.8%

Game log · 15 games

Date	Wk	Opp	Rush Yds	vs 31.5	Close	Snaps
2026-10-11	5	vs DEN	33	Over	41.5	20 (30%)
2026-10-04	4	@ SEA	45	Over	45.5	25 (35%)
2026-09-27	3	@ BUF	56	Over	58.5	29 (42%)
2026-09-20	2	vs LV	94	Over	63.5	43 (63%)
2026-09-13	1	vs ARI	43	Over	71.5	32 (58%)
2026-01-11	19 (P)	@ NE	-1	Under	0.5	2 (3%)
2025-12-27	17	vs HOU	29	Under	26.5	51 (81%)
2025-12-21	16	@ DAL	85	Over	70.5	35 (55%)
2025-12-14	15	@ KC	61	Over	62.5	24 (36%)
2025-12-08	14	vs PHI	56	Over	57.5	23 (31%)
2025-10-05	5	vs WAS	44	Over	49.5	39 (58%)
2025-09-28	4	@ NYG	128	Over	95.5	56 (89%)
2025-09-21	3	vs DEN	70	Over	65.5	68 (79%)
2025-09-15	2	@ LV	24	Under	40.5	36 (62%)
2025-09-05	1	vs KC	48	Over	47.5	52 (80%)

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: FanDuel, updated 10m ago.