NFL Prop Research

FREE

Game logs through Oct 15, 2026 · 181 players

Seth McGowan RB

IND vs TEN ·

14.5 Rush Yds O -114U -110
Hit rate · Last 10 40%2/5 Odds imply 50.4% Over
Season avg
12.2
Graph avg
12.2
Graph median
14.00–31
Over the close
67%2/3
2026 per game
Carries3.4
Rush Yds12.2
Rush TD0.0
Targets0.8
Rec0.6
Rec Yds2.0
Snaps11.8
Snap %17.6%
Over 14.5 in 2 straight
Seth McGowan rushing yards by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 14.5.
14.5
  1. 2026
    0
  2. 0
  3. 14
  4. 31
  5. 16
  6. ?

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 14.5

  • Home 0% 0/2 · avg 7.0
  • Away 67% 2/3 · avg 15.7
  • vs TEN No games

Alt lines last 10 · how often Over cleared

  • O 4.5 60% 3/5
  • O 9.5 60% 3/5
  • O 14.5 Today 40% 2/5
  • O 19.5 20% 1/5
  • O 24.5 20% 1/5

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · RBs vs TEN

What TEN allowed to RBs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

Rush YdsYds/CarryRush TDTargetsRec Yds
  • Rush Yds78.4#26
  • Yds/Carry3.5#30
  • Rush TD0.6#19
  • Targets4.6#28
  • Rec Yds33.6#13

RBs vs TEN · 2026

Each main RB who faced TEN this season: rush yds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm-20.9
Avg diff %-38%
Beat their average20% (1/5)
DatePlayerResultTheir avgDiff
Oct 11 David Montgomery1131.8-65%
Oct 04 Derrick Henry73100.8-28%
Sep 27 Cam Skattebo6058.5+3%
Sep 20 Saquon Barkley957.7-84%
Sep 13 Braelon Allen4049.0-18%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

IND offense

IND offense: Share of IND pass attempts, last 10 games
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep8%5.7 yds4%15.9 yds6%7.4 yds
Short33%5.1 yds17%7.1 yds32%4.9 yds

Share of IND pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

TEN defense

TEN defense: Throws TEN faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep6%11.5 yds#134%20.0 yds#69%15.3 yds#4
Short31%6.7 yds#716%9.8 yds#234%5.7 yds#14

Throws TEN faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His targets

His targets: Last 3 games
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep0% 0% 0% 
Short50%1.5 yds0% 50%3.5 yds

Last 3 games · Yds/target

Target share · IND 2026

Each pass-catcher’s share of IND targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.

#PlayerGPTgt/gTotalShare
1Tyler Warren TE57.23621.5%
2Keenan Allen WR47.22921.0%
3Josh Downs WR56.83420.6%
4Ashton Dulin WR23.5712.1%
5Alec Pierce WR23.5712.0%
6Jonathan Taylor RB53.81911.8%
7Laquon Treadwell WR53.81911.1%
8Deion Burks WR31.343.8%
9Mo Alie-Cox TE21.533.8%
10Seth McGowan RB50.842.5%

Game log · 5 games

DateWkOppRush Ydsvs 14.5CloseSnaps
2026-10-115@ PIT16Over11.519 (27%)
2026-10-044@ WAS31Over6.519 (29%)
2026-09-273vs HOU14Under—11 (15%)
2026-09-202@ KC0Under5.54 (6%)
2026-09-131vs BAL0Under—6 (11%)

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 14.5Underdog 14.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: DraftKings, updated 5m ago.