NFL Prop Research: Player Hit Rates & Game Logs

Rashid Shaheed WR

SEA vs KC · Sun Oct 25 · 8:20 PM ET

24.5 Rec Yds

Hit rate · Last 20 45%9/20 Odds imply —

Season avg: 27.0
Graph avg: 28.6
Graph median: 21.50–75
Over the close: 50%10/20

2026 per game

Targets4.5▼-0.4

Rec2.3▼-0.6

Rec Yds27.0▼-9.4

Rec TD0.0▼-0.1

Snaps34.5▼-3.9

Snap %53.3%▼-6.3

24.5

2025

75

Oct 26
68

Nov 02
3

Nov 09
27

Nov 16
0

Nov 23
7

Nov 30
67

Dec 07
74

Dec 14
0

Dec 18
8

Dec 28
2

Jan 03
0

Jan 17
51

Jan 25
27

Feb 08
2026

4

Sep 09
35

Sep 20
14

Sep 27
20

Oct 04
23

Oct 11
66

Oct 15
?

Oct 26

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 24.5

Home 47% 8/17 · avg 33.4
Away 75% 12/16 · avg 44.2
vs KC 100% 1/1 · avg 86.0

Alt lines last 20 · how often Over cleared

O 14.5 55% 11/20
O 19.5 55% 11/20
O 24.5 Today 45% 9/20
O 29.5 35% 7/20
O 34.5 35% 7/20

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · WRs vs KC

What KC allowed to WRs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

Rec Yds112.7#31
Receptions9.5#29
Targets17.4#21
Yds/Target6.5#30
Rec TD0.2#32

WRs vs KC · 2026

Each main WR who faced KC this season: rec yds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm-7.1

Avg diff %+3%

Beat their average50% (5/10)

Date	Player	Result	Their avg	Diff
Oct 18	Ladd McConkey	17	45.8	-63%
Oct 18	Quentin Johnston	57	27.0	+111%
Oct 04	Tre Tucker	44	65.4	-33%
Oct 04	Cody White	36	14.4	+150%
Sep 27	Malik Washington	56	51.5	+9%
Sep 27	Ryan Miller	15	38.5	-61%
Sep 20	Keenan Allen	5	55.5	-91%
Sep 20	Josh Downs	72	43.4	+66%
Sep 14	Jaylen Waddle	2	45.2	-96%
Sep 14	Pat Bryant	42	30.3	+38%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

SEA offense

SEA offense: Share of SEA pass attempts, last 10 games
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	4%7.0 yds	4%11.5 yds	7%16.4 yds
Short	32%6.3 yds	16%7.5 yds	36%6.2 yds

Share of SEA pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

KC defense

KC defense: Throws KC faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	9%11.7 yds#12	5%14.2 yds#20	5%4.2 yds#31
Short	27%5.0 yds#27	17%6.2 yds#24	37%4.8 yds#28

Throws KC faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His targets

His targets: Last 10 games
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	5%0.0 yds	8%0.0 yds	26%11.3 yds
Short	16%1.5 yds	10%10.8 yds	34%5.9 yds

Last 10 games · Yds/target

Each pass-catcher’s share of SEA targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.

#	Player	GP	Tgt/g	Total	Share
1	Jaxon Smith-Njigba WR	6	11.0	66	35.6%
2	Rashid Shaheed WR	6	4.5	27	14.9%
3	Cooper Kupp WR	6	4.2	25	12.4%
4	AJ Barner TE	6	4.0	24	12.4%
5	Jadarian Price RB	3	2.3	7	7.6%
6	Tory Horton WR	3	3.0	9	7.5%
7	George Holani RB	6	2.0	12	6.5%
8	Emanuel Wilson RB	6	1.3	8	5.6%
9	Elijah Arroyo TE	2	1.0	2	3.8%
10	Brady Russell RB	5	0.6	3	2.1%

Game log · 20 games

Date	Wk	Opp	Rec Yds	vs 24.5	Close	Snaps
2026-10-15	6	@ DEN	66	Over	22.5	39 (46%)
2026-10-11	5	vs SF	23	Under	20.5	29 (46%)
2026-10-04	4	vs LAC	20	Under	23.5	36 (60%)
2026-09-27	3	@ WAS	14	Under	28.5	31 (46%)
2026-09-20	2	@ ARI	35	Over	24.5	39 (56%)
2026-09-09	1	vs NE	4	Under	31.5	33 (66%)
2026-02-08	22 (P)	@ NE	27	Over	21.5	41 (57%)
2026-01-25	21 (P)	vs LA	51	Over	22.5	38 (57%)
2026-01-17	20 (P)	vs SF	0	Under	23.5	22 (42%)
2026-01-03	18	@ SF	2	Under	27.5	33 (48%)
2025-12-28	17	@ CAR	8	Under	20.5	12 (18%)
2025-12-18	16	vs LA	0	Under	10.5	37 (54%)
2025-12-14	15	vs IND	74	Over	49.5	41 (68%)
2025-12-07	14	@ ATL	67	Over	20.5	31 (51%)
2025-11-30	13	vs MIN	7	Under	10.5	32 (48%)
2025-11-23	12	@ TEN	0	Under	32.5	27 (56%)
2025-11-16	11	@ LA	27	Over	25.5	45 (54%)
2025-11-09	10	vs ARI	3	Under	34.5	21 (34%)
2025-11-02	9	@ LA	68	Over	44.5	34 (83%)
2025-10-26	8	vs TB	75	Over	48.5	56 (78%)

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 23.5Underdog 24.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: Underdog, updated 10m ago.