NFL Prop Research

KM

Kyler Murray QB

MIN vs IND · Sun Oct 25 · 1:00 PM ET

224.5 Pass Yds

Hit rate · Last 20 45%9/20 Odds imply —

Season avg

165.5

Graph avg

214.4

Graph median

222.018–321

Over the close

22%2/9

2026 per game

Pass Yds165.5▼-26.9

Att25.2▼-7.0

Cmp%68.3%-0.0

Pass TD0.5▼-0.7

INT0.5▼-0.1

Rush Yds23.2▼-11.4

Snaps54.8▼-8.9

Snap %79.2%▼-19.5

Splits all logged games · over 224.5

• Home 36% 5/14 · avg 200.7
• Away 42% 5/12 · avg 222.1
• vs IND No games

Alt lines last 20 · how often Over cleared

• O 204.5 60% 12/20
• O 214.5 60% 12/20
• O 224.5 Today 45% 9/20
• O 234.5 40% 8/20
• O 244.5 35% 7/20

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · QBs vs IND

What IND allowed to QBs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

• Pass Yds247.6#7
• Yds/Att7.5#7
• Cmp%61.9%#23
• Pass TD1.6#12
• Pass Att32.8#19

QBs vs IND · 2026

Each main QB who faced IND this season: pass yds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm-12.7

Avg diff %-8%

Beat their average33% (2/6)

Date	Player	Result	Their avg	Diff
Oct 18	TEN Cam Ward	102	179.2	-43%
Oct 11	PIT Aaron Rodgers	235	250.4	-6%
Oct 04	WAS Marcus Mariota	46	147.0	-69%
Sep 27	HOU C.J. Stroud	167	309.4	-46%
Sep 20	KC Patrick Mahomes	382	231.8	+65%
Sep 13	BAL Lamar Jackson	324	214.3	+51%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

MIN offense

MIN offense: Share of MIN pass attempts, last 10 games

Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	11%15.9 yds	2%11.2 yds	8%7.5 yds
Short	27%4.8 yds	17%7.4 yds	35%5.5 yds

Share of MIN pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

IND defense

IND defense: Throws IND faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed

Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	5%12.2 yds#11	3%13.7 yds#22	10%11.7 yds#12
Short	30%6.0 yds#12	20%9.2 yds#1	33%5.8 yds#12

Throws IND faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His throws

His throws: Last 9 games

Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	8%12.0 yds	3%7.6 yds	8%10.3 yds
Short	32%4.6 yds	18%7.7 yds	31%4.4 yds

Last 9 games · Yds/att

Target share · MIN 2026

Each pass-catcher’s share of MIN targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.

#	Player	GP	Tgt/g	Total	Share
1	Justin Jefferson WR	4	6.0	24	25.7%
2	Jordan Addison WR	4	5.5	22	22.3%
3	T.J. Hockenson TE	5	5.4	27	20.3%
4	Aaron Jones RB	5	3.6	18	12.6%
5	Gavin Bartholomew TE	2	3.5	7	11.9%
6	Josh Oliver TE	3	1.7	5	7.6%
7	Tai Felton WR	3	2.0	6	7.1%
8	Myles Price WR	5	1.4	7	5.0%
9	Jauan Jennings WR	4	1.2	5	4.7%
10	Ben Yurosek TE	1	1.0	1	3.4%

Game log · 20 games

Date	Wk	Opp	Pass Yds	vs 224.5	Close	Snaps
2026-10-11	5	@ NO	229	Over	212.5	71 (100%)
2026-10-04	4	vs MIA	247	Over	205.5	78 (100%)
2026-09-27	3	@ TB	168	Under	215.5	59 (100%)
2026-09-13	1	vs GB	18	Under	218.5	11 (17%)
2025-10-05	5	vs TEN	220	Under	220.5	65 (96%)
2025-09-25	4	vs SEA	200	Under	211.5	67 (100%)
2025-09-21	3	@ SF	159	Under	190.5	66 (100%)
2025-09-14	2	vs CAR	220	Under	225.5	54 (98%)
2025-09-07	1	@ NO	163	Under	223.5	66 (100%)
2025-01-05	18	vs SF	242	Over	—	60 (92%)
2024-12-28	17	@ LA	321	Over	—	79 (100%)
2024-12-22	16	@ CAR	202	Under	—	70 (100%)
2024-12-15	15	vs NE	224	Under	—	63 (90%)
2024-12-08	14	vs SEA	259	Over	—	71 (100%)
2024-12-01	13	@ MIN	260	Over	—	82 (100%)
2024-11-24	12	@ SEA	285	Over	—	58 (100%)
2024-11-10	10	vs NYJ	266	Over	—	52 (88%)
2024-11-03	9	vs CHI	154	Under	—	55 (95%)
2024-10-27	8	@ MIA	307	Over	—	66 (100%)
2024-10-21	7	vs LAC	145	Under	—	54 (95%)

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 204.5Underdog 224.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: Underdog, updated 12m ago.