NFL Prop Research: Game Logs vs Today's Line

Tucker Kraft TE

GB vs DAL · Sun Oct 18 · 8:20 PM ET

49.5 Rec Yds O -114U -114

Hit rate · Last 20 45%9/20 Odds imply 50.0% Over

Season avg: 42.4
Graph avg: 51.6
Graph median: 42.515–143
Over the close: 60%3/5

2026 per game

Targets5.8▲+0.3

Rec4.0+0.0

Rec Yds42.4▼-18.7

Rec TD0.2▼-0.6

Snaps51.0▼-3.9

Snap %81.8%▼-4.2

49.5

2024

78

Nov 28
41

Dec 05
34

Dec 15
63

Dec 23
53

Dec 29
36

Jan 05
26

Jan 12
2025

16

Sep 07
124

Sep 11
29

Sep 21
56

Sep 28
43

Oct 12
58

Oct 19
143

Oct 26
20

Nov 02
2026

65

Sep 13
15

Sep 20
26

Sep 24
42

Oct 04
64

Oct 11
?

Oct 19

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 49.5

Home 33% 5/15 · avg 43.0
Away 44% 7/16 · avg 49.3
vs DAL 100% 1/1 · avg 56.0

Alt lines last 20 · how often Over cleared

O 39.5 60% 12/20
O 44.5 45% 9/20
O 49.5 Today 45% 9/20
O 54.5 40% 8/20
O 59.5 30% 6/20

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · TEs vs DAL

What DAL allowed to TEs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

Rec Yds43.8#22
Receptions4.2#27
Targets4.8#31
Yds/Target9.1#2
Rec TD0.4#15

TEs vs DAL · 2026

Each main TE who faced DAL this season: rec yds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm-7.7

Avg diff %+519%

Beat their average40% (2/5)

Date	Player	Result	Their avg	Diff
Oct 08	Cade Otton	25	39.2	-36%
Oct 04	Dalton Schultz	9	58.8	-85%
Sep 27	Mark Andrews	24	38.2	-37%
Sep 20	Colson Yankoff	14	0.5	+2700%
Sep 13	Isaiah Likely	78	51.5	+51%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

GB offense

GB offense: Share of GB pass attempts, last 10 games
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	8%12.4 yds	5%19.9 yds	10%15.4 yds
Short	27%5.8 yds	16%6.1 yds	35%4.8 yds

Share of GB pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

DAL defense

DAL defense: Throws DAL faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	9%13.5 yds#9	2%24.3 yds#1	9%10.6 yds#19
Short	27%7.4 yds#2	16%10.1 yds#1	37%6.7 yds#3

Throws DAL faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His targets

His targets: Last 10 games
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	2%30.0 yds	3%12.0 yds	5%35.0 yds
Short	31%7.8 yds	14%7.4 yds	45%6.7 yds

Last 10 games · Yds/target

Each pass-catcher’s share of GB targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.

#	Player	GP	Tgt/g	Total	Share
1	Matthew Golden WR	5	8.8	44	24.0%
2	Christian Watson WR	5	8.0	40	22.7%
3	Tucker Kraft TE	5	5.8	29	16.1%
4	Pierre Strong RB	1	4.0	4	12.9%
5	Jayden Reed WR	2	4.0	8	10.5%
6	MarShawn Lloyd RB	5	2.6	13	7.7%
7	Skyy Moore WR	5	2.8	14	7.3%
8	Mark Redman TE	1	2.0	2	6.7%
9	Jonnu Smith TE	3	2.3	7	5.6%
10	Bo Melton WR	5	1.6	8	4.8%

Game log · 20 games

Date	Wk	Opp	Rec Yds	vs 49.5	Close	Snaps
2026-10-11	5	vs CHI	64	Over	49.5	47 (77%)
2026-10-04	4	@ TB	42	Under	40.5	55 (92%)
2026-09-24	3	vs ATL	26	Under	46.5	50 (76%)
2026-09-20	2	@ NYJ	15	Under	45.5	58 (98%)
2026-09-13	1	@ MIN	65	Over	43.5	45 (66%)
2025-11-02	9	vs CAR	20	Under	—	32 (49%)
2025-10-26	8	@ PIT	143	Over	—	59 (92%)
2025-10-19	7	@ ARI	58	Over	—	50 (89%)
2025-10-12	6	vs CIN	43	Under	—	56 (92%)
2025-09-28	4	@ DAL	56	Over	—	79 (95%)
2025-09-21	3	@ CLE	29	Under	—	57 (88%)
2025-09-11	2	vs WAS	124	Over	—	62 (91%)
2025-09-07	1	vs DET	16	Under	—	44 (92%)
2025-01-12	19 (P)	@ PHI	26	Under	—	64 (97%)
2025-01-05	18	vs CHI	36	Under	—	62 (95%)
2024-12-29	17	@ MIN	53	Over	—	54 (86%)
2024-12-23	16	vs NO	63	Over	—	43 (62%)
2024-12-15	15	@ SEA	34	Under	—	57 (89%)
2024-12-05	14	@ DET	41	Under	—	44 (88%)
2024-11-28	13	vs MIA	78	Over	—	49 (91%)

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 49.5Underdog 49.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: FanDuel, updated 11m ago.