NFL Prop Research: Game Logs vs Today's Line

Parker Washington WR

JAX vs HOU · Sun Oct 18 · 9:30 AM ET

62.5 Rec Yds O -113U -111

Hit rate · All 31%11/36 Odds imply 50.2% Over

Season avg: 70.4
Graph avg: 47.1
Graph median: 37.00–145
Over the close: 33%7/21

2026 per game

Targets7.0▲+0.7

Rec4.4▲+0.6

Rec Yds70.4▲+14.3

Rec TD0.8▲+0.4

Snaps48.2▲+6.3

Snap %77.0%▲+15.1

62.5

2024

3

Sep 08
0

Sep 15
18

Sep 23
0

Oct 13
0

Oct 20
46

Oct 27
41

Nov 03
10

Nov 17
103

Dec 01
15

Dec 08
54

Dec 15
54

Dec 22
31

Dec 29
15

Jan 05
2025

0

Sep 07
76

Sep 14
34

Sep 21
0

Sep 28
16

Oct 06
29

Oct 12
52

Oct 19
90

Nov 02
33

Nov 09
20

Nov 16
71

Nov 23
26

Nov 30
53

Dec 14
145

Dec 21
115

Dec 28
87

Jan 04
107

Jan 11
2026

83

Sep 13
98

Sep 20
40

Sep 27
7

Oct 04
124

Oct 11
?

Oct 18

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 62.5

Home 28% 5/18 · avg 48.8
Away 33% 6/18 · avg 45.4
vs HOU 33% 1/3 · avg 56.7

Alt lines all · how often Over cleared

O 42.5 44% 16/36
O 52.5 39% 14/36
O 62.5 Today 31% 11/36
O 72.5 28% 10/36
O 82.5 25% 9/36

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · WRs vs HOU

What HOU allowed to WRs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

Rec Yds167.2#8
Receptions11.8#13
Targets18.9#9
Yds/Target8.8#9
Rec TD1.1#8

WRs vs HOU · 2026

Each main WR who faced HOU this season: rec yds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm+7.4

Avg diff %+12%

Beat their average60% (6/10)

Date	Player	Result	Their avg	Diff
Oct 11	Carnell Tate	6	67.0	-91%
Oct 11	Wan'Dale Robinson	53	30.8	+72%
Oct 04	CeeDee Lamb	189	79.5	+138%
Oct 04	George Pickens	75	70.0	+7%
Sep 27	Josh Downs	77	43.0	+79%
Sep 27	Laquon Treadwell	20	34.2	-42%
Sep 20	Tee Higgins	95	82.0	+16%
Sep 20	Ja'Marr Chase	75	53.5	+40%
Sep 13	Keon Coleman	1	55.8	-98%
Sep 13	Khalil Shakir	50	51.5	-3%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

JAX offense

JAX offense: Share of JAX pass attempts, last 10 games
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	10%9.4 yds	4%18.1 yds	7%11.5 yds
Short	34%6.8 yds	16%6.6 yds	28%7.9 yds

Share of JAX pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

HOU defense

HOU defense: Throws HOU faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	10%12.6 yds#11	3%22.5 yds#2	7%13.0 yds#7
Short	28%5.1 yds#28	19%6.9 yds#17	33%4.5 yds#29

Throws HOU faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His targets

His targets: Last 10 games
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	19%8.9 yds	11%20.8 yds	8%15.7 yds
Short	29%7.5 yds	11%7.1 yds	22%12.2 yds

Last 10 games · Yds/target

Each pass-catcher’s share of JAX targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.

#	Player	GP	Tgt/g	Total	Share
1	Parker Washington WR	5	7.0	35	25.3%
2	Brenton Strange TE	5	5.2	26	19.2%
3	Jakobi Meyers WR	5	3.6	18	13.6%
4	Brian Thomas Jr. WR	5	3.4	17	12.6%
5	Josh Cameron WR	5	2.4	12	8.3%
6	Bhayshul Tuten RB	5	2.0	10	7.2%
7	Nate Boerkircher TE	4	1.5	6	5.6%
8	LeQuint Allen Jr. RB	4	1.2	5	4.1%
9	Ameer Abdullah RB	5	0.6	3	2.4%
10	Quintin Morris TE	4	0.5	2	2.1%

Game log · 36 games

Date	Wk	Opp	Rec Yds	vs 62.5	Close	Snaps
2026-10-11	5	vs PHI	124	Over	60.5	59 (82%)
2026-10-04	4	@ CIN	7	Under	75.5	49 (80%)
2026-09-27	3	vs NE	40	Under	70.5	50 (81%)
2026-09-20	2	@ DEN	98	Over	59.5	48 (81%)
2026-09-13	1	vs CLE	83	Over	53.5	35 (61%)
2026-01-11	19 (P)	vs BUF	107	Over	107.5	40 (71%)
2026-01-04	18	vs TEN	87	Over	77.5	45 (74%)
2025-12-28	17	@ IND	115	Over	115.5	56 (81%)
2025-12-21	16	@ DEN	145	Over	145.5	39 (56%)
2025-12-14	15	vs NYJ	53	Under	55.5	28 (45%)
2025-11-30	13	@ TEN	26	Under	40.5	24 (38%)
2025-11-23	12	@ ARI	71	Over	40.5	52 (84%)
2025-11-16	11	vs LAC	20	Under	20.5	54 (76%)
2025-11-09	10	@ HOU	33	Under	42.5	54 (87%)
2025-11-02	9	@ LV	90	Over	80.5	70 (88%)
2025-10-19	7	vs LA	52	Under	17.5	68 (88%)
2025-10-12	6	vs SEA	29	Under	29.5	25 (33%)
2025-10-06	5	vs KC	16	Under	16.5	15 (26%)
2025-09-28	4	@ SF	0	Under	0.5	58 (85%)
2025-09-21	3	vs HOU	34	Under	34.5	50 (71%)
2025-09-14	2	@ CIN	76	Over	—	17 (24%)
2025-09-07	1	vs CAR	0	Under	10.5	17 (26%)
2025-01-05	18	@ IND	15	Under	—	59 (86%)
2024-12-29	17	vs TEN	31	Under	—	48 (83%)
2024-12-22	16	@ LV	54	Under	—	63 (94%)
2024-12-15	15	vs NYJ	54	Under	—	72 (86%)
2024-12-08	14	@ TEN	15	Under	—	44 (75%)
2024-12-01	13	vs HOU	103	Over	—	56 (80%)
2024-11-17	11	@ DET	10	Under	—	28 (58%)
2024-11-03	9	@ PHI	41	Under	—	46 (85%)
2024-10-27	8	vs GB	46	Under	—	42 (74%)
2024-10-20	7	vs NE	0	Under	—	21 (34%)
2024-10-13	6	@ CHI	0	Under	—	18 (29%)
2024-09-23	3	@ BUF	18	Under	—	22 (31%)
2024-09-15	2	vs CLE	0	Under	—	13 (22%)
2024-09-08	1	@ MIA	3	Under	—	7 (13%)

Pick’em lines: Underdog 69.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: DraftKings, updated 11m ago.