NFL Prop Research: Game Logs vs Today's Line

Kendrick Bourne WR

ARI vs LAR · Sun Oct 18 · 4:05 PM ET

31.5 Rec Yds O -115U -115

Hit rate · Last 20 40%8/20 Odds imply 50.0% Over

Season avg: 44.5
Graph avg: 37.0
Graph median: 23.50–142
Over the close: 25%3/12

2026 per game

Targets5.5▲+1.8

Rec4.2▲+1.8

Rec Yds44.5▲+7.8

Rec TD0.0+0.0

Snaps41.0▲+1.1

Snap %57.8%▼-3.2

31.5

2024

12

Jan 05
2025

32

Sep 14
38

Sep 21
17

Sep 28
142

Oct 02
142

Oct 12
14

Oct 19
44

Oct 26
34

Nov 02
19

Nov 09
0

Nov 30
17

Dec 14
27

Dec 22
25

Dec 28
0

Jan 03
0

Jan 17
2026

75

Sep 13
11

Sep 20
22

Sep 27
70

Oct 11
?

Oct 18

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 31.5

Home 25% 4/16 · avg 23.1
Away 53% 8/15 · avg 44.3
vs LAR 67% 2/3 · avg 77.0

Alt lines last 20 · how often Over cleared

O 21.5 55% 11/20
O 26.5 45% 9/20
O 31.5 Today 40% 8/20
O 36.5 30% 6/20
O 41.5 25% 5/20

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · WRs vs LAR

What LAR allowed to WRs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

Rec Yds129.6#23
Receptions9.3#30
Targets16.1#28
Yds/Target8.0#16
Rec TD1.3#3

WRs vs LAR · 2026

Each main WR who faced LAR this season: rec yds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm-15.6

Avg diff %-17%

Beat their average50% (5/10)

Date	Player	Result	Their avg	Diff
Oct 12	Keon Coleman	7	54.2	-87%
Oct 12	Khalil Shakir	80	44.0	+82%
Oct 04	Dontayvion Wicks	18	60.5	-70%
Oct 04	Darius Cooper	33	24.2	+36%
Sep 27	Jaylen Waddle	10	43.6	-77%
Sep 27	Pat Bryant	44	29.7	+48%
Sep 21	Malik Nabers	1	82.0	-99%
Sep 21	Malachi Fields	30	29.0	+3%
Sep 10	Mike Evans	49	69.2	-29%
Sep 10	Deebo Samuel Sr.	48	39.5	+22%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

ARI offense

ARI offense: Share of ARI pass attempts, last 10 games
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	7%7.3 yds	2%13.8 yds	8%7.9 yds
Short	29%6.1 yds	20%5.6 yds	35%5.3 yds

Share of ARI pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

LAR defense

LAR defense: Throws LAR faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	7%10.0 yds#16	5%15.4 yds#15	7%5.0 yds#31
Short	31%6.0 yds#13	18%4.8 yds#31	31%6.3 yds#4

Throws LAR faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His targets

His targets: Last 10 games
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	11%12.0 yds	0%	6%0.0 yds
Short	43%7.0 yds	26%5.7 yds	14%8.6 yds

Last 10 games · Yds/target

Each pass-catcher’s share of ARI targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.

#	Player	GP	Tgt/g	Total	Share
1	Trey McBride TE	5	11.2	56	30.3%
2	Michael Wilson WR	5	10.2	51	26.4%
3	Kendrick Bourne WR	4	5.5	22	14.1%
4	Reggie Virgil WR	1	5.0	5	10.9%
5	Marvin Harrison Jr. WR	4	3.2	13	8.3%
6	Jeremiyah Love RB	5	2.8	14	7.5%
7	Tyler Allgeier RB	5	2.4	12	6.2%
8	Elijah Higgins TE	4	2.0	8	4.6%
9	Jalen Brooks WR	4	2.0	8	4.3%
10	Teagan Quitoriano TE	1	2.0	2	4.3%

Game log · 20 games

Date	Wk	Opp	Rec Yds	vs 31.5	Close	Snaps
2026-10-11	5	vs DET	70	Over	31.5	36 (49%)
2026-09-27	3	@ SF	22	Under	23.5	48 (55%)
2026-09-20	2	vs SEA	11	Under	24.5	30 (60%)
2026-09-13	1	@ LAC	75	Over	18.5	50 (67%)
2026-01-17	20 (P)	@ SEA	0	Under	2.5	24 (40%)
2026-01-03	18	vs SEA	0	Under	0.5	22 (52%)
2025-12-28	17	vs CHI	25	Under	25.5	19 (26%)
2025-12-22	16	@ IND	27	Under	27.5	46 (70%)
2025-12-14	15	vs TEN	17	Under	—	33 (45%)
2025-11-30	13	@ CLE	0	Under	—	23 (34%)
2025-11-09	10	vs LA	19	Under	20.5	43 (68%)
2025-11-02	9	@ NYG	34	Over	34.5	48 (73%)
2025-10-26	8	@ HOU	44	Over	35.5	38 (79%)
2025-10-19	7	vs ATL	14	Under	14.5	52 (78%)
2025-10-12	6	@ TB	142	Over	—	55 (80%)
2025-10-02	5	@ LA	142	Over	—	70 (81%)
2025-09-28	4	vs JAX	17	Under	—	44 (67%)
2025-09-21	3	vs ARI	38	Over	—	47 (72%)
2025-09-14	2	@ NO	32	Over	—	35 (49%)
2025-01-05	18	vs BUF	12	Under	—	24 (38%)

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 35.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: BetMGM, updated 11m ago.