NFL Prop Research: Game Logs vs Today's Line

Chris Olave WR

NO vs NYG · Sun Oct 18 · 1:00 PM ET

79.5 Rec Yds O -110U -114

Hit rate · Last 10 70%7/10 Odds imply 49.6% Over

Season avg: 107.4
Graph avg: 96.6
Graph median: 96.530–182
Over the close: 60%6/10

2026 per game

Targets10.8▲+1.1

Rec7.8▲+1.5

Rec Yds107.4▲+34.7

Rec TD0.2▼-0.4

Snaps60.2▲+4.8

Snap %86.2%▲+1.9

79.5

2025

47

Nov 30
30

Dec 07
85

Dec 14
148

Dec 21
119

Dec 28
2026

182

Sep 13
86

Sep 20
107

Sep 27
116

Oct 05
46

Oct 11
?

Oct 18

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 79.5

Home 43% 6/14 · avg 71.6
Away 53% 8/15 · avg 73.2
vs NYG 0% 0/1 · avg 59.0

Alt lines last 10 · how often Over cleared

O 59.5 70% 7/10
O 69.5 70% 7/10
O 79.5 Today 70% 7/10
O 89.5 50% 5/10
O 99.5 50% 5/10

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · WRs vs NYG

What NYG allowed to WRs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

Rec Yds127.3#25
Receptions10.3#23
Targets16.5#25
Yds/Target7.7#21
Rec TD0.9#15

WRs vs NYG · 2026

Each main WR who faced NYG this season: rec yds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm+6.7

Avg diff %+20%

Beat their average50% (5/10)

Date	Player	Result	Their avg	Diff
Oct 11	Terry McLaurin	62	47.0	+32%
Oct 11	Antonio Williams	31	31.0	+0%
Oct 04	Michael Wilson	95	48.2	+97%
Oct 04	Marvin Harrison Jr.	12	24.3	-51%
Sep 27	Carnell Tate	58	54.0	+7%
Sep 27	Wan'Dale Robinson	57	29.8	+92%
Sep 21	Davante Adams	195	61.5	+217%
Sep 21	Konata Mumpfield	12	33.3	-64%
Sep 13	CeeDee Lamb	44	115.8	-62%
Sep 13	George Pickens	28	81.8	-66%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

NO offense

NO offense: Share of NO pass attempts, last 10 games
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	10%7.6 yds	3%18.2 yds	7%13.7 yds
Short	32%5.7 yds	15%8.7 yds	33%5.5 yds

Share of NO pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

NYG defense

NYG defense: Throws NYG faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	9%7.6 yds#27	2%21.6 yds#4	8%8.9 yds#26
Short	30%5.9 yds#15	15%8.2 yds#9	36%6.0 yds#9

Throws NYG faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His targets

His targets: Last 10 games
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	17%11.7 yds	5%23.6 yds	15%9.7 yds
Short	26%7.1 yds	13%11.8 yds	26%6.4 yds

Last 10 games · Yds/target

Each pass-catcher’s share of NO targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.

#	Player	GP	Tgt/g	Total	Share
1	Chris Olave WR	5	10.8	54	27.9%
2	Devaughn Vele WR	5	7.4	37	19.7%
3	Juwan Johnson TE	5	6.4	32	16.8%
4	Alvin Kamara RB	4	4.0	16	11.1%
5	Travis Etienne RB	3	4.3	13	9.5%
6	Bryce Lance WR	5	3.2	16	8.3%
7	Noah Fant TE	4	3.2	13	7.4%
8	Kendre Miller RB	4	1.5	6	3.5%
9	Kevin Austin Jr. WR	1	1.0	1	3.1%
10	CJ Donaldson RB	5	1.0	5	2.5%

Game log · 10 games

Date	Wk	Opp	Rec Yds	vs 79.5	Close	Snaps
2026-10-11	5	vs MIN	46	Under	80.5	41 (91%)
2026-10-05	4	vs ATL	116	Over	86.5	64 (86%)
2026-09-27	3	vs LV	107	Over	76.5	62 (84%)
2026-09-20	2	@ BAL	86	Over	65.5	57 (84%)
2026-09-13	1	@ DET	182	Over	76.5	77 (86%)
2025-12-28	17	@ TEN	119	Over	119.5	49 (91%)
2025-12-21	16	vs NYJ	148	Over	99.5	61 (78%)
2025-12-14	15	vs CAR	85	Over	61.5	58 (84%)
2025-12-07	14	@ TB	30	Under	30.5	54 (93%)
2025-11-30	13	@ MIA	47	Under	63.5	63 (88%)

Pick’em lines: Underdog 79.5PrizePicks 80.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: DraftKings, updated 5m ago.