NFL Prop Research: Game Logs vs Today's Line

Isaiah Williams WR

NYJ vs NE · Sun Oct 18 · 1:00 PM ET

17.5 Rec Yds

Hit rate · Last 10 80%8/10 Odds imply —

Season avg: 30.2
Graph avg: 30.7
Graph median: 24.57–73
Over the close: 70%7/10

2026 per game

Targets2.8▲+0.4

Rec2.2▲+0.5

Rec Yds30.2▲+17.3

Rec TD0.2▲+0.2

Snaps46.6▲+16.7

Snap %77.2%▲+27.9

17.5

2025

24

Dec 07
53

Dec 14
25

Dec 21
30

Dec 28
24

Jan 04
2026

7

Sep 13
34

Sep 20
21

Sep 27
73

Oct 04
16

Oct 11
?

Oct 18

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 17.5

Home 23% 3/13 · avg 8.8
Away 40% 6/15 · avg 15.7
vs NE 50% 1/2 · avg 16.0

Alt lines last 10 · how often Over cleared

O 7.5 90% 9/10
O 12.5 90% 9/10
O 17.5 Today 80% 8/10
O 22.5 70% 7/10
O 27.5 40% 4/10

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · WRs vs NE

What NE allowed to WRs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

Rec Yds118.9#28
Receptions11.3#14
Targets20.0#6
Yds/Target5.9#32
Rec TD0.8#19

WRs vs NE · 2026

Each main WR who faced NE this season: rec yds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm-6.3

Avg diff %+3%

Beat their average40% (4/10)

Date	Player	Result	Their avg	Diff
Oct 11	Tre Tucker	41	58.2	-30%
Oct 11	Cody White	44	16.0	+175%
Oct 04	DJ Moore	11	55.7	-80%
Oct 04	Khalil Shakir	82	43.5	+89%
Sep 27	Parker Washington	40	78.0	-49%
Sep 27	Jakobi Meyers	64	34.5	+86%
Sep 20	DK Metcalf	27	49.5	-45%
Sep 20	Roman Wilson	28	40.0	-30%
Sep 09	Jaxon Smith-Njigba	122	119.0	+3%
Sep 09	Rashid Shaheed	4	31.6	-87%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

NYJ offense

NYJ offense: Share of NYJ pass attempts, last 10 games
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	6%9.0 yds	2%21.2 yds	6%12.7 yds
Short	37%5.3 yds	10%4.5 yds	40%5.0 yds

Share of NYJ pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

NE defense

NE defense: Throws NE faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	7%6.6 yds#29	4%10.5 yds#31	4%10.0 yds#22
Short	32%5.2 yds#27	17%7.7 yds#12	36%4.4 yds#31

Throws NE faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His targets

His targets: Last 10 games
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	2%21.0 yds	2%58.0 yds	5%12.5 yds
Short	35%7.5 yds	10%4.0 yds	45%4.6 yds

Last 10 games · Yds/target

Each pass-catcher’s share of NYJ targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.

#	Player	GP	Tgt/g	Total	Share
1	Garrett Wilson WR	5	8.4	42	30.1%
2	Adonai Mitchell WR	2	7.5	15	23.2%
3	Kenyon Sadiq TE	5	4.2	21	16.1%
4	Mason Taylor TE	2	3.0	6	11.7%
5	Isaiah Williams WR	5	2.8	14	10.7%
6	Breece Hall RB	3	3.3	10	10.3%
7	Tim Patrick WR	1	3.0	3	10.3%
8	Braelon Allen RB	5	2.2	11	8.5%
9	Jeremy Ruckert TE	3	2.7	8	7.9%
10	Sterling Shepard WR	2	1.0	2	4.7%

Game log · 10 games

Date	Wk	Opp	Rec Yds	vs 17.5	Close	Snaps
2026-10-11	5	vs CLE	16	Under	22.5	43 (61%)
2026-10-04	4	@ CHI	73	Over	22.5	30 (94%)
2026-09-27	3	@ DET	21	Over	33.5	59 (89%)
2026-09-20	2	vs GB	34	Over	11.5	61 (82%)
2026-09-13	1	@ TEN	7	Under	6.5	40 (60%)
2026-01-04	18	@ BUF	24	Over	23.5	25 (52%)
2025-12-28	17	vs NE	30	Over	13.5	43 (69%)
2025-12-21	16	@ NO	25	Over	25.5	51 (77%)
2025-12-14	15	@ JAX	53	Over	43.5	41 (60%)
2025-12-07	14	vs MIA	24	Over	10.5	33 (57%)

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 17.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: PrizePicks, updated 13m ago.