NFL Prop Research: Game Logs vs Today's Line

Bryce Young QB

CAR vs PHI · Sun Oct 18 · 1:00 PM ET

238.5 Pass Yds O -112U -112

Hit rate · All 31%11/35 Odds imply 50.0% Over

Season avg: 317.0
Graph avg: 198.5
Graph median: 191.0-4–448
Over the close: 40%8/20

2026 per game

Pass Yds317.0▲+124.4

Att40.5▲+10.0

Cmp%62.3%▼-0.4

Pass TD2.2▲+0.8

INT0.5▼-0.2

Rush Yds4.8▼-9.4

Snaps68.8▲+8.1

Snap %96.0%▼-0.9

238.5

2024

161

Sep 08
84

Sep 15
58

Oct 06
-4

Oct 20
224

Oct 27
171

Nov 03
126

Nov 10
263

Nov 24
298

Dec 01
191

Dec 08
219

Dec 15
158

Dec 22
203

Dec 29
251

Jan 05
2025

154

Sep 07
328

Sep 14
121

Sep 21
150

Sep 28
198

Oct 05
199

Oct 12
138

Oct 19
102

Nov 02
124

Nov 09
448

Nov 16
169

Nov 24
206

Nov 30
163

Dec 14
191

Dec 21
54

Dec 28
266

Jan 03
264

Jan 10
2026

361

Sep 13
287

Sep 20
291

Sep 27
329

Oct 04
?

Oct 18

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 238.5

Home 29% 5/17 · avg 198.0
Away 33% 6/18 · avg 198.9
vs PHI 0% 0/1 · avg 191.0

Alt lines all · how often Over cleared

O 218.5 37% 13/35
O 228.5 31% 11/35
O 238.5 Today 31% 11/35
O 248.5 31% 11/35
O 258.5 29% 10/35

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · QBs vs PHI

What PHI allowed to QBs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

Pass Yds209.9#24
Yds/Att6.7#22
Cmp%61.5%#26
Pass TD0.9#30
Pass Att31.4#21

QBs vs PHI · 2026

Each main QB who faced PHI this season: pass yds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm+36.2

Avg diff %+18%

Beat their average100% (4/4)

Date	Player	Result	Their avg	Diff
Oct 11	Trevor Lawrence	331	210.8	+57%
Oct 04	Matthew Stafford	317	313.8	+1%
Sep 20	Cam Ward	183	178.2	+3%
Sep 13	Jayden Daniels	164	147.5	+11%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

CAR offense

CAR offense: Share of CAR pass attempts, last 10 games
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	7%9.2 yds	4%16.7 yds	6%17.1 yds
Short	33%5.0 yds	15%8.5 yds	34%5.1 yds

Share of CAR pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

PHI defense

PHI defense: Throws PHI faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	4%10.4 yds#15	3%21.6 yds#3	7%11.8 yds#14
Short	33%5.7 yds#17	20%6.3 yds#22	32%5.2 yds#23

Throws PHI faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His throws

His throws: Last 10 games
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	8%9.2 yds	4%16.7 yds	7%17.1 yds
Short	33%5.1 yds	15%8.5 yds	34%5.1 yds

Last 10 games · Yds/att

Each pass-catcher’s share of CAR targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.

#	Player	GP	Tgt/g	Total	Share
1	Tetairoa McMillan WR	4	9.8	39	26.9%
2	Jalen Coker WR	3	7.3	22	21.4%
3	Darren Waller TE	4	4.8	19	12.4%
4	Tommy Tremble TE	4	3.8	15	10.2%
5	Xavier Legette WR	2	3.0	6	9.2%
6	John Metchie III WR	3	3.3	10	8.2%
7	Chuba Hubbard RB	4	2.8	11	7.4%
8	Brycen Tremayne WR	4	2.2	9	5.5%
9	Mitchell Evans TE	4	1.8	7	4.7%
10	Jonathon Brooks RB	2	1.5	3	4.5%

Game log · 35 games

Date	Wk	Opp	Pass Yds	vs 238.5	Close	Snaps
2026-10-04	4	vs DET	329	Over	243.5	75 (100%)
2026-09-27	3	@ CLE	291	Over	221.5	77 (100%)
2026-09-20	2	@ ATL	287	Over	221.5	62 (94%)
2026-09-13	1	vs CHI	361	Over	209.5	61 (90%)
2026-01-10	19 (P)	vs LA	264	Over	266.5	67 (100%)
2026-01-03	18	@ TB	266	Over	225.5	51 (100%)
2025-12-28	17	vs SEA	54	Under	191.5	53 (100%)
2025-12-21	16	vs TB	191	Under	196.5	54 (100%)
2025-12-14	15	@ NO	163	Under	200.5	57 (100%)
2025-11-30	13	vs LA	206	Under	215.5	64 (100%)
2025-11-24	12	@ SF	169	Under	180.5	46 (100%)
2025-11-16	11	@ ATL	448	Over	350.5	80 (100%)
2025-11-09	10	vs NO	124	Under	152.5	53 (100%)
2025-11-02	9	@ GB	102	Under	—	58 (100%)
2025-10-19	7	@ NYJ	138	Under	191.5	49 (69%)
2025-10-12	6	vs DAL	199	Under	204.5	67 (100%)
2025-10-05	5	vs MIA	198	Under	212.5	70 (100%)
2025-09-28	4	@ NE	150	Under	202.5	56 (81%)
2025-09-21	3	vs ATL	121	Under	125.5	57 (98%)
2025-09-14	2	@ ARI	328	Over	265.5	85 (100%)
2025-09-07	1	@ JAX	154	Under	148.5	64 (100%)
2025-01-05	18	@ ATL	251	Over	—	67 (100%)
2024-12-29	17	@ TB	203	Under	—	47 (100%)
2024-12-22	16	vs ARI	158	Under	—	68 (100%)
2024-12-15	15	vs DAL	219	Under	—	55 (100%)
2024-12-08	14	@ PHI	191	Under	—	71 (100%)
2024-12-01	13	vs TB	298	Over	—	70 (100%)
2024-11-24	12	vs KC	263	Over	—	62 (100%)
2024-11-10	10	vs NYG	126	Under	—	60 (100%)
2024-11-03	9	vs NO	171	Under	—	53 (100%)
2024-10-27	8	@ DEN	224	Under	—	61 (100%)
2024-10-20	7	@ WAS	-4	Under	—	3 (7%)
2024-10-06	5	@ CHI	58	Under	—	9 (15%)
2024-09-15	2	vs LAC	84	Under	—	48 (100%)
2024-09-08	1	@ NO	161	Under	—	54 (92%)

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: DraftKings, updated 19m ago.