NFL Prop Research: Game Logs vs Today's Line

Blake Corum RB

LAR vs ARI · Sun Oct 18 · 4:05 PM ET

42.5 Rush Yds O -114U -114

Hit rate · All 32%13/40 Odds imply 50.0% Over

Season avg: 36.2
Graph avg: 31.3
Graph median: 22.0-4–128
Over the close: 30%7/23

2026 per game

Carries7.6▼-1.0

Rush Yds36.2▼-7.0

Rush TD0.2▼-0.1

Targets2.2▲+1.3

Rec1.4▲+0.7

Rec Yds14.6▲+10.9

Snaps20.4▼-0.2

Snap %27.8%▼-2.5

42.5

2024

0

Sep 08
28

Sep 15
25

Oct 06
11

Oct 20
9

Oct 24
-1

Nov 03
8

Nov 11
21

Nov 17
5

Nov 24
42

Dec 01
34

Dec 08
5

Dec 12
14

Dec 22
-4

Dec 28
10

Jan 05
2025

2

Sep 07
44

Sep 14
53

Sep 21
21

Sep 28
13

Oct 02
23

Oct 12
37

Oct 19
58

Nov 02
56

Nov 09
10

Nov 16
24

Nov 23
81

Nov 30
128

Dec 07
71

Dec 14
48

Dec 18
18

Dec 29
59

Jan 04
45

Jan 10
19

Jan 18
55

Jan 25
2026

54

Sep 10
79

Sep 21
15

Sep 27
14

Oct 04
19

Oct 12
?

Oct 18

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 42.5

Home 26% 5/19 · avg 26.7
Away 38% 8/21 · avg 35.5
vs ARI 50% 2/4 · avg 52.8

Alt lines all · how often Over cleared

O 32.5 40% 16/40
O 37.5 35% 14/40
O 42.5 Today 32% 13/40
O 47.5 28% 11/40
O 52.5 25% 10/40

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · RBs vs ARI

What ARI allowed to RBs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

Rush Yds132.6#1
Yds/Carry4.8#3
Rush TD1.0#7
Targets5.4#16
Rec Yds36.3#8

RBs vs ARI · 2026

Each main RB who faced ARI this season: rush yds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm+24.0

Avg diff %+41%

Beat their average60% (3/5)

Date	Player	Result	Their avg	Diff
Oct 11	Jahmyr Gibbs	151	88.2	+71%
Oct 04	Cam Skattebo	58	59.0	-2%
Sep 27	Christian McCaffrey	75	52.8	+42%
Sep 20	Emanuel Wilson	92	42.2	+118%
Sep 13	Omarion Hampton	43	57.0	-25%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

LAR offense

LAR offense: Share of LAR pass attempts, last 10 games
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	9%7.3 yds	3%9.9 yds	15%11.6 yds
Short	23%6.7 yds	18%7.9 yds	33%5.6 yds

Share of LAR pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

ARI defense

ARI defense: Throws ARI faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	7%14.5 yds#5	3%14.6 yds#17	10%12.2 yds#11
Short	30%6.1 yds#12	18%8.6 yds#5	31%7.3 yds#2

Throws ARI faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His targets

His targets: Last 10 games
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	0%	0%	0%
Short	32%8.0 yds	32%4.3 yds	36%5.6 yds

Last 10 games · Yds/target

Each pass-catcher’s share of LA targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.

#	Player	GP	Tgt/g	Total	Share
1	Puka Nacua WR	3	15.0	45	33.9%
2	Davante Adams WR	5	9.0	45	22.6%
3	Kyren Williams RB	5	6.6	33	14.6%
4	Tyler Higbee TE	4	6.2	25	13.2%
5	Terrance Ferguson TE	3	4.0	12	12.6%
6	Konata Mumpfield WR	4	3.5	14	8.2%
7	Colby Parkinson TE	4	1.8	7	5.0%
8	Blake Corum RB	5	2.2	11	4.6%
9	Davis Allen TE	5	1.8	9	4.2%
10	Ronnie Rivers RB	1	1.0	1	3.7%

Game log · 40 games

Date	Wk	Opp	Rush Yds	vs 42.5	Close	Snaps
2026-10-12	5	vs BUF	19	Under	33.5	22 (27%)
2026-10-04	4	@ PHI	14	Under	39.5	13 (15%)
2026-09-27	3	@ DEN	15	Under	49.5	25 (29%)
2026-09-21	2	vs NYG	79	Over	49.5	28 (45%)
2026-09-10	1	vs SF	54	Over	42.5	14 (23%)
2026-01-25	21 (P)	@ SEA	55	Over	29.5	23 (38%)
2026-01-18	20 (P)	@ CHI	19	Under	46.5	29 (37%)
2026-01-10	19 (P)	@ CAR	45	Over	47.5	28 (37%)
2026-01-04	18	vs ARI	59	Over	59.5	25 (33%)
2025-12-29	17	@ ATL	18	Under	40.5	16 (25%)
2025-12-18	16	@ SEA	48	Over	50.5	27 (29%)
2025-12-14	15	vs DET	71	Over	37.5	33 (46%)
2025-12-07	14	@ ARI	128	Over	100.5	22 (31%)
2025-11-30	13	@ CAR	81	Over	85.5	17 (33%)
2025-11-23	12	vs TB	24	Under	25.5	19 (34%)
2025-11-16	11	vs SEA	10	Under	10.5	16 (31%)
2025-11-09	10	@ SF	56	Over	50.5	27 (39%)
2025-11-02	9	vs NO	58	Over	70.5	22 (28%)
2025-10-19	7	@ JAX	37	Under	20.5	24 (34%)
2025-10-12	6	@ BAL	23	Under	25.5	12 (23%)
2025-10-02	5	vs SF	13	Under	15.5	6 (9%)
2025-09-28	4	vs IND	21	Under	25.5	22 (29%)
2025-09-21	3	@ PHI	53	Over	54.5	16 (24%)
2025-09-14	2	@ TEN	44	Over	—	18 (30%)
2025-09-07	1	vs HOU	2	Under	—	10 (17%)
2025-01-05	18	vs SEA	10	Under	—	12 (18%)
2024-12-28	17	vs ARI	-4	Under	—	3 (5%)
2024-12-22	16	@ NYJ	14	Under	—	9 (17%)
2024-12-12	15	@ SF	5	Under	—	9 (14%)
2024-12-08	14	vs BUF	34	Under	—	13 (17%)
2024-12-01	13	@ NO	42	Under	—	18 (32%)
2024-11-24	12	vs PHI	5	Under	—	6 (9%)
2024-11-17	11	@ NE	21	Under	—	10 (19%)
2024-11-11	10	vs MIA	8	Under	—	5 (7%)
2024-11-03	9	@ SEA	-1	Under	—	1 (1%)
2024-10-24	8	vs MIN	9	Under	—	8 (11%)
2024-10-20	7	vs LV	11	Under	—	6 (11%)
2024-10-06	5	vs GB	25	Under	—	11 (14%)
2024-09-15	2	@ ARI	28	Under	—	8 (15%)
2024-09-08	1	@ DET	0	Under	—	—

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 42.5Underdog 49.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: FanDuel, updated 13m ago.