Game logs through Oct 15, 2026 · 181 players
Kirk Cousins QB
LV vs BUF ·
254.5 Pass Yds
O -115U -115
- Season avg
- 253.8
- Graph avg
- 253.8
- Graph median
- 248.0160–365
- Over the close
- 80%4/5
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2026
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Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.
Splits all logged games · over 254.5
- Home 14% 2/14 · avg 217.5
- Away 27% 4/15 · avg 230.2
- vs BUF No games
Alt lines this season · how often Over cleared
- O 234.5 80% 4/5
- O 244.5 60% 3/5
- O 254.5 Today 20% 1/5
- O 264.5 20% 1/5
- O 274.5 20% 1/5
Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.
Matchup radar · QBs vs BUF
What BUF allowed to QBs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.
- Pass Yds229.2#15
- Yds/Att6.5#26
- Cmp%62.5%#21
- Pass TD2.2#3
- Pass Att35.5#6
QBs vs BUF · 2026
Each main QB who faced BUF this season: pass yds in that game against their own average in their other games.
| Date | Player | Result | Their avg | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12 |
Matthew Stafford | 383 | 297.2 | +29% |
| Oct 04 |
Drake Maye | 269 | 239.8 | +12% |
| Sep 27 |
Justin Herbert | 226 | 177.8 | +27% |
| Sep 17 |
Jared Goff | 327 | 289.5 | +13% |
| Sep 13 |
C.J. Stroud | 274 | 282.0 | -3% |
Target zones
Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.
LV offense
| Depth | Left | Middle | Right |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep | 8%14.5 yds | 3%5.3 yds | 5%7.0 yds |
| Short | 30%5.6 yds | 19%7.0 yds | 35%5.8 yds |
Share of LV pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att
BUF defense
| Depth | Left | Middle | Right |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep | 7%11.5 yds#14 | 4%8.1 yds#32 | 9%9.2 yds#25 |
| Short | 30%5.5 yds#22 | 16%6.5 yds#20 | 35%5.4 yds#16 |
Throws BUF faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed
His throws
| Depth | Left | Middle | Right |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep | 8%11.3 yds | 3%5.4 yds | 7%7.4 yds |
| Short | 31%6.3 yds | 22%7.4 yds | 28%6.4 yds |
Last 10 games · Yds/att
Target share · LV 2026
Each pass-catcher’s share of LV targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.
| # | Player | GP | Tgt/g | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brock Bowers TE | 3 | 11.3 | 34 | 31.3% |
| 2 | Ashton Jeanty RB | 5 | 6.0 | 30 | 17.6% |
| 3 | Tre Tucker WR | 5 | 5.6 | 28 | 16.4% |
| 4 | Michael Mayer TE | 5 | 5.0 | 25 | 14.3% |
| 5 | Jalen Nailor WR | 3 | 3.7 | 11 | 12.5% |
| 6 | Jack Bech WR | 2 | 3.0 | 6 | 10.3% |
| 7 | Cody White WR | 5 | 2.8 | 14 | 8.0% |
| 8 | Malik Benson WR | 5 | 1.6 | 8 | 5.0% |
| 9 | Ian Thomas TE | 3 | 1.3 | 4 | 3.5% |
| 10 | Deven Thompkins WR | 1 | 1.0 | 1 | 2.8% |
Game log · 5 games
| Date | Wk | Opp | Pass Yds | vs 254.5 | Close | Snaps |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-11 | 5 | @ NE | 243 | Under | 231.5 | 50 (83%) |
| 2026-10-04 | 4 | vs KC | 365 | Over | 223.5 | 84 (100%) |
| 2026-09-27 | 3 | @ NO | 248 | Under | 211.5 | 70 (100%) |
| 2026-09-20 | 2 | @ LAC | 253 | Under | 192.5 | 63 (100%) |
| 2026-09-13 | 1 | vs MIA | 160 | Under | 205.5 | 68 (100%) |
Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 248.5Underdog 249.5
Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: BetMGM, updated 8m ago.
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