NFL Prop Research: Game Logs vs Today's Line

KaVontae Turpin WR

DAL vs GB · Sun Oct 18 · 8:20 PM ET

5.5 Rec Yds O -116U -109

Hit rate · Last 20 75%15/20 Odds imply 50.7% Over

Season avg: 7.8
Graph avg: 21.8
Graph median: 15.5-2–86
Over the close: 43%6/14

2026 per game

Targets1.4▼-1.1

Rec0.8▼-0.9

Rec Yds7.8▼-18.6

Rec TD0.0▼-0.1

Snaps11.4▼-13.9

Snap %17.8%▼-17.7

5.5

2025

18

Sep 04
47

Sep 14
64

Sep 21
30

Sep 28
17

Oct 19
-2

Oct 26
10

Nov 03
0

Nov 17
48

Nov 23
28

Nov 27
26

Dec 04
10

Dec 14
14

Dec 21
86

Dec 25
0

Jan 04
2026

8

Sep 13
0

Sep 20
9

Sep 27
0

Oct 04
22

Oct 08
?

Oct 19

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 5.5

Home 85% 17/20 · avg 26.4
Away 59% 10/17 · avg 19.2
vs GB 100% 1/1 · avg 30.0

Alt lines last 20 · how often Over cleared

O 0.5 75% 15/20
O 5.5 Today 75% 15/20
O 10.5 55% 11/20
O 15.5 50% 10/20

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · WRs vs GB

What GB allowed to WRs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

Rec Yds145.3#15
Receptions12.1#10
Targets18.1#14
Yds/Target8.0#17
Rec TD1.2#5

WRs vs GB · 2026

Each main WR who faced GB this season: rec yds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm-4.3

Avg diff %-16%

Beat their average30% (3/10)

Date	Player	Result	Their avg	Diff
Oct 11	Rome Odunze	40	58.2	-31%
Oct 11	Kalif Raymond	6	55.0	-89%
Oct 04	Emeka Egbuka	13	44.8	-71%
Oct 04	Chris Godwin Jr.	31	37.0	-16%
Sep 24	Drake London	194	73.5	+164%
Sep 24	Jahan Dotson	11	34.5	-68%
Sep 20	Garrett Wilson	57	79.2	-28%
Sep 20	Isaiah Williams	34	29.2	+16%
Sep 13	Justin Jefferson	92	55.3	+66%
Sep 13	Jordan Addison	0	54.3	-100%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

DAL offense

DAL offense: Share of DAL pass attempts, last 10 games
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	8%9.5 yds	5%21.2 yds	5%14.8 yds
Short	34%6.3 yds	16%5.7 yds	33%5.8 yds

Share of DAL pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

GB defense

GB defense: Throws GB faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	10%14.1 yds#7	3%11.0 yds#30	7%7.5 yds#28
Short	26%5.3 yds#23	20%6.3 yds#23	34%6.1 yds#7

Throws GB faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His targets

His targets: Last 10 games
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	5%0.0 yds	10%43.0 yds	0%
Short	52%9.1 yds	10%24.0 yds	24%3.4 yds

Last 10 games · Yds/target

Each pass-catcher’s share of DAL targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.

#	Player	GP	Tgt/g	Total	Share
1	CeeDee Lamb WR	5	10.2	51	27.3%
2	George Pickens WR	5	8.2	41	22.2%
3	Ryan Flournoy WR	5	5.4	27	14.8%
4	Javonte Williams RB	5	4.0	20	11.2%
5	Jake Ferguson TE	5	4.2	21	11.1%
6	Jonathan Mingo WR	3	2.3	7	5.8%
7	KaVontae Turpin WR	5	1.4	7	3.6%
8	Brevyn Spann-Ford TE	5	1.2	6	3.3%
9	Luke Schoonmaker TE	3	1.0	3	2.7%
10	Tyler Goodson RB	2	1.0	2	2.4%

Game log · 20 games

Date	Wk	Opp	Rec Yds	vs 5.5	Close	Snaps
2026-10-08	5	vs TB	22	Over	0.5	24 (40%)
2026-10-04	4	@ HOU	0	Under	—	8 (10%)
2026-09-27	3	vs BAL	9	Over	—	12 (16%)
2026-09-20	2	vs WAS	0	Under	—	5 (9%)
2026-09-13	1	@ NYG	8	Over	5.5	8 (14%)
2026-01-04	18	@ NYG	0	Under	—	9 (16%)
2025-12-25	17	@ WAS	86	Over	90.5	16 (17%)
2025-12-21	16	vs LAC	14	Over	14.5	18 (31%)
2025-12-14	15	vs MIN	10	Over	10.5	14 (20%)
2025-12-04	14	@ DET	26	Over	5.5	43 (52%)
2025-11-27	13	vs KC	28	Over	28.5	26 (36%)
2025-11-23	12	vs PHI	48	Over	48.5	35 (47%)
2025-11-17	11	@ LV	0	Under	10.5	23 (34%)
2025-11-03	9	vs ARI	10	Over	—	13 (19%)
2025-10-26	8	@ DEN	-2	Under	10.5	30 (41%)
2025-10-19	7	vs WAS	17	Over	20.5	20 (30%)
2025-09-28	4	vs GB	30	Over	—	42 (61%)
2025-09-21	3	@ CHI	64	Over	30.5	49 (66%)
2025-09-14	2	vs NYG	47	Over	16.5	14 (16%)
2025-09-04	1	@ PHI	18	Over	16.5	28 (46%)

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 5.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: DraftKings, updated 12m ago.