Game logs through Oct 15, 2026 · 181 players
Deshaun Watson QB
CLE vs BAL ·
205.5 Pass Yds
O -113U -111
- Season avg
- 202.0
- Graph avg
- 202.0
- Graph median
- 205.0144–268
- Over the close
- 60%3/5
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2026
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Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.
Splits all logged games · over 205.5
- Home 20% 1/5 · avg 181.0
- Away 14% 1/7 · avg 179.0
- vs BAL No games
Alt lines this season · how often Over cleared
- O 185.5 60% 3/5
- O 195.5 60% 3/5
- O 205.5 Today 40% 2/5
- O 215.5 40% 2/5
- O 225.5 40% 2/5
Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.
Matchup radar · QBs vs BAL
What BAL allowed to QBs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.
- Pass Yds266.9#2
- Yds/Att7.4#11
- Cmp%66.9%#5
- Pass TD1.0#29
- Pass Att36.0#3
QBs vs BAL · 2026
Each main QB who faced BAL this season: pass yds in that game against their own average in their other games.
| Date | Player | Result | Their avg | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11 |
Michael Penix Jr. | 240 | 239.5 | +0% |
| Oct 04 |
Cam Ward | 222 | 168.5 | +32% |
| Sep 27 |
Dak Prescott | 276 | 276.2 | +0% |
| Sep 20 |
Tyler Shough | 252 | 261.8 | -4% |
| Sep 13 |
Daniel Jones | 166 | 213.8 | -22% |
Target zones
Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.
CLE offense
| Depth | Left | Middle | Right |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep | 5%10.9 yds | 6%13.1 yds | 5%10.6 yds |
| Short | 34%5.3 yds | 18%7.6 yds | 32%5.2 yds |
Share of CLE pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att
BAL defense
| Depth | Left | Middle | Right |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep | 6%16.0 yds#3 | 5%14.3 yds#19 | 7%17.7 yds#3 |
| Short | 31%5.8 yds#16 | 16%5.8 yds#27 | 35%5.2 yds#21 |
Throws BAL faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed
His throws
| Depth | Left | Middle | Right |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep | 6%12.2 yds | 5%7.9 yds | 5%15.3 yds |
| Short | 44%5.8 yds | 13%7.9 yds | 27%5.1 yds |
Last 5 games · Yds/att
Target share · CLE 2026
Each pass-catcher’s share of CLE targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.
| # | Player | GP | Tgt/g | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | KC Concepcion WR | 5 | 5.8 | 29 | 20.0% |
| 2 | Denzel Boston WR | 5 | 5.8 | 29 | 19.6% |
| 3 | Harold Fannin Jr. TE | 5 | 5.4 | 27 | 18.3% |
| 4 | Quinshon Judkins RB | 5 | 4.0 | 20 | 13.2% |
| 5 | Jerry Jeudy WR | 4 | 3.8 | 15 | 13.1% |
| 6 | Isaiah Bond WR | 3 | 3.0 | 9 | 9.4% |
| 7 | Raheim Sanders RB | 5 | 2.4 | 12 | 8.6% |
| 8 | Blake Whiteheart TE | 3 | 1.0 | 3 | 3.7% |
| 9 | Jaleel McLaughlin RB | 3 | 0.7 | 2 | 2.2% |
| 10 | Michael Burton FB | 2 | 0.5 | 1 | 1.7% |
Game log · 5 games
| Date | Wk | Opp | Pass Yds | vs 205.5 | Close | Snaps |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-11 | 5 | @ NYJ | 155 | Under | 190.5 | 68 (100%) |
| 2026-10-01 | 4 | vs PIT | 268 | Over | 186.5 | 64 (100%) |
| 2026-09-27 | 3 | vs CAR | 144 | Under | 187.5 | 69 (99%) |
| 2026-09-20 | 2 | @ TB | 238 | Over | 175.5 | 58 (100%) |
| 2026-09-13 | 1 | @ JAX | 205 | Under | 178.5 | 51 (100%) |
Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 200.5
Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: DraftKings, updated 12m ago.
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