NFL Prop Research: Game Logs vs Today's Line

Parker Washington WR

JAX vs PHI · Sun Oct 11 · 9:30 AM ET

60.5 Rec Yds O -114U -114

Hit rate · Last 20 45%9/20 Odds imply 50.0% Over

Season avg: 57.0
Graph avg: 59.1
Graph median: 52.50–145
Over the close: 32%6/19

2026 per game

Targets6.5▲+0.2

Rec4.0▲+0.2

Rec Yds57.0▲+0.9

Rec TD0.5▲+0.1

Snaps45.5▲+3.6

Snap %75.8%▲+13.8

2025

76

Sep 14
34

Sep 21
0

Sep 28
16

Oct 06
29

Oct 12
52

Oct 19
90

Nov 02
33

Nov 09
20

Nov 16
71

Nov 23
26

Nov 30
53

Dec 14
145

Dec 21
115

Dec 28
87

Jan 04
107

Jan 11
2026

83

Sep 13
98

Sep 20
40

Sep 27
7

Oct 04
?

Oct 11

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 60.5

Home 24% 4/17 · avg 44.4
Away 33% 6/18 · avg 45.4
vs PHI 0% 0/1 · avg 41.0

Alt lines last 20 · how often Over cleared

O 40.5 55% 11/20
O 50.5 55% 11/20
O 60.5 Today 45% 9/20
O 70.5 45% 9/20
O 80.5 35% 7/20

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · WRs vs PHI

What PHI allowed to WRs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

Rec Yds128.3#22
Receptions9.9#25
Targets16.3#25
Yds/Target7.9#15
Rec TD0.5#29

WRs vs PHI · 2026

Each main WR who faced PHI this season: rec yds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm-30.1

Avg diff %-43%

Beat their average25% (2/8)

Date	Player	Result	Their avg	Diff
Oct 04	Davante Adams	32	119.3	-73%
Oct 04	Konata Mumpfield	7	35.0	-80%
Sep 28	Rome Odunze	44	63.0	-30%
Sep 28	Luther Burden III	61	52.7	+16%
Sep 20	Carnell Tate	27	80.3	-66%
Sep 20	Wan'Dale Robinson	9	38.0	-76%
Sep 13	Terry McLaurin	14	63.5	-78%
Sep 13	Stefon Diggs	55	38.3	+43%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

JAX offense

JAX offense: Share of JAX pass attempts, last 10 games
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	12%10.7 yds	5%16.9 yds	8%11.0 yds
Short	32%6.5 yds	16%6.2 yds	28%7.6 yds

Share of JAX pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

PHI defense

PHI defense: Throws PHI faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	4%8.9 yds#22	4%19.6 yds#5	8%10.2 yds#20
Short	32%5.8 yds#16	19%6.0 yds#24	34%4.6 yds#28

Throws PHI faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His targets

His targets: Last 10 games
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	22%10.0 yds	12%20.8 yds	7%13.4 yds
Short	27%6.7 yds	12%7.1 yds	19%10.7 yds

Last 10 games · Yds/target

Each pass-catcher’s share of JAX targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.

#	Player	GP	Tgt/g	Total	Share
1	Parker Washington WR	4	6.5	26	25.7%
2	Brenton Strange TE	4	4.5	18	18.7%
3	Jakobi Meyers WR	4	3.8	15	15.0%
4	Brian Thomas Jr. WR	4	3.5	14	13.8%
5	Bhayshul Tuten RB	4	1.8	7	7.0%
6	Josh Cameron WR	4	1.5	6	6.4%
7	Nate Boerkircher TE	3	1.3	4	5.7%
8	LeQuint Allen Jr. RB	3	1.0	3	3.7%
9	Ameer Abdullah RB	4	0.8	3	3.0%
10	Quintin Morris TE	3	0.7	2	2.8%

Game log · 20 games

Date	Wk	Opp	Rec Yds	vs 60.5	Close	Snaps
2026-10-04	4	@ CIN	7	Under	75.5	49 (80%)
2026-09-27	3	vs NE	40	Under	70.5	50 (81%)
2026-09-20	2	@ DEN	98	Over	59.5	48 (81%)
2026-09-13	1	vs CLE	83	Over	53.5	35 (61%)
2026-01-11	19 (P)	vs BUF	107	Over	107.5	40 (71%)
2026-01-04	18	vs TEN	87	Over	77.5	45 (74%)
2025-12-28	17	@ IND	115	Over	115.5	56 (81%)
2025-12-21	16	@ DEN	145	Over	145.5	39 (56%)
2025-12-14	15	vs NYJ	53	Under	55.5	28 (45%)
2025-11-30	13	@ TEN	26	Under	40.5	24 (38%)
2025-11-23	12	@ ARI	71	Over	40.5	52 (84%)
2025-11-16	11	vs LAC	20	Under	20.5	54 (76%)
2025-11-09	10	@ HOU	33	Under	42.5	54 (87%)
2025-11-02	9	@ LV	90	Over	80.5	70 (88%)
2025-10-19	7	vs LA	52	Under	17.5	68 (88%)
2025-10-12	6	vs SEA	29	Under	29.5	25 (33%)
2025-10-06	5	vs KC	16	Under	16.5	15 (26%)
2025-09-28	4	@ SF	0	Under	0.5	58 (85%)
2025-09-21	3	vs HOU	34	Under	34.5	50 (71%)
2025-09-14	2	@ CIN	76	Over	—	17 (24%)

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 60.5Underdog 60.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: FanDuel, updated 15m ago.