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Game logs through Oct 8, 2026 · 171 players

Nico Collins WR

HOU vs TEN ·

79.5 Rec Yds O -105U -125
Hit rate · Last 20 45%9/20 Odds imply 48.0% Over
Season avg
96.5
Graph avg
76.7
Graph median
77.021–136
Over the close
47%8/17
2026 per game
Targets9.0â–²+1.1
Rec7.0â–²+2.4
Rec Yds96.5â–²+25.4
Rec TD1.5â–²+1.1
Snaps47.5â–¼-3.5
Snap %70.5%â–¼-5.4
Nico Collins receiving yards by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 79.5.
  1. 2024
    122
  2. 81
  3. 2025
    25
  4. 52
  5. 104
  6. 79
  7. 52
  8. 27
  9. 75
  10. 136
  11. 92
  12. 55
  13. 98
  14. 121
  15. 85
  16. 59
  17. 57
  18. 21
  19. 2026
    75
  20. 118
  21. ?

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 79.5

  • Home 44% 7/16 · avg 86.8
  • Away 50% 8/16 · avg 72.0
  • vs TEN 50% 2/4 · avg 75.2

Alt lines last 20 · how often Over cleared

  • O 59.5 60% 12/20
  • O 69.5 60% 12/20
  • O 79.5 Today 45% 9/20
  • O 89.5 35% 7/20
  • O 99.5 25% 5/20

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · WRs vs TEN

What TEN allowed to WRs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

Rec YdsReceptionsTargetsYds/TargetRec TD
  • Rec Yds161.7#8
  • Receptions11.5#11
  • Targets16.3#26
  • Yds/Target9.9#1
  • Rec TD1.0#10

WRs vs TEN · 2026

Each main WR who faced TEN this season: rec yds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm+3.1
Avg diff %+3%
Beat their average62% (5/8)
DatePlayerResultTheir avgDiff
Oct 04 Zay Flowers118117.0+1%
Oct 04 Rashod Bateman4641.7+10%
Sep 27 Malik Nabers2660.7-57%
Sep 27 Malachi Fields1935.7-47%
Sep 20 DeVonta Smith11759.0+98%
Sep 20 Dontayvion Wicks7441.0+80%
Sep 13 Garrett Wilson7963.7+24%
Sep 13 Isaiah Williams742.7-84%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

HOU offense

HOU offense: Share of HOU pass attempts, last 10 games
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep7%9.3 yds3%23.0 yds8%8.5 yds
Short24%4.9 yds22%9.0 yds36%5.7 yds

Share of HOU pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

TEN defense

TEN defense: Throws TEN faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep7%11.7 yds#124%24.2 yds#38%14.8 yds#5
Short33%6.5 yds#716%9.4 yds#332%5.8 yds#14

Throws TEN faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His targets

His targets: Last 10 games
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep11%10.8 yds7%31.6 yds16%9.8 yds
Short16%4.6 yds27%11.3 yds22%8.6 yds

Last 10 games · Yds/target

Target share · HOU 2026

Each pass-catcher’s share of HOU targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.

#PlayerGPTgt/gTotalShare
1Nico Collins WR29.01828.9%
2Xavier Hutchinson WR46.52619.4%
3Dalton Schultz TE46.82717.3%
4Jared Wayne WR34.01210.9%
5Kayshon Boutte WR43.2139.7%
6Jaylin Noel WR43.0128.7%
7Foster Moreau TE42.297.3%
8Woody Marks RB42.295.6%
9David Montgomery RB41.875.0%
10Lewis Bond WR11.014.0%

Game log · 20 games

DateWkOppRec Ydsvs 79.5CloseSnaps
2026-10-044vs DAL118Over72.538 (69%)
2026-09-131vs BUF75Under69.557 (72%)
2026-01-1219 (P)@ PIT21Under36.538 (56%)
2025-12-2717@ LAC57Under38.544 (68%)
2025-12-2116vs LV59Under66.552 (80%)
2025-12-1415vs ARI85Over75.549 (73%)
2025-12-0714@ KC121Over121.557 (81%)
2025-11-3013@ IND98Over75.557 (75%)
2025-11-2012vs BUF55Under55.544 (75%)
2025-11-1611@ TEN92Over75.559 (84%)
2025-11-0910vs JAX136Over67.567 (89%)
2025-11-029vs DEN75Under75.558 (79%)
2025-10-207@ SEA27Under—39 (51%)
2025-10-055@ BAL52Under40.540 (57%)
2025-09-284vs TEN79Under79.561 (86%)
2025-09-213@ JAX104Over105.554 (86%)
2025-09-152vs TB52Under65.544 (90%)
2025-09-071@ LA25Under32.553 (84%)
2025-01-1820 (P)@ KC81Over—56 (82%)
2025-01-1119 (P)vs LAC122Over—64 (88%)

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 76.5Underdog 79.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: ESPN BET, updated 13m ago.