NFL Prop Research

TH

Tre' Harris WR

LAC vs DEN · Sun Oct 11 · 4:05 PM ET

49.5 Rec Yds

Hit rate · All 19%4/21 Odds imply —

Season avg

52.2

Graph avg

26.3

Graph median

20.00–76

Over the close

41%7/17

2026 per game

Targets5.2▲+2.5

Rec3.2▲+1.4

Rec Yds52.2▲+32.0

Rec TD0.0▼-0.1

Snaps50.8▲+17.6

Snap %77.0%▲+27.3

Splits all logged games · over 49.5

• Home 10% 1/10 · avg 17.5
• Away 27% 3/11 · avg 34.4
• vs DEN 0% 0/2 · avg 14.0

Alt lines all · how often Over cleared

• O 39.5 24% 5/21
• O 44.5 24% 5/21
• O 49.5 Today 19% 4/21
• O 54.5 10% 2/21
• O 59.5 10% 2/21

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · WRs vs DEN

What DEN allowed to WRs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

• Rec Yds123.8#27
• Receptions10.0#24
• Targets18.3#10
• Yds/Target6.8#31
• Rec TD0.6#27

WRs vs DEN · 2026

Each main WR who faced DEN this season: rec yds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm+5.0

Avg diff %+169%

Beat their average50% (4/8)

Date	Player	Result	Their avg	Diff
Oct 04	SF Deebo Samuel Sr.	26	53.0	-51%
Oct 04	SF Mike Evans	76	45.7	+66%
Sep 27	LA Davante Adams	137	84.3	+62%
Sep 27	LA Konata Mumpfield	93	6.3	+1368%
Sep 20	JAX Jakobi Meyers	28	45.7	-39%
Sep 20	JAX Parker Washington	98	43.3	+126%
Sep 14	KC Rashee Rice	19	85.5	-78%
Sep 14	KC Tyquan Thornton	0	73.0	-100%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

LAC offense

LAC offense: Share of LAC pass attempts, last 10 games

Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	10%12.9 yds	2%13.6 yds	9%6.5 yds
Short	29%6.6 yds	14%5.4 yds	37%4.8 yds

Share of LAC pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

DEN defense

DEN defense: Throws DEN faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed

Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	10%4.4 yds#31	4%8.4 yds#32	8%7.7 yds#28
Short	29%7.6 yds#2	13%6.6 yds#18	36%5.1 yds#23

Throws DEN faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His targets

His targets: Last 10 games

Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	9%32.2 yds	0%	21%8.7 yds
Short	21%5.0 yds	14%7.3 yds	35%6.0 yds

Last 10 games · Yds/target

Target share · LAC 2026

Each pass-catcher’s share of LAC targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.

#	Player	GP	Tgt/g	Total	Share
1	Tre Harris WR	4	5.2	21	17.8%
2	Quentin Johnston WR	4	4.8	19	16.5%
3	David Njoku TE	2	4.0	8	15.0%
4	Ladd McConkey WR	4	4.2	17	14.8%
5	Oronde Gadsden II TE	4	3.8	15	12.5%
6	Brenen Thompson WR	1	3.0	3	11.5%
7	Keaton Mitchell RB	4	2.5	10	8.1%
8	Kimani Vidal RB	3	2.0	6	6.3%
9	Charlie Kolar TE	2	1.5	3	5.8%
10	Omarion Hampton RB	4	1.2	5	4.3%

Game log · 21 games

Date	Wk	Opp	Rec Yds	vs 49.5	Close	Snaps
2026-10-04	4	@ SEA	60	Over	36.5	66 (93%)
2026-09-27	3	@ BUF	76	Over	31.5	40 (58%)
2026-09-20	2	vs LV	53	Over	30.5	56 (82%)
2026-09-13	1	vs ARI	20	Under	26.5	41 (75%)
2026-01-11	19 (P)	@ NE	20	Under	14.5	34 (57%)
2026-01-04	18	@ DEN	28	Under	—	69 (97%)
2025-12-27	17	vs HOU	8	Under	8.5	29 (46%)
2025-12-21	16	@ DAL	54	Over	54.5	29 (45%)
2025-12-14	15	@ KC	49	Under	15.5	56 (85%)
2025-12-08	14	vs PHI	18	Under	18.5	37 (50%)
2025-11-30	13	vs LV	30	Under	25.5	34 (51%)
2025-11-16	11	@ JAX	12	Under	12.5	25 (52%)
2025-11-09	10	vs PIT	4	Under	10.5	32 (44%)
2025-11-02	9	@ TEN	18	Under	15.5	30 (46%)
2025-10-23	8	vs MIN	8	Under	8.5	43 (59%)
2025-10-19	7	vs IND	23	Under	—	33 (43%)
2025-10-12	6	@ MIA	27	Under	27.5	53 (83%)
2025-09-28	4	@ NYG	0	Under	8.5	12 (19%)
2025-09-21	3	vs DEN	0	Under	—	25 (29%)
2025-09-15	2	@ LV	34	Under	—	18 (31%)
2025-09-05	1	vs KC	11	Under	31.5	5 (8%)

Pick’em lines: Underdog 49.5PrizePicks 51.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: Underdog, updated 12m ago.