NFL Prop Research

TH

Tanner Hudson TE

CIN vs MIA · Sun Oct 11 · 1:00 PM ET

1.5 Rec Yds

Hit rate · All 96%21/22 Odds imply —

Season avg

6.3

Graph avg

15.5

Graph median

13.00–42

Over the close

78%7/9

2026 per game

Targets1.3▼-1.1

Rec1.3▼-0.6

Rec Yds6.3▼-10.5

Rec TD0.0▼-0.2

Snaps16.7▲+2.7

Snap %24.3%▲+3.5

Splits all logged games · over 1.5

• Home 100% 10/10 · avg 17.3
• Away 92% 11/12 · avg 14.0
• vs MIA 100% 1/1 · avg 4.0

Alt lines all · how often Over cleared

• O 1.5 Today 96% 21/22
• O 6.5 82% 18/22
• O 11.5 54% 12/22

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · TEs vs MIA

What MIA allowed to TEs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

• Rec Yds70.7#4
• Receptions7.0#3
• Targets8.5#4
• Yds/Target8.3#6
• Rec TD0.3#24

TEs vs MIA · 2026

Each main TE who faced MIA this season: rec yds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm+25.5

Avg diff %+95%

Beat their average50% (2/4)

Date	Player	Result	Their avg	Diff
Oct 04	MIN T.J. Hockenson	119	25.3	+370%
Sep 27	KC Travis Kelce	59	62.3	-5%
Sep 20	SF George Kittle	80	54.7	+46%
Sep 13	LV Michael Mayer	32	45.7	-30%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

CIN offense

CIN offense: Share of CIN pass attempts, last 10 games

Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	4%13.4 yds	3%14.9 yds	7%11.7 yds
Short	32%5.5 yds	20%8.2 yds	34%6.2 yds

Share of CIN pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

MIA defense

MIA defense: Throws MIA faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed

Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	7%12.1 yds#11	4%14.5 yds#19	8%11.2 yds#14
Short	29%6.5 yds#6	15%8.6 yds#5	37%6.3 yds#6

Throws MIA faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His targets

His targets: Last 10 games

Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	0%	0%	0%
Short	37%7.4 yds	32%3.7 yds	32%8.7 yds

Last 10 games · Yds/target

Target share · CIN 2026

Each pass-catcher’s share of CIN targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.

#	Player	GP	Tgt/g	Total	Share
1	Tee Higgins WR	4	9.8	39	24.8%
2	Ja'Marr Chase WR	4	7.0	28	19.7%
3	Chase Brown RB	4	6.0	24	15.0%
4	Mitchell Tinsley WR	1	7.0	7	13.2%
5	Mike Gesicki TE	3	5.0	15	12.7%
6	Erick All TE	1	3.0	3	9.7%
7	Dohnte Meyers WR	4	4.0	16	9.2%
8	Drew Sample TE	2	2.5	5	7.1%
9	Andrei Iosivas WR	2	2.0	4	6.0%
10	Samaje Perine RB	4	2.0	8	5.5%

Game log · 22 games

Date	Wk	Opp	Rec Yds	vs 1.5	Close	Snaps
2026-10-04	4	vs JAX	2	Over	1.5	31 (41%)
2026-09-27	3	@ PIT	13	Over	—	13 (23%)
2026-09-13	1	vs TB	4	Over	—	6 (9%)
2025-12-28	17	vs ARI	31	Over	31.5	20 (26%)
2025-12-21	16	@ MIA	4	Over	0.5	15 (25%)
2025-12-14	15	vs BAL	16	Over	5.5	19 (25%)
2025-12-07	14	@ BUF	11	Over	2.5	6 (10%)
2025-11-27	13	@ BAL	14	Over	1.5	6 (7%)
2025-11-23	12	vs NE	9	Over	—	14 (22%)
2025-11-16	11	@ PIT	22	Over	12.5	22 (33%)
2025-11-02	9	vs CHI	42	Over	33.5	11 (16%)
2025-10-26	8	vs NYJ	9	Over	10.5	11 (19%)
2025-10-12	6	@ GB	10	Over	—	16 (25%)
2025-01-04	18	@ PIT	11	Over	—	4 (5%)
2024-12-15	15	@ TEN	9	Over	—	5 (7%)
2024-12-09	14	@ DAL	19	Over	—	14 (20%)
2024-12-01	13	vs PIT	28	Over	—	12 (19%)
2024-11-17	11	@ LAC	13	Over	—	9 (11%)
2024-11-07	10	@ BAL	42	Over	—	29 (35%)
2024-11-03	9	vs LV	14	Over	—	20 (27%)
2024-10-20	7	@ CLE	0	Under	—	5 (9%)
2024-09-08	1	vs NE	18	Over	—	9 (18%)

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 1.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: PrizePicks, updated 15m ago.