NFL Prop Research: Game Logs vs Today's Line

Romeo Doubs WR

NE vs LV · Sun Oct 11 · 1:00 PM ET

50.5 Rec Yds O -107U -125

Hit rate · Last 20 50%10/20 Odds imply 48.2% Over

Season avg: 50.8
Graph avg: 49.1
Graph median: 51.00–124
Over the close: 57%4/7

2026 per game

Targets5.0▼-0.6

Rec3.0▼-0.7

Rec Yds50.8▲+0.9

Rec TD0.5▲+0.1

Snaps43.0▼-5.9

Snap %65.0%▼-12.3

2025

28

Sep 11
25

Sep 21
58

Sep 28
55

Oct 12
72

Oct 19
44

Oct 26
91

Nov 02
5

Nov 10
53

Nov 16
23

Nov 23
20

Nov 27
0

Dec 07
36

Dec 14
84

Dec 20
62

Dec 27
124

Jan 10
2026

0

Sep 09
96

Sep 20
49

Sep 27
58

Oct 04
?

Oct 11

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 50.5

Home 50% 8/16 · avg 48.4
Away 42% 8/19 · avg 46.9
vs LV No games

Alt lines last 20 · how often Over cleared

O 40.5 60% 12/20
O 45.5 55% 11/20
O 50.5 Today 50% 10/20
O 55.5 40% 8/20
O 60.5 30% 6/20

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · WRs vs LV

What LV allowed to WRs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

Rec Yds136.0#18
Receptions10.4#18
Targets17.0#19
Yds/Target8.0#14
Rec TD0.5#28

WRs vs LV · 2026

Each main WR who faced LV this season: rec yds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm+8.3

Avg diff %+46%

Beat their average50% (4/8)

Date	Player	Result	Their avg	Diff
Oct 04	Tyquan Thornton	111	36.0	+208%
Oct 04	Xavier Worthy	70	21.0	+233%
Sep 27	Chris Olave	107	128.0	-16%
Sep 27	Devaughn Vele	39	62.3	-37%
Sep 20	Tre Harris	53	52.0	+2%
Sep 20	Ladd McConkey	35	49.3	-29%
Sep 13	Malik Washington	53	55.3	-4%
Sep 13	Chris Bell	25	22.3	+12%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

NE offense

NE offense: Share of NE pass attempts, last 10 games
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	12%10.4 yds	4%10.0 yds	11%11.9 yds
Short	30%6.1 yds	16%7.9 yds	28%6.1 yds

Share of NE pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

LV defense

LV defense: Throws LV faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	9%15.4 yds#3	4%11.7 yds#27	6%5.0 yds#31
Short	34%5.7 yds#18	15%6.2 yds#22	32%5.2 yds#22

Throws LV faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His targets

His targets: Last 10 games
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	10%18.8 yds	2%20.0 yds	18%20.6 yds
Short	41%7.0 yds	8%12.2 yds	20%4.0 yds

Last 10 games · Yds/target

Each pass-catcher’s share of NE targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.

#	Player	GP	Tgt/g	Total	Share
1	Romeo Doubs WR	4	5.0	20	16.8%
2	Mack Hollins WR	4	5.0	20	16.7%
3	DeMario Douglas WR	4	4.2	17	14.3%
4	Hunter Henry TE	4	3.8	15	13.5%
5	Rhamondre Stevenson RB	4	4.0	16	13.2%
6	A.J. Brown WR	1	4.0	4	12.9%
7	Reggie Gilliam RB	1	2.0	2	9.5%
8	Efton Chism III WR	3	2.3	7	7.5%
9	Lan Larison RB	1	2.0	2	6.5%
10	Kyle Williams WR	4	1.8	7	6.3%

Game log · 20 games

Date	Wk	Opp	Rec Yds	vs 50.5	Close	Snaps
2026-10-04	4	@ BUF	58	Over	39.5	49 (64%)
2026-09-27	3	@ JAX	49	Under	42.5	46 (73%)
2026-09-20	2	vs PIT	96	Over	39.5	37 (67%)
2026-09-09	1	@ SEA	0	Under	35.5	40 (56%)
2026-01-10	19 (P)	@ CHI	124	Over	84.5	52 (73%)
2025-12-27	17	vs BAL	62	Over	65.5	27 (57%)
2025-12-20	16	@ CHI	84	Over	85.5	45 (62%)
2025-12-14	15	@ DEN	36	Under	—	50 (76%)
2025-12-07	14	vs CHI	0	Under	—	43 (81%)
2025-11-27	13	@ DET	20	Under	—	53 (84%)
2025-11-23	12	vs MIN	23	Under	—	48 (73%)
2025-11-16	11	@ NYG	53	Over	—	42 (76%)
2025-11-10	10	vs PHI	5	Under	—	42 (62%)
2025-11-02	9	vs CAR	91	Over	—	60 (92%)
2025-10-26	8	@ PIT	44	Under	—	51 (80%)
2025-10-19	7	@ ARI	72	Over	—	50 (89%)
2025-10-12	6	vs CIN	55	Over	—	52 (85%)
2025-09-28	4	@ DAL	58	Over	—	75 (90%)
2025-09-21	3	@ CLE	25	Under	—	58 (89%)
2025-09-11	2	vs WAS	28	Under	—	50 (74%)

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 49.5Underdog 49.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: Caesars, updated 15m ago.