NFL Prop Research: Game Logs vs Today's Line

Romeo Doubs WR

NE vs LV · Sun Oct 11 · 1:00 PM ET

50.5 Rec Yds O -107U -125

Hit rate · All 46%16/35 Odds imply 48.2% Over

Season avg: 50.8
Graph avg: 47.6
Graph median: 49.00–124
Over the close: 57%4/7

2026 per game

Targets5.0▼-0.6

Rec3.0▼-0.7

Rec Yds50.8▲+0.9

Rec TD0.5▲+0.1

Snaps43.0▼-5.9

Snap %65.0%▼-12.3

2024

50

Sep 06
62

Sep 15
18

Sep 22
39

Sep 29
49

Oct 13
94

Oct 20
72

Oct 27
28

Nov 03
17

Nov 17
54

Nov 24
40

Dec 15
20

Dec 23
58

Dec 29
13

Jan 12
2025

68

Sep 07
28

Sep 11
25

Sep 21
58

Sep 28
55

Oct 12
72

Oct 19
44

Oct 26
91

Nov 02
5

Nov 10
53

Nov 16
23

Nov 23
20

Nov 27
0

Dec 07
36

Dec 14
84

Dec 20
62

Dec 27
124

Jan 10
2026

0

Sep 09
96

Sep 20
49

Sep 27
58

Oct 04
?

Oct 11

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 50.5

Home 50% 8/16 · avg 48.4
Away 42% 8/19 · avg 46.9
vs LV No games

Alt lines all · how often Over cleared

O 40.5 57% 20/35
O 45.5 54% 19/35
O 50.5 Today 46% 16/35
O 55.5 37% 13/35
O 60.5 29% 10/35

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · WRs vs LV

What LV allowed to WRs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

Rec Yds136.0#18
Receptions10.4#18
Targets17.0#19
Yds/Target8.0#14
Rec TD0.5#28

WRs vs LV · 2026

Each main WR who faced LV this season: rec yds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm+8.3

Avg diff %+46%

Beat their average50% (4/8)

Date	Player	Result	Their avg	Diff
Oct 04	Tyquan Thornton	111	36.0	+208%
Oct 04	Xavier Worthy	70	21.0	+233%
Sep 27	Chris Olave	107	128.0	-16%
Sep 27	Devaughn Vele	39	62.3	-37%
Sep 20	Tre Harris	53	52.0	+2%
Sep 20	Ladd McConkey	35	49.3	-29%
Sep 13	Malik Washington	53	55.3	-4%
Sep 13	Chris Bell	25	22.3	+12%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

NE offense

NE offense: Share of NE pass attempts, last 10 games
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	12%10.4 yds	4%10.0 yds	11%11.9 yds
Short	30%6.1 yds	16%7.9 yds	28%6.1 yds

Share of NE pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

LV defense

LV defense: Throws LV faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	9%15.4 yds#3	4%11.7 yds#27	6%5.0 yds#31
Short	34%5.7 yds#18	15%6.2 yds#22	32%5.2 yds#22

Throws LV faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His targets

His targets: Last 10 games
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	10%18.8 yds	2%20.0 yds	18%20.6 yds
Short	41%7.0 yds	8%12.2 yds	20%4.0 yds

Last 10 games · Yds/target

Each pass-catcher’s share of NE targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.

#	Player	GP	Tgt/g	Total	Share
1	Romeo Doubs WR	4	5.0	20	16.8%
2	Mack Hollins WR	4	5.0	20	16.7%
3	DeMario Douglas WR	4	4.2	17	14.3%
4	Hunter Henry TE	4	3.8	15	13.5%
5	Rhamondre Stevenson RB	4	4.0	16	13.2%
6	A.J. Brown WR	1	4.0	4	12.9%
7	Reggie Gilliam RB	1	2.0	2	9.5%
8	Efton Chism III WR	3	2.3	7	7.5%
9	Lan Larison RB	1	2.0	2	6.5%
10	Kyle Williams WR	4	1.8	7	6.3%

Game log · 35 games

Date	Wk	Opp	Rec Yds	vs 50.5	Close	Snaps
2026-10-04	4	@ BUF	58	Over	39.5	49 (64%)
2026-09-27	3	@ JAX	49	Under	42.5	46 (73%)
2026-09-20	2	vs PIT	96	Over	39.5	37 (67%)
2026-09-09	1	@ SEA	0	Under	35.5	40 (56%)
2026-01-10	19 (P)	@ CHI	124	Over	84.5	52 (73%)
2025-12-27	17	vs BAL	62	Over	65.5	27 (57%)
2025-12-20	16	@ CHI	84	Over	85.5	45 (62%)
2025-12-14	15	@ DEN	36	Under	—	50 (76%)
2025-12-07	14	vs CHI	0	Under	—	43 (81%)
2025-11-27	13	@ DET	20	Under	—	53 (84%)
2025-11-23	12	vs MIN	23	Under	—	48 (73%)
2025-11-16	11	@ NYG	53	Over	—	42 (76%)
2025-11-10	10	vs PHI	5	Under	—	42 (62%)
2025-11-02	9	vs CAR	91	Over	—	60 (92%)
2025-10-26	8	@ PIT	44	Under	—	51 (80%)
2025-10-19	7	@ ARI	72	Over	—	50 (89%)
2025-10-12	6	vs CIN	55	Over	—	52 (85%)
2025-09-28	4	@ DAL	58	Over	—	75 (90%)
2025-09-21	3	@ CLE	25	Under	—	58 (89%)
2025-09-11	2	vs WAS	28	Under	—	50 (74%)
2025-09-07	1	vs DET	68	Over	—	34 (71%)
2025-01-12	19 (P)	@ PHI	13	Under	—	37 (56%)
2024-12-29	17	@ MIN	58	Over	—	54 (86%)
2024-12-23	16	vs NO	20	Under	—	46 (67%)
2024-12-15	15	@ SEA	40	Under	—	48 (75%)
2024-11-24	12	vs SF	54	Over	—	37 (51%)
2024-11-17	11	@ CHI	17	Under	—	36 (78%)
2024-11-03	9	vs DET	28	Under	—	54 (83%)
2024-10-27	8	@ JAX	72	Over	—	59 (84%)
2024-10-20	7	vs HOU	94	Over	—	48 (83%)
2024-10-13	6	vs ARI	49	Under	—	54 (74%)
2024-09-29	4	vs MIN	39	Under	—	65 (86%)
2024-09-22	3	@ TEN	18	Under	—	46 (73%)
2024-09-15	2	vs IND	62	Over	—	55 (79%)
2024-09-06	1	@ PHI	50	Under	—	58 (87%)

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 49.5Underdog 49.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: Caesars, updated 11m ago.