NFL Prop Research: Game Logs vs Today's Line

Marvin Harrison WR

ARI vs DET · Sun Oct 11 · 4:25 PM ET

34.5 Rec Yds O -114U -114

Hit rate · Last 20 55%11/20 Odds imply 50.0% Over

Season avg: 21.2
Graph avg: 46.1
Graph median: 39.50–98
Over the close: 43%6/14

2026 per game

Targets3.2▼-2.8

Rec1.2▼-2.2

Rec Yds21.2▼-29.4

Rec TD0.2▼-0.1

Snaps51.5▲+4.3

Snap %73.8%▲+2.5

2024

32

Dec 15
39

Dec 22
96

Dec 28
63

Jan 05
2025

71

Sep 07
27

Sep 14
44

Sep 21
66

Sep 25
98

Oct 05
32

Oct 12
58

Oct 19
96

Nov 03
33

Nov 09
69

Nov 30
14

Dec 21
0

Dec 28
2026

33

Sep 13
0

Sep 20
40

Sep 27
12

Oct 04
?

Oct 11

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 34.5

Home 60% 9/15 · avg 50.3
Away 61% 11/18 · avg 45.7
vs DET 100% 1/1 · avg 64.0

Alt lines last 20 · how often Over cleared

O 24.5 80% 16/20
O 29.5 75% 15/20
O 34.5 Today 55% 11/20
O 39.5 50% 10/20
O 44.5 40% 8/20

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · WRs vs DET

What DET allowed to WRs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

Rec Yds181.9#2
Receptions13.4#3
Targets19.9#6
Yds/Target9.1#7
Rec TD1.1#7

WRs vs DET · 2026

Each main WR who faced DET this season: rec yds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm+27.0

Avg diff %+37%

Beat their average75% (6/8)

Date	Player	Result	Their avg	Diff
Oct 04	Tetairoa McMillan	192	64.3	+198%
Oct 04	Brycen Tremayne	32	27.7	+16%
Sep 27	Garrett Wilson	107	54.3	+97%
Sep 27	Isaiah Williams	21	38.0	-45%
Sep 17	DJ Moore	0	59.3	-100%
Sep 17	Keon Coleman	63	51.3	+23%
Sep 13	Chris Olave	182	103.0	+77%
Sep 13	Devaughn Vele	69	52.3	+32%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

ARI offense

ARI offense: Share of ARI pass attempts, last 10 games
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	7%8.0 yds	2%15.2 yds	8%7.4 yds
Short	28%6.4 yds	20%5.0 yds	36%5.6 yds

Share of ARI pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

DET defense

DET defense: Throws DET faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	6%7.4 yds#28	5%16.9 yds#10	8%19.9 yds#1
Short	26%4.9 yds#28	16%7.9 yds#10	38%5.3 yds#19

Throws DET faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His targets

His targets: Last 10 games
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	19%10.8 yds	8%15.0 yds	8%4.0 yds
Short	31%6.2 yds	10%1.4 yds	25%4.9 yds

Last 10 games · Yds/target

Each pass-catcher’s share of ARI targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.

#	Player	GP	Tgt/g	Total	Share
1	Trey McBride TE	4	11.5	46	32.5%
2	Michael Wilson WR	4	11.0	44	29.2%
3	Kendrick Bourne WR	3	4.7	14	13.1%
4	Jeremiyah Love RB	4	3.2	13	8.8%
5	Marvin Harrison Jr. WR	4	3.2	13	8.3%
6	Tyler Allgeier RB	4	2.5	10	6.7%
7	Elijah Higgins TE	3	1.7	5	3.9%
8	Hunter Long TE	4	0.5	2	1.2%
9	Jalen Brooks WR	3	0.3	1	0.7%

Game log · 20 games

Date	Wk	Opp	Rec Yds	vs 34.5	Close	Snaps
2026-10-04	4	@ NYG	12	Under	34.5	43 (65%)
2026-09-27	3	@ SF	40	Over	32.5	67 (77%)
2026-09-20	2	vs SEA	0	Under	36.5	37 (74%)
2026-09-13	1	@ LAC	33	Under	47.5	59 (79%)
2025-12-28	17	@ CIN	0	Under	36.5	19 (33%)
2025-12-21	16	vs ATL	14	Under	14.5	29 (51%)
2025-11-30	13	@ TB	69	Over	52.5	37 (61%)
2025-11-09	10	@ SEA	33	Under	54.5	69 (91%)
2025-11-03	9	@ DAL	96	Over	—	48 (72%)
2025-10-19	7	vs GB	58	Over	—	65 (86%)
2025-10-12	6	@ IND	32	Under	50.5	17 (23%)
2025-10-05	5	vs TEN	98	Over	53.5	52 (76%)
2025-09-25	4	vs SEA	66	Over	35.5	67 (100%)
2025-09-21	3	@ SF	44	Over	45.5	53 (80%)
2025-09-14	2	vs CAR	27	Under	10.5	51 (93%)
2025-09-07	1	@ NO	71	Over	60.5	59 (89%)
2025-01-05	18	vs SF	63	Over	—	48 (74%)
2024-12-28	17	@ LA	96	Over	—	66 (84%)
2024-12-22	16	@ CAR	39	Over	—	57 (81%)
2024-12-15	15	vs NE	32	Under	—	54 (77%)

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 34.5Underdog 34.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: FanDuel, updated 13m ago.