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Game logs through Oct 8, 2026 · 170 players

Derrick Henry RB

BAL vs ATL ·

80.5 Rush Yds O -114U -114
Hit rate · All 62%25/40 Odds imply 50.0% Over
Season avg
93.5
Graph avg
104.0
Graph median
93.023–216
Over the close
29%6/21
2026 per game
Carries22.2â–²+4.2
Rush Yds93.5â–¼-0.3
Rush TD1.8â–²+0.8
Targets1.8â–²+0.5
Rec1.8â–²+0.9
Rec Yds11.0â–²+2.2
Snaps37.8â–²+5.1
Snap %59.0%â–²+4.5
Derrick Henry rushing yards by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 80.5.
  1. 2024
    46
  2. 84
  3. 151
  4. 199
  5. 92
  6. 132
  7. 169
  8. 73
  9. 106
  10. 68
  11. 65
  12. 140
  13. 82
  14. 67
  15. 162
  16. 147
  17. 138
  18. 186
  19. 84
  20. 2025
    169
  21. 23
  22. 50
  23. 42
  24. 33
  25. 122
  26. 71
  27. 119
  28. 75
  29. 103
  30. 64
  31. 60
  32. 94
  33. 100
  34. 128
  35. 216
  36. 126
  37. 2026
    144
  38. 68
  39. 89
  40. 73
  41. ?

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 80.5

  • Home 55% 11/20 · avg 97.2
  • Away 70% 14/20 · avg 110.8
  • vs ATL No games

Alt lines all · how often Over cleared

  • O 60.5 85% 34/40
  • O 70.5 72% 29/40
  • O 80.5 Today 62% 25/40
  • O 90.5 52% 21/40
  • O 100.5 45% 18/40

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · RBs vs ATL

What ATL allowed to RBs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

Rush YdsYds/CarryRush TDTargetsRec Yds
  • Rush Yds74.0#28
  • Yds/Carry4.0#21
  • Rush TD0.4#28
  • Targets5.7#11
  • Rec Yds23.5#30

RBs vs ATL · 2026

Each main RB who faced ATL this season: rush yds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm-23.5
Avg diff %-43%
Beat their average0% (0/4)
DatePlayerResultTheir avgDiff
Oct 05 Alvin Kamara2325.5-10%
Sep 24 Kaleb Johnson624.7-76%
Sep 20 Chuba Hubbard5384.3-37%
Sep 13 Jaylen Warren4687.7-48%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

BAL offense

BAL offense: Share of BAL pass attempts, last 10 games
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep8%20.4 yds4%11.0 yds8%12.3 yds
Short26%6.9 yds25%10.6 yds29%5.2 yds

Share of BAL pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

ATL defense

ATL defense: Throws ATL faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep11%9.8 yds#172%18.7 yds#710%10.7 yds#16
Short31%6.0 yds#1314%5.7 yds#2631%4.6 yds#31

Throws ATL faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His targets

His targets: Last 10 games
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep0% 0% 0% 
Short39%12.7 yds11%-0.5 yds50%6.7 yds

Last 10 games · Yds/target

Target share · BAL 2026

Each pass-catcher’s share of BAL targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.

#PlayerGPTgt/gTotalShare
1Zay Flowers WR37.32229.8%
2Mark Andrews TE46.02423.7%
3Rashod Bateman WR43.81514.3%
4Ja'Kobi Lane WR13.0312.5%
5Chris Moore WR32.067.9%
6Matthew Hibner TE31.757.0%
7Elijah Sarratt WR12.026.9%
8Derrick Henry RB41.876.6%
9Devontez Walker WR31.756.3%
10Justice Hill RB41.565.4%

Game log · 40 games

DateWkOppRush Ydsvs 80.5CloseSnaps
2026-10-044vs TEN73Under97.540 (62%)
2026-09-273@ DAL89Over90.543 (67%)
2026-09-202vs NO68Under94.531 (53%)
2026-09-131@ IND144Over79.537 (54%)
2026-01-0418@ PIT126Over135.536 (71%)
2025-12-2717@ GB216Over180.548 (63%)
2025-12-2116vs NE128Over132.524 (44%)
2025-12-1415@ CIN100Over118.515 (37%)
2025-12-0714vs PIT94Over70.543 (54%)
2025-11-2713vs CIN60Under60.524 (40%)
2025-11-2312vs NYJ64Under89.535 (56%)
2025-11-1611@ CLE103Over115.533 (54%)
2025-11-0910@ MIN75Under81.547 (67%)
2025-10-309@ MIA119Over101.536 (64%)
2025-10-268vs CHI71Under87.536 (58%)
2025-10-126vs LA122Over69.538 (49%)
2025-10-055vs HOU33Under25.528 (65%)
2025-09-284@ KC42Under49.521 (38%)
2025-09-223vs DET50Under50.528 (49%)
2025-09-142vs CLE23Under30.534 (61%)
2025-09-071@ BUF169Over195.529 (57%)
2025-01-1920 (P)@ BUF84Over—35 (59%)
2025-01-1119 (P)vs PIT186Over—45 (61%)
2025-01-0418vs CLE138Over—49 (70%)
2024-12-2517@ HOU147Over—41 (65%)
2024-12-2116vs PIT162Over—46 (74%)
2024-12-1515@ NYG67Under—27 (46%)
2024-12-0113vs PHI82Over—37 (51%)
2024-11-2512@ LAC140Over—39 (60%)
2024-11-1711@ PIT65Under—30 (49%)
2024-11-0710vs CIN68Under—39 (62%)
2024-11-039vs DEN106Over—35 (61%)
2024-10-278@ CLE73Under—35 (51%)
2024-10-217@ TB169Over—34 (58%)
2024-10-136vs WAS132Over—43 (63%)
2024-10-065@ CIN92Over—39 (50%)
2024-09-294vs BUF199Over—37 (65%)
2024-09-223@ DAL151Over—37 (59%)
2024-09-152vs LV84Over—30 (46%)
2024-09-051@ KC46Under—37 (46%)

Pick’em lines: Underdog 79.5PrizePicks 81.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: FanDuel, updated 15m ago.