NFL Prop Research

FREE

Game logs through Oct 8, 2026 · 171 players

Tyler Warren TE

IND vs PIT ·

46.5 Rec Yds O -114U -114
Hit rate · This season 25%1/4 Odds imply 50.0% Over
Season avg
32.5
Graph avg
32.5
Graph median
31.013–55
Over the close
25%1/4
2026 per game
Targets6.8â–²+0.2
Rec5.8â–²+1.3
Rec Yds32.5â–¼-15.6
Rec TD0.5â–²+0.3
Snaps57.8â–²+4.9
Snap %90.2%â–²+6.4
Tyler Warren receiving yards by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 46.5.
  1. 2026
    13
  2. 21
  3. 55
  4. 41
  5. ?

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 46.5

  • Home 54% 6/11 · avg 52.5
  • Away 20% 2/10 · avg 37.0
  • vs PIT 0% 0/1 · avg 26.0

Alt lines this season · how often Over cleared

  • O 36.5 50% 2/4
  • O 41.5 25% 1/4
  • O 46.5 Today 25% 1/4
  • O 51.5 25% 1/4
  • O 56.5 0% 0/4

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · TEs vs PIT

What PIT allowed to TEs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

Rec YdsReceptionsTargetsYds/TargetRec TD
  • Rec Yds52.8#16
  • Receptions5.1#19
  • Targets7.1#18
  • Yds/Target7.4#13
  • Rec TD0.6#8

TEs vs PIT · 2026

Each main TE who faced PIT this season: rec yds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm-12.6
Avg diff %-36%
Beat their average25% (1/4)
DatePlayerResultTheir avgDiff
Oct 01 Harold Fannin Jr.2742.0-36%
Sep 27 Mike Gesicki3759.0-37%
Sep 20 Hunter Henry4031.0+29%
Sep 13 Kyle Pitts022.3-100%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

IND offense

IND offense: Share of IND pass attempts, last 10 games
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep7%8.3 yds5%17.4 yds5%6.2 yds
Short30%5.3 yds18%6.6 yds35%4.6 yds

Share of IND pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

PIT defense

PIT defense: Throws PIT faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep7%21.5 yds#14%12.8 yds#226%18.4 yds#2
Short33%5.8 yds#1722%6.4 yds#2028%5.5 yds#15

Throws PIT faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His targets

His targets: Last 10 games
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep2%0.0 yds0% 2%0.0 yds
Short38%4.4 yds28%5.7 yds31%3.6 yds

Last 10 games · Yds/target

Target share · IND 2026

Each pass-catcher’s share of IND targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.

#PlayerGPTgt/gTotalShare
1Josh Downs WR47.02822.3%
2Tyler Warren TE46.82721.6%
3Keenan Allen WR36.72021.0%
4Jonathan Taylor RB43.81512.4%
5Ashton Dulin WR23.5712.1%
6Alec Pierce WR23.5712.0%
7Laquon Treadwell WR42.8119.2%
8Deion Burks WR21.023.4%
9Mo Alie-Cox TE11.012.9%
10Seth McGowan RB40.832.6%

Game log · 4 games

DateWkOppRec Ydsvs 46.5CloseSnaps
2026-10-044@ WAS41Under59.556 (85%)
2026-09-273vs HOU55Over46.567 (94%)
2026-09-202@ KC21Under42.558 (89%)
2026-09-131vs BAL13Under47.550 (93%)

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 47.5Underdog 49.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: FanDuel, updated 14m ago.