NFL Prop Research

FREE

Game logs through Oct 8, 2026 · 171 players

Kyler Murray QB

MIN vs NO ·

214.5 Pass Yds O -112U -112
Hit rate · This season 33%1/3 Odds imply 50.0% Over
Season avg
144.3
Graph avg
144.3
Graph median
168.018–247
Over the close
33%1/3
2026 per game
Pass Yds144.3â–¼-48.1
Att23.7â–¼-8.5
Cmp%63.4%â–¼-4.9
Pass TD0.3â–¼-0.9
INT0.7â–²+0.1
Rush Yds14.0â–¼-20.6
Snaps49.3â–¼-14.3
Snap %72.3%â–¼-26.5
Kyler Murray passing yards by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 214.5.
  1. 2026
    18
  2. 168
  3. 247
  4. ?

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 214.5

  • Home 57% 8/14 · avg 200.7
  • Away 36% 4/11 · avg 221.5
  • vs NO 0% 0/1 · avg 163.0

Alt lines this season · how often Over cleared

  • O 194.5 33% 1/3
  • O 204.5 33% 1/3
  • O 214.5 Today 33% 1/3
  • O 224.5 33% 1/3
  • O 234.5 33% 1/3

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · QBs vs NO

What NO allowed to QBs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

Pass YdsYds/AttCmp%Pass TDPass Att
  • Pass Yds197.3#29
  • Yds/Att6.4#24
  • Cmp%60.6%#23
  • Pass TD1.2#24
  • Pass Att30.7#23

QBs vs NO · 2026

Each main QB who faced NO this season: pass yds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm-50.1
Avg diff %-16%
Beat their average0% (0/3)
DatePlayerResultTheir avgDiff
Sep 27 Kirk Cousins248259.3-4%
Sep 20 Lamar Jackson235244.0-4%
Sep 13 Jared Goff206336.0-39%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

MIN offense

MIN offense: Share of MIN pass attempts, last 10 games
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep10%14.4 yds2%11.2 yds8%6.9 yds
Short26%4.6 yds18%7.0 yds35%5.2 yds

Share of MIN pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

NO defense

NO defense: Throws NO faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep9%7.7 yds#262%16.0 yds#157%12.2 yds#10
Short33%6.3 yds#913%6.7 yds#1737%4.6 yds#29

Throws NO faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His throws

His throws: Last 8 games
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep9%10.4 yds3%7.6 yds7%10.4 yds
Short32%4.3 yds19%7.8 yds31%4.3 yds

Last 8 games · Yds/att

Target share · MIN 2026

Each pass-catcher’s share of MIN targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.

#PlayerGPTgt/gTotalShare
1Justin Jefferson WR35.71726.2%
2T.J. Hockenson TE46.52624.5%
3Jordan Addison WR45.52222.3%
4Aaron Jones RB43.81513.1%
5Josh Oliver TE31.757.6%
6Tai Felton WR21.535.5%
7Jauan Jennings WR31.345.1%
8DeeJay Dallas RB40.833.2%
9Gavin Bartholomew TE11.013.0%
10Myles Price WR40.832.8%

Game log · 3 games

DateWkOppPass Ydsvs 214.5CloseSnaps
2026-10-044vs MIA247Over205.578 (100%)
2026-09-273@ TB168Under215.559 (100%)
2026-09-131vs GB18Under218.511 (17%)

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 213.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: DraftKings, updated 15m ago.