NFL Prop Research

FREE

Game logs through Oct 8, 2026 · 171 players

Michael Mayer TE

LV vs NE ·

29.5 Rec Yds O -109U -116
Hit rate · This season 75%3/4 Odds imply 49.3% Over
Season avg
42.2
Graph avg
42.2
Graph median
32.023–82
Over the close
50%2/4
2026 per game
Targets6.0â–²+2.2
Rec5.0â–²+2.3
Rec Yds42.2â–²+17.0
Rec TD0.2â–²+0.2
Snaps60.8â–²+25.0
Snap %85.0%â–²+23.2
Michael Mayer receiving yards by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 29.5.
  1. 2026
    32
  2. 23
  3. 32
  4. 82
  5. ?

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 29.5

  • Home 36% 5/14 · avg 29.4
  • Away 21% 3/14 · avg 17.2
  • vs NE 100% 1/1 · avg 38.0

Alt lines this season · how often Over cleared

  • O 19.5 100% 4/4
  • O 24.5 75% 3/4
  • O 29.5 Today 75% 3/4
  • O 34.5 25% 1/4
  • O 39.5 25% 1/4

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · TEs vs NE

What NE allowed to TEs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

Rec YdsReceptionsTargetsYds/TargetRec TD
  • Rec Yds35.2#30
  • Receptions3.9#29
  • Targets5.5#29
  • Yds/Target6.4#22
  • Rec TD0.1#31

TEs vs NE · 2026

Each main TE who faced NE this season: rec yds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm-35.2
Avg diff %-64%
Beat their average0% (0/4)
DatePlayerResultTheir avgDiff
Oct 04 Dalton Kincaid787.7-92%
Sep 27 Brenton Strange3245.0-29%
Sep 20 Darnell Washington737.3-81%
Sep 09 AJ Barner1329.7-56%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

LV offense

LV offense: Share of LV pass attempts, last 10 games
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep7%13.4 yds3%5.3 yds6%8.0 yds
Short28%6.1 yds19%6.3 yds36%5.6 yds

Share of LV pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

NE defense

NE defense: Throws NE faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep6%4.0 yds#324%10.5 yds#285%9.4 yds#24
Short31%5.3 yds#2417%7.0 yds#1637%4.2 yds#32

Throws NE faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His targets

His targets: Last 10 games
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep2%21.0 yds0% 6%7.7 yds
Short22%3.5 yds29%10.0 yds41%6.2 yds

Last 10 games · Yds/target

Target share · LV 2026

Each pass-catcher’s share of LV targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.

#PlayerGPTgt/gTotalShare
1Brock Bowers TE212.02433.1%
2Ashton Jeanty RB46.02417.9%
3Michael Mayer TE46.02417.2%
4Tre Tucker WR45.82317.0%
5Jalen Nailor WR33.71112.5%
6Jack Bech WR23.0610.3%
7Cody White WR42.5107.2%
8Ian Thomas TE21.533.8%
9Malik Benson WR41.043.4%
10Dareke Young WR40.831.9%

Game log · 4 games

DateWkOppRec Ydsvs 29.5CloseSnaps
2026-10-044vs KC82Over25.574 (88%)
2026-09-273@ NO32Over21.561 (87%)
2026-09-202@ LAC23Under44.553 (84%)
2026-09-131vs MIA32Over39.555 (81%)

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 29.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: DraftKings, updated 15m ago.