NFL Prop Research: Game Logs vs Today's Line

Troy Franklin WR

DEN vs LAC · Sun Oct 11 · 4:05 PM ET

19.5 Rec Yds O -114U -114

Hit rate · All 54%20/37 Odds imply 50.0% Over

Season avg: 16.0
Graph avg: 29.0
Graph median: 21.0-2–89
Over the close: 47%9/19

2026 per game

Targets1.3▼-4.8

Rec0.7▼-3.2

Rec Yds16.0▼-25.7

Rec TD0.0▼-0.4

Snaps14.0▼-25.4

Snap %24.0%▼-35.6

2024

0

Sep 15
11

Sep 22
-2

Sep 29
20

Oct 06
31

Oct 13
50

Oct 17
6

Oct 27
19

Nov 03
9

Nov 10
15

Nov 17
31

Nov 24
28

Dec 02
9

Dec 15
25

Dec 19
-1

Dec 28
12

Jan 05
54

Jan 12
2025

44

Sep 07
89

Sep 14
8

Sep 21
55

Sep 29
35

Oct 05
19

Oct 12
19

Oct 19
89

Oct 26
27

Nov 02
40

Nov 06
84

Nov 16
21

Nov 30
11

Dec 07
85

Dec 14
66

Dec 21
17

Dec 25
0

Jan 04
2026

0

Sep 14
27

Sep 20
21

Sep 27
?

Oct 11

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 19.5

Home 63% 12/19 · avg 34.3
Away 44% 8/18 · avg 23.5
vs LAC 50% 2/4 · avg 16.0

Alt lines all · how often Over cleared

O 9.5 76% 28/37
O 14.5 68% 25/37
O 19.5 Today 54% 20/37
O 24.5 46% 17/37
O 29.5 35% 13/37

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · WRs vs LAC

What LAC allowed to WRs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

Rec Yds147.7#13
Receptions10.9#15
Targets17.2#16
Yds/Target8.6#11
Rec TD0.8#17

WRs vs LAC · 2026

Each main WR who faced LAC this season: rec yds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm-10.1

Avg diff %+0%

Beat their average25% (2/8)

Date	Player	Result	Their avg	Diff
Oct 04	Jaxon Smith-Njigba	76	135.0	-44%
Oct 04	Cooper Kupp	13	33.7	-61%
Sep 27	Keon Coleman	37	60.0	-38%
Sep 27	Khalil Shakir	6	56.7	-89%
Sep 20	Tre Tucker	119	38.0	+213%
Sep 20	Jalen Nailor	9	21.5	-58%
Sep 13	Michael Wilson	56	67.3	-17%
Sep 13	Marvin Harrison Jr.	33	17.3	+90%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

DEN offense

DEN offense: Share of DEN pass attempts, last 10 games
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	9%13.7 yds	2%8.2 yds	6%9.9 yds
Short	34%5.7 yds	11%4.5 yds	38%4.8 yds

Share of DEN pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

LAC defense

LAC defense: Throws LAC faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	10%13.3 yds#7	3%9.6 yds#30	5%12.7 yds#8
Short	33%6.0 yds#12	16%7.3 yds#13	32%6.4 yds#5

Throws LAC faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His targets

His targets: Last 10 games
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	31%16.5 yds	0%	6%8.5 yds
Short	23%3.9 yds	3%2.0 yds	37%7.8 yds

Last 10 games · Yds/target

Each pass-catcher’s share of DEN targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.

#	Player	GP	Tgt/g	Total	Share
1	RJ Harvey RB	3	7.0	21	21.2%
2	Jaylen Waddle WR	4	6.5	26	21.0%
3	Courtland Sutton WR	4	5.5	22	17.7%
4	Evan Engram TE	4	3.2	13	10.4%
5	Pat Bryant WR	4	3.0	12	10.0%
6	Adam Trautman TE	2	2.0	4	6.9%
7	Tyler Badie RB	3	2.0	6	6.3%
8	Nate Adkins TE	3	1.7	5	5.6%
9	Jonah Coleman RB	2	1.5	3	5.2%
10	Troy Franklin WR	3	1.3	4	4.6%

Game log · 37 games

Date	Wk	Opp	Rec Yds	vs 19.5	Close	Snaps
2026-09-27	3	vs LA	21	Over	6.5	12 (18%)
2026-09-20	2	vs JAX	27	Over	9.5	13 (21%)
2026-09-14	1	@ KC	0	Under	24.5	17 (33%)
2026-01-04	18	vs LAC	0	Under	0.5	25 (42%)
2025-12-25	17	@ KC	17	Under	17.5	27 (38%)
2025-12-21	16	vs JAX	66	Over	20.5	42 (64%)
2025-12-14	15	vs GB	85	Over	—	34 (50%)
2025-12-07	14	@ LV	11	Under	11.5	19 (26%)
2025-11-30	13	@ WAS	21	Over	51.5	37 (53%)
2025-11-16	11	vs KC	84	Over	52.5	41 (66%)
2025-11-06	10	vs LV	40	Over	22.5	45 (74%)
2025-11-02	9	@ HOU	27	Over	30.5	50 (79%)
2025-10-26	8	vs DAL	89	Over	90.5	40 (63%)
2025-10-19	7	vs NYG	19	Under	17.5	50 (62%)
2025-10-12	6	@ NYJ	19	Under	19.5	35 (58%)
2025-10-05	5	@ PHI	35	Over	35.5	44 (59%)
2025-09-29	4	vs CIN	55	Over	40.5	47 (58%)
2025-09-21	3	@ LAC	8	Under	8.5	41 (79%)
2025-09-14	2	@ IND	89	Over	75.5	48 (83%)
2025-09-07	1	vs TEN	44	Over	29.5	45 (59%)
2025-01-12	19 (P)	@ BUF	54	Over	—	17 (40%)
2025-01-05	18	vs KC	12	Under	—	26 (35%)
2024-12-28	17	@ CIN	-1	Under	—	20 (33%)
2024-12-19	16	@ LAC	25	Over	—	26 (41%)
2024-12-15	15	vs IND	9	Under	—	29 (46%)
2024-12-02	13	vs CLE	28	Over	—	27 (41%)
2024-11-24	12	@ LV	31	Over	—	27 (40%)
2024-11-17	11	vs ATL	15	Under	—	27 (44%)
2024-11-10	10	@ KC	9	Under	—	20 (34%)
2024-11-03	9	@ BAL	19	Under	—	29 (40%)
2024-10-27	8	vs CAR	6	Under	—	27 (37%)
2024-10-17	7	@ NO	50	Over	—	33 (51%)
2024-10-13	6	vs LAC	31	Over	—	36 (65%)
2024-10-06	5	vs LV	20	Over	—	11 (17%)
2024-09-29	4	@ NYJ	-2	Under	—	19 (31%)
2024-09-22	3	@ TB	11	Under	—	17 (25%)
2024-09-15	2	vs PIT	0	Under	—	12 (20%)

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 18.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: FanDuel, updated 15m ago.