NFL Prop Research: Game Logs vs Today's Line

Jakobi Meyers WR

JAX vs PHI · Sun Oct 11 · 9:30 AM ET

41.5 Rec Yds O -114U -114

Hit rate · Last 20 45%9/20 Odds imply 50.0% Over

Season avg: 41.2
Graph avg: 45.8
Graph median: 40.512–90
Over the close: 31%5/16

2026 per game

Targets3.8▼-3.0

Rec3.2▼-1.2

Rec Yds41.2▼-8.6

Rec TD0.5▲+0.3

Snaps47.5▼-7.0

Snap %79.5%▼-6.1

2025

68

Sep 15
63

Sep 21
30

Sep 28
32

Oct 05
39

Oct 12
23

Nov 02
41

Nov 09
64

Nov 16
50

Nov 23
90

Nov 30
39

Dec 07
71

Dec 14
45

Dec 21
39

Dec 28
44

Jan 04
12

Jan 11
2026

40

Sep 13
28

Sep 20
64

Sep 27
33

Oct 04
?

Oct 11

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 41.5

Home 61% 11/18 · avg 55.6
Away 61% 11/18 · avg 57.7
vs PHI No games

Alt lines last 20 · how often Over cleared

O 31.5 80% 16/20
O 36.5 70% 14/20
O 41.5 Today 45% 9/20
O 46.5 35% 7/20
O 51.5 30% 6/20

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · WRs vs PHI

What PHI allowed to WRs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

Rec Yds128.3#22
Receptions9.9#25
Targets16.3#25
Yds/Target7.9#15
Rec TD0.5#29

WRs vs PHI · 2026

Each main WR who faced PHI this season: rec yds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm-30.1

Avg diff %-43%

Beat their average25% (2/8)

Date	Player	Result	Their avg	Diff
Oct 04	Davante Adams	32	119.3	-73%
Oct 04	Konata Mumpfield	7	35.0	-80%
Sep 28	Rome Odunze	44	63.0	-30%
Sep 28	Luther Burden III	61	52.7	+16%
Sep 20	Carnell Tate	27	80.3	-66%
Sep 20	Wan'Dale Robinson	9	38.0	-76%
Sep 13	Terry McLaurin	14	63.5	-78%
Sep 13	Stefon Diggs	55	38.3	+43%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

JAX offense

JAX offense: Share of JAX pass attempts, last 10 games
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	12%10.7 yds	5%16.9 yds	8%11.0 yds
Short	32%6.5 yds	16%6.2 yds	28%7.6 yds

Share of JAX pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

PHI defense

PHI defense: Throws PHI faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	4%8.9 yds#22	4%19.6 yds#5	8%10.2 yds#20
Short	32%5.8 yds#16	19%6.0 yds#24	34%4.6 yds#28

Throws PHI faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His targets

His targets: Last 10 games
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	5%27.0 yds	8%13.2 yds	5%0.0 yds
Short	27%5.6 yds	22%6.3 yds	32%5.1 yds

Last 10 games · Yds/target

Each pass-catcher’s share of JAX targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.

#	Player	GP	Tgt/g	Total	Share
1	Parker Washington WR	4	6.5	26	25.7%
2	Brenton Strange TE	4	4.5	18	18.7%
3	Jakobi Meyers WR	4	3.8	15	15.0%
4	Brian Thomas Jr. WR	4	3.5	14	13.8%
5	Bhayshul Tuten RB	4	1.8	7	7.0%
6	Josh Cameron WR	4	1.5	6	6.4%
7	Nate Boerkircher TE	3	1.3	4	5.7%
8	LeQuint Allen Jr. RB	3	1.0	3	3.7%
9	Ameer Abdullah RB	4	0.8	3	3.0%
10	Quintin Morris TE	3	0.7	2	2.8%

Game log · 20 games

Date	Wk	Opp	Rec Yds	vs 41.5	Close	Snaps
2026-10-04	4	@ CIN	33	Under	41.5	50 (82%)
2026-09-27	3	vs NE	64	Over	35.5	50 (81%)
2026-09-20	2	@ DEN	28	Under	37.5	53 (90%)
2026-09-13	1	vs CLE	40	Under	37.5	37 (65%)
2026-01-11	19 (P)	vs BUF	12	Under	12.5	54 (96%)
2026-01-04	18	vs TEN	44	Over	40.5	48 (79%)
2025-12-28	17	@ IND	39	Under	30.5	65 (94%)
2025-12-21	16	@ DEN	45	Over	45.5	60 (86%)
2025-12-14	15	vs NYJ	71	Over	75.5	54 (87%)
2025-12-07	14	vs IND	39	Under	53.5	53 (83%)
2025-11-30	13	@ TEN	90	Over	—	58 (92%)
2025-11-23	12	@ ARI	50	Over	—	52 (84%)
2025-11-16	11	vs LAC	64	Over	—	46 (65%)
2025-11-09	10	@ HOU	41	Under	—	27 (44%)
2025-11-02	9	vs JAX	23	Under	25.5	57 (89%)
2025-10-12	6	vs TEN	39	Under	40.5	55 (90%)
2025-10-05	5	@ IND	32	Under	30.5	60 (88%)
2025-09-28	4	vs CHI	30	Under	30.5	51 (98%)
2025-09-21	3	@ WAS	63	Over	63.5	62 (94%)
2025-09-15	2	vs LAC	68	Over	69.5	65 (93%)

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 43.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: FanDuel, updated 11m ago.