NFL Prop Research: Game Logs vs Today's Line

Terry McLaurin WR

WAS vs NYG · Sun Oct 11 · 1:00 PM ET

59.5 Rec Yds

Hit rate · All 52%17/33 Odds imply —

Season avg: 47.0
Graph avg: 62.0
Graph median: 60.05–125
Over the close: 36%4/11

2026 per game

Targets7.3▲+1.3

Rec3.3▼-0.5

Rec Yds47.0▼-11.2

Rec TD0.3+0.0

Snaps54.3▲+11.0

Snap %77.3%▲+6.9

2024

17

Sep 08
22

Sep 15
100

Sep 23
52

Sep 29
112

Oct 06
53

Oct 13
98

Oct 20
125

Oct 27
19

Nov 03
113

Nov 10
10

Nov 14
102

Nov 24
73

Dec 01
73

Dec 15
60

Dec 22
5

Dec 29
62

Jan 05
89

Jan 12
87

Jan 18
51

Jan 26
2025

27

Sep 07
48

Sep 11
74

Sep 21
54

Oct 27
96

Nov 30
41

Dec 07
69

Dec 14
53

Dec 20
63

Dec 25
57

Jan 04
2026

14

Sep 13
50

Sep 20
77

Sep 27
?

Oct 11

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 59.5

Home 73% 11/15 · avg 73.3
Away 33% 6/18 · avg 52.6
vs NYG 25% 1/4 · avg 34.2

Alt lines all · how often Over cleared

O 49.5 73% 24/33
O 54.5 54% 18/33
O 59.5 Today 52% 17/33
O 64.5 42% 14/33
O 69.5 39% 13/33

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · WRs vs NYG

What NYG allowed to WRs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

Rec Yds133.8#20
Receptions10.4#21
Targets17.0#21
Yds/Target7.9#16
Rec TD1.0#12

WRs vs NYG · 2026

Each main WR who faced NYG this season: rec yds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm-2.9

Avg diff %-7%

Beat their average25% (2/8)

Date	Player	Result	Their avg	Diff
Oct 04	Michael Wilson	95	54.3	+75%
Oct 04	Marvin Harrison Jr.	12	24.3	-51%
Sep 27	Carnell Tate	58	70.0	-17%
Sep 27	Elic Ayomanor	11	34.0	-68%
Sep 21	Davante Adams	195	65.0	+200%
Sep 21	Konata Mumpfield	12	33.3	-64%
Sep 13	CeeDee Lamb	44	115.8	-62%
Sep 13	George Pickens	28	81.8	-66%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

WAS offense

WAS offense: Share of WAS pass attempts, last 10 games
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	7%13.0 yds	4%13.5 yds	12%5.9 yds
Short	30%5.2 yds	14%5.8 yds	33%5.4 yds

Share of WAS pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

NYG defense

NYG defense: Throws NYG faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	8%8.2 yds#25	3%15.8 yds#17	8%10.5 yds#18
Short	30%5.8 yds#15	16%7.6 yds#12	35%5.8 yds#11

Throws NYG faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His targets

His targets: Last 10 games
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	18%15.3 yds	8%14.2 yds	12%7.4 yds
Short	35%6.3 yds	6%3.2 yds	20%7.9 yds

Last 10 games · Yds/target

Each pass-catcher’s share of WAS targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.

#	Player	GP	Tgt/g	Total	Share
1	Stefon Diggs WR	4	7.8	31	24.3%
2	Terry McLaurin WR	3	7.3	22	23.4%
3	Antonio Williams WR	4	4.8	19	14.5%
4	Chig Okonkwo TE	2	3.5	7	10.7%
5	Dyami Brown WR	4	3.2	13	9.7%
6	Rachaad White RB	3	3.0	9	9.3%
7	John Bates TE	2	2.0	4	6.8%
8	Treylon Burks WR	3	2.0	6	6.0%
9	Austin Ekeler RB	1	2.0	2	5.6%
10	Jacory Croskey-Merritt RB	4	1.8	7	5.2%

Game log · 33 games

Date	Wk	Opp	Rec Yds	vs 59.5	Close	Snaps
2026-09-27	3	vs SEA	77	Over	42.5	52 (75%)
2026-09-20	2	@ DAL	50	Under	53.5	50 (70%)
2026-09-13	1	@ PHI	14	Under	52.5	61 (87%)
2026-01-04	18	@ PHI	57	Under	—	48 (70%)
2025-12-25	17	vs DAL	63	Over	55.5	38 (86%)
2025-12-20	16	vs PHI	53	Under	53.5	45 (83%)
2025-12-14	15	@ NYG	69	Over	69.5	46 (75%)
2025-12-07	14	@ MIN	41	Under	50.5	32 (62%)
2025-11-30	13	vs DEN	96	Over	37.5	46 (51%)
2025-10-27	8	@ KC	54	Under	60.5	25 (47%)
2025-09-21	3	vs LV	74	Over	49.5	35 (60%)
2025-09-11	2	@ GB	48	Under	—	63 (91%)
2025-09-07	1	vs NYG	27	Under	30.5	55 (79%)
2025-01-26	21 (P)	@ PHI	51	Under	—	68 (86%)
2025-01-18	20 (P)	@ DET	87	Over	—	70 (93%)
2025-01-12	19 (P)	@ TB	89	Over	—	57 (78%)
2025-01-05	18	@ DAL	62	Over	—	53 (91%)
2024-12-29	17	vs ATL	5	Under	—	68 (82%)
2024-12-22	16	vs PHI	60	Over	—	62 (91%)
2024-12-15	15	@ NO	73	Over	—	70 (90%)
2024-12-01	13	vs TEN	73	Over	—	66 (80%)
2024-11-24	12	vs DAL	102	Over	—	57 (81%)
2024-11-14	11	@ PHI	10	Under	—	47 (71%)
2024-11-10	10	vs PIT	113	Over	—	57 (89%)
2024-11-03	9	@ NYG	19	Under	—	46 (74%)
2024-10-27	8	vs CHI	125	Over	—	53 (72%)
2024-10-20	7	vs CAR	98	Over	—	49 (71%)
2024-10-13	6	@ BAL	53	Under	—	47 (80%)
2024-10-06	5	vs CLE	112	Over	—	45 (67%)
2024-09-29	4	@ ARI	52	Under	—	51 (71%)
2024-09-23	3	@ CIN	100	Over	—	50 (85%)
2024-09-15	2	vs NYG	22	Under	—	66 (92%)
2024-09-08	1	@ TB	17	Under	—	48 (81%)

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 59.5Underdog 59.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: PrizePicks, updated 13m ago.