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Game logs through Oct 8, 2026 · 171 players

Justin Jefferson WR

MIN vs NO ·

76.5 Rec Yds O -115U -115
Hit rate · This season 33%1/3 Odds imply 50.0% Over
Season avg
59.7
Graph avg
59.7
Graph median
55.032–92
Over the close
33%1/3
2026 per game
Targets5.7â–¼-2.6
Rec4.3â–¼-0.6
Rec Yds59.7â–¼-2.0
Rec TD0.7â–²+0.5
Snaps39.7â–¼-15.7
Snap %68.0%â–¼-26.2
Justin Jefferson receiving yards by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 76.5.
  1. 2026
    92
  2. 55
  3. 32
  4. ?

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 76.5

  • Home 67% 12/18 · avg 82.6
  • Away 35% 7/20 · avg 66.5
  • vs NO No games

Alt lines this season · how often Over cleared

  • O 56.5 33% 1/3
  • O 66.5 33% 1/3
  • O 76.5 Today 33% 1/3
  • O 86.5 33% 1/3
  • O 96.5 0% 0/3

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · WRs vs NO

What NO allowed to WRs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

Rec YdsReceptionsTargetsYds/TargetRec TD
  • Rec Yds114.7#31
  • Receptions9.4#31
  • Targets16.1#27
  • Yds/Target7.1#29
  • Rec TD0.8#16

WRs vs NO · 2026

Each main WR who faced NO this season: rec yds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm-3.4
Avg diff %+26%
Beat their average38% (3/8)
DatePlayerResultTheir avgDiff
Oct 05 Drake London9691.3+5%
Oct 05 Jahan Dotson5413.7+295%
Sep 27 Tre Tucker4363.3-32%
Sep 27 Cody White420.0-80%
Sep 20 Chris Moore628.5-79%
Sep 20 Rashod Bateman8827.7+218%
Sep 13 Amon-Ra St. Brown6778.7-15%
Sep 13 Isaac TeSlaa062.3-100%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

MIN offense

MIN offense: Share of MIN pass attempts, last 10 games
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep10%14.4 yds2%11.2 yds8%6.9 yds
Short26%4.6 yds18%7.0 yds35%5.2 yds

Share of MIN pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

NO defense

NO defense: Throws NO faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep9%7.7 yds#262%16.0 yds#157%12.2 yds#10
Short33%6.3 yds#913%6.7 yds#1737%4.6 yds#29

Throws NO faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His targets

His targets: Last 10 games
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep14%15.9 yds3%11.0 yds6%0.0 yds
Short23%2.2 yds22%9.8 yds32%6.9 yds

Last 10 games · Yds/target

Target share · MIN 2026

Each pass-catcher’s share of MIN targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.

#PlayerGPTgt/gTotalShare
1Justin Jefferson WR35.71726.2%
2T.J. Hockenson TE46.52624.5%
3Jordan Addison WR45.52222.3%
4Aaron Jones RB43.81513.1%
5Josh Oliver TE31.757.6%
6Tai Felton WR21.535.5%
7Jauan Jennings WR31.345.1%
8DeeJay Dallas RB40.833.2%
9Gavin Bartholomew TE11.013.0%
10Myles Price WR40.832.8%

Game log · 3 games

DateWkOppRec Ydsvs 76.5CloseSnaps
2026-09-273@ TB32Under75.57 (12%)
2026-09-202@ CHI55Under79.552 (100%)
2026-09-131vs GB92Over73.560 (92%)

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 77.5Underdog 79.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: BetMGM, updated 14m ago.