Game logs through Oct 8, 2026 · 171 players
Justin Jefferson WR
MIN vs NO ·
76.5 Rec Yds
O -115U -115
- Season avg
- 59.7
- Graph avg
- 48.0
- Graph median
- 40.04–101
- Over the close
- 22%2/9
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2025
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2026
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Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.
Splits all logged games · over 76.5
- Home 67% 12/18 · avg 82.6
- Away 35% 7/20 · avg 66.5
- vs NO No games
Alt lines last 10 · how often Over cleared
- O 56.5 30% 3/10
- O 66.5 30% 3/10
- O 76.5 Today 30% 3/10
- O 86.5 20% 2/10
- O 96.5 10% 1/10
Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.
Matchup radar · WRs vs NO
What NO allowed to WRs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.
- Rec Yds114.7#31
- Receptions9.4#31
- Targets16.1#27
- Yds/Target7.1#29
- Rec TD0.8#16
WRs vs NO · 2026
Each main WR who faced NO this season: rec yds in that game against their own average in their other games.
| Date | Player | Result | Their avg | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 05 |
Drake London | 96 | 91.3 | +5% |
| Oct 05 |
Jahan Dotson | 54 | 13.7 | +295% |
| Sep 27 |
Tre Tucker | 43 | 63.3 | -32% |
| Sep 27 |
Cody White | 4 | 20.0 | -80% |
| Sep 20 |
Chris Moore | 6 | 28.5 | -79% |
| Sep 20 |
Rashod Bateman | 88 | 27.7 | +218% |
| Sep 13 |
Amon-Ra St. Brown | 67 | 78.7 | -15% |
| Sep 13 |
Isaac TeSlaa | 0 | 62.3 | -100% |
Target zones
Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.
MIN offense
| Depth | Left | Middle | Right |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep | 10%14.4 yds | 2%11.2 yds | 8%6.9 yds |
| Short | 26%4.6 yds | 18%7.0 yds | 35%5.2 yds |
Share of MIN pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att
NO defense
| Depth | Left | Middle | Right |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep | 9%7.7 yds#26 | 2%16.0 yds#15 | 7%12.2 yds#10 |
| Short | 33%6.3 yds#9 | 13%6.7 yds#17 | 37%4.6 yds#29 |
Throws NO faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed
His targets
| Depth | Left | Middle | Right |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep | 14%15.9 yds | 3%11.0 yds | 6%0.0 yds |
| Short | 23%2.2 yds | 22%9.8 yds | 32%6.9 yds |
Last 10 games · Yds/target
Target share · MIN 2026
Each pass-catcher’s share of MIN targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.
| # | Player | GP | Tgt/g | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Justin Jefferson WR | 3 | 5.7 | 17 | 26.2% |
| 2 | T.J. Hockenson TE | 4 | 6.5 | 26 | 24.5% |
| 3 | Jordan Addison WR | 4 | 5.5 | 22 | 22.3% |
| 4 | Aaron Jones RB | 4 | 3.8 | 15 | 13.1% |
| 5 | Josh Oliver TE | 3 | 1.7 | 5 | 7.6% |
| 6 | Tai Felton WR | 2 | 1.5 | 3 | 5.5% |
| 7 | Jauan Jennings WR | 3 | 1.3 | 4 | 5.1% |
| 8 | DeeJay Dallas RB | 4 | 0.8 | 3 | 3.2% |
| 9 | Gavin Bartholomew TE | 1 | 1.0 | 1 | 3.0% |
| 10 | Myles Price WR | 4 | 0.8 | 3 | 2.8% |
Game log · 10 games
| Date | Wk | Opp | Rec Yds | vs 76.5 | Close | Snaps |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-27 | 3 | @ TB | 32 | Under | 75.5 | 7 (12%) |
| 2026-09-20 | 2 | @ CHI | 55 | Under | 79.5 | 52 (100%) |
| 2026-09-13 | 1 | vs GB | 92 | Over | 73.5 | 60 (92%) |
| 2026-01-04 | 18 | vs GB | 101 | Over | 71.5 | 51 (76%) |
| 2025-12-25 | 17 | vs DET | 30 | Under | 66.5 | 53 (98%) |
| 2025-12-21 | 16 | @ NYG | 85 | Over | 85.5 | 58 (95%) |
| 2025-12-14 | 15 | @ DAL | 22 | Under | 22.5 | 53 (96%) |
| 2025-12-07 | 14 | vs WAS | 11 | Under | 15.5 | 51 (80%) |
| 2025-11-30 | 13 | @ SEA | 4 | Under | 10.5 | 50 (96%) |
| 2025-11-23 | 12 | @ GB | 48 | Under | — | 44 (100%) |
Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 76.5Underdog 79.5
Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: BetMGM, updated 10m ago.