NFL Prop Research: Game Logs vs Today's Line

Cooper Kupp WR

SEA vs SF · Sun Oct 11 · 4:25 PM ET

23.5 Rec Yds O -114U -110

Hit rate · Last 20 80%16/20 Odds imply 50.4% Over

Season avg: 28.5
Graph avg: 36.4
Graph median: 35.06–74
Over the close: 62%10/16

2026 per game

Targets3.0▼-1.9

Rec2.2▼-1.0

Rec Yds28.5▼-11.0

Rec TD0.2▲+0.1

Snaps37.0▼-11.2

Snap %61.3%▼-14.5

2025

26

Sep 25
59

Oct 05
40

Oct 12
32

Oct 20
74

Nov 09
23

Nov 16
24

Nov 23
24

Nov 30
35

Dec 07
46

Dec 14
39

Dec 18
6

Dec 28
29

Jan 03
60

Jan 17
36

Jan 25
61

Feb 08
2026

35

Sep 09
20

Sep 20
46

Sep 27
13

Oct 04
?

Oct 11

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 23.5

Home 89% 16/18 · avg 44.7
Away 74% 14/19 · avg 45.2
vs SF 50% 2/4 · avg 26.0

Alt lines last 20 · how often Over cleared

O 13.5 90% 18/20
O 18.5 90% 18/20
O 23.5 Today 80% 16/20
O 28.5 65% 13/20
O 33.5 55% 11/20

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · WRs vs SF

What SF allowed to WRs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

Rec Yds124.3#26
Receptions10.2#22
Targets16.4#24
Yds/Target7.6#24
Rec TD0.7#23

WRs vs SF · 2026

Each main WR who faced SF this season: rec yds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm-20.5

Avg diff %-33%

Beat their average25% (2/8)

Date	Player	Result	Their avg	Diff
Oct 04	Jaylen Waddle	35	50.0	-30%
Oct 04	Pat Bryant	47	28.7	+64%
Sep 27	Michael Wilson	89	56.3	+58%
Sep 27	Kendrick Bourne	22	43.0	-49%
Sep 20	Malik Washington	43	58.7	-27%
Sep 20	Chris Bell	0	30.7	-100%
Sep 10	Davante Adams	26	121.3	-79%
Sep 10	Konata Mumpfield	0	37.3	-100%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

SEA offense

SEA offense: Share of SEA pass attempts, last 10 games
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	4%5.0 yds	3%11.7 yds	8%15.9 yds
Short	32%6.9 yds	19%7.4 yds	32%6.7 yds

Share of SEA pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

SF defense

SF defense: Throws SF faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	6%5.4 yds#29	3%15.8 yds#16	10%11.0 yds#15
Short	34%7.0 yds#5	12%4.4 yds#32	35%4.8 yds#26

Throws SF faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His targets

His targets: Last 10 games
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	11%12.0 yds	0%	7%15.0 yds
Short	24%7.9 yds	24%4.5 yds	33%6.9 yds

Last 10 games · Yds/target

Each pass-catcher’s share of SEA targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.

#	Player	GP	Tgt/g	Total	Share
1	Jaxon Smith-Njigba WR	4	10.5	42	37.3%
2	Rashid Shaheed WR	4	3.8	15	14.3%
3	AJ Barner TE	4	3.8	15	11.8%
4	Cooper Kupp WR	4	3.0	12	10.3%
5	Jadarian Price RB	3	2.3	7	7.6%
6	George Holani RB	4	2.0	8	6.0%
7	Emanuel Wilson RB	4	1.2	5	6.0%
8	Tory Horton WR	2	2.0	4	5.8%
9	Elijah Arroyo TE	1	1.0	1	3.8%
10	Brady Russell RB	3	1.0	3	3.5%

Game log · 20 games

Date	Wk	Opp	Rec Yds	vs 23.5	Close	Snaps
2026-10-04	4	vs LAC	13	Under	23.5	34 (57%)
2026-09-27	3	@ WAS	46	Over	19.5	45 (67%)
2026-09-20	2	@ ARI	20	Under	23.5	30 (43%)
2026-09-09	1	vs NE	35	Over	29.5	39 (78%)
2026-02-08	22 (P)	@ NE	61	Over	34.5	56 (78%)
2026-01-25	21 (P)	vs LA	36	Over	32.5	52 (78%)
2026-01-17	20 (P)	vs SF	60	Over	30.5	39 (74%)
2026-01-03	18	@ SF	29	Over	32.5	53 (77%)
2025-12-28	17	@ CAR	6	Under	10.5	58 (88%)
2025-12-18	16	vs LA	39	Over	18.5	63 (93%)
2025-12-14	15	vs IND	46	Over	31.5	45 (75%)
2025-12-07	14	@ ATL	35	Over	30.5	42 (69%)
2025-11-30	13	vs MIN	24	Over	25.5	51 (76%)
2025-11-23	12	@ TEN	24	Over	33.5	37 (77%)
2025-11-16	11	@ LA	23	Under	10.5	68 (81%)
2025-11-09	10	vs ARI	74	Over	23.5	33 (53%)
2025-10-20	7	vs HOU	32	Over	—	54 (75%)
2025-10-12	6	@ JAX	40	Over	—	39 (71%)
2025-10-05	5	vs TB	59	Over	—	54 (89%)
2025-09-25	4	@ ARI	26	Over	—	49 (74%)

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 23.5Underdog 24.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: DraftKings, updated 11m ago.