NFL Prop Research: Game Logs vs Today's Line

Darnell Mooney WR

NYG vs WAS · Sun Oct 11 · 1:00 PM ET

17.5 Rec Yds O -114U -114

Hit rate · Last 20 70%14/20 Odds imply 50.0% Over

Season avg: 23.8
Graph avg: 28.8
Graph median: 24.50–74
Over the close: 37%7/19

2026 per game

Targets2.5▼-2.3

Rec1.5▼-0.6

Rec Yds23.8▼-5.8

Rec TD0.0▼-0.1

Snaps36.5▼-15.4

Snap %57.0%▼-24.9

2024

37

Dec 29
2025

20

Sep 14
44

Sep 21
15

Sep 28
68

Oct 19
11

Oct 26
15

Nov 02
17

Nov 09
34

Nov 16
74

Nov 23
25

Nov 30
6

Dec 07
35

Dec 11
24

Dec 21
35

Dec 29
20

Jan 04
2026

27

Sep 13
48

Sep 21
20

Sep 27
0

Oct 04
?

Oct 11

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 17.5

Home 71% 12/17 · avg 38.0
Away 83% 15/18 · avg 49.1
vs WAS 50% 1/2 · avg 26.0

Alt lines last 20 · how often Over cleared

O 7.5 90% 18/20
O 12.5 85% 17/20
O 17.5 Today 70% 14/20
O 22.5 55% 11/20
O 27.5 40% 8/20

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · WRs vs WAS

What WAS allowed to WRs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

Rec Yds155.9#10
Receptions13.3#4
Targets20.6#4
Yds/Target7.6#25
Rec TD1.0#11

WRs vs WAS · 2026

Each main WR who faced WAS this season: rec yds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm+2.8

Avg diff %+19%

Beat their average62% (5/8)

Date	Player	Result	Their avg	Diff
Oct 04	Josh Downs	16	62.0	-74%
Oct 04	Laquon Treadwell	42	27.0	+56%
Sep 27	Jaxon Smith-Njigba	128	117.7	+9%
Sep 27	Cooper Kupp	46	22.7	+103%
Sep 20	CeeDee Lamb	153	88.5	+73%
Sep 20	George Pickens	40	78.8	-49%
Sep 13	DeVonta Smith	53	91.0	-42%
Sep 13	Dontayvion Wicks	73	41.3	+77%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

NYG offense

NYG offense: Share of NYG pass attempts, last 10 games
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	9%12.4 yds	3%10.8 yds	8%9.1 yds
Short	34%6.3 yds	20%5.9 yds	26%5.5 yds

Share of NYG pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

WAS defense

WAS defense: Throws WAS faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	6%4.8 yds#30	4%19.6 yds#6	7%15.5 yds#4
Short	31%5.5 yds#21	16%9.6 yds#2	36%4.9 yds#25

Throws WAS faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His targets

His targets: Last 10 games
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	19%10.3 yds	5%0.0 yds	8%6.0 yds
Short	38%6.6 yds	14%6.2 yds	16%4.3 yds

Last 10 games · Yds/target

Each pass-catcher’s share of NYG targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.

#	Player	GP	Tgt/g	Total	Share
1	Isaiah Likely TE	4	8.8	35	31.0%
2	Malik Nabers WR	4	6.5	26	24.1%
3	Malachi Fields WR	4	3.8	15	13.1%
4	Darnell Mooney WR	4	2.5	10	9.4%
5	Cam Skattebo RB	4	2.2	9	8.7%
6	Devin Singletary RB	2	2.5	5	8.5%
7	Theo Johnson TE	3	2.0	6	6.5%
8	Patrick Ricard RB	2	1.5	3	5.2%
9	Odell Beckham Jr. WR	1	1.0	1	4.8%
10	Braxton Berrios WR	4	0.2	1	0.9%

Game log · 20 games

Date	Wk	Opp	Rec Yds	vs 17.5	Close	Snaps
2026-10-04	4	vs ARI	0	Under	20.5	37 (55%)
2026-09-27	3	vs TEN	20	Over	17.5	28 (44%)
2026-09-21	2	@ LA	48	Over	19.5	42 (72%)
2026-09-13	1	vs DAL	27	Over	20.5	39 (57%)
2026-01-04	18	vs NO	20	Over	20.5	52 (83%)
2025-12-29	17	vs LA	35	Over	35.5	37 (70%)
2025-12-21	16	@ ARI	24	Over	10.5	54 (70%)
2025-12-11	15	@ TB	35	Over	35.5	65 (92%)
2025-12-07	14	vs SEA	6	Under	42.5	49 (77%)
2025-11-30	13	@ NYJ	25	Over	25.5	66 (96%)
2025-11-23	12	@ NO	74	Over	47.5	37 (66%)
2025-11-16	11	vs CAR	34	Over	33.5	61 (92%)
2025-11-09	10	@ IND	17	Under	20.5	57 (90%)
2025-11-02	9	@ NE	15	Under	15.5	56 (100%)
2025-10-26	8	vs MIA	11	Under	56.5	45 (90%)
2025-10-19	7	@ SF	68	Over	50.5	54 (83%)
2025-09-28	4	vs WAS	15	Under	29.5	29 (45%)
2025-09-21	3	@ CAR	44	Over	44.5	59 (89%)
2025-09-14	2	@ MIN	20	Over	20.5	57 (86%)
2024-12-29	17	@ WAS	37	Over	—	62 (97%)

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 17.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: FanDuel, updated 8m ago.