NFL Prop Research

TJ

Theo Johnson TE

NYG vs WAS · Sun Oct 11 · 1:00 PM ET

2.5 Rec Yds

Hit rate · All 90%26/29 Odds imply —

Season avg

6.7

Graph avg

30.3

Graph median

29.00–77

Over the close

41%7/17

2026 per game

Targets2.0▼-2.9

Rec0.7▼-2.3

Rec Yds6.7▼-28.5

Rec TD0.3+0.0

Snaps23.3▼-34.8

Snap %35.7%▼-51.1

Splits all logged games · over 2.5

• Home 87% 13/15 · avg 23.5
• Away 93% 13/14 · avg 37.6
• vs WAS 100% 3/3 · avg 42.7

Alt lines all · how often Over cleared

• O 2.5 Today 90% 26/29
• O 7.5 83% 24/29
• O 12.5 72% 21/29

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · TEs vs WAS

What WAS allowed to TEs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

• Rec Yds65.6#7
• Receptions5.2#17
• Targets6.9#23
• Yds/Target9.5#1
• Rec TD1.1#1

TEs vs WAS · 2026

Each main TE who faced WAS this season: rec yds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm+32.5

Avg diff %+252%

Beat their average100% (3/3)

Date	Player	Result	Their avg	Diff
Oct 04	IND Tyler Warren	41	29.7	+38%
Sep 27	SEA AJ Barner	69	11.0	+527%
Sep 20	DAL Jake Ferguson	43	14.8	+192%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

NYG offense

NYG offense: Share of NYG pass attempts, last 10 games

Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	9%12.4 yds	3%10.8 yds	8%9.1 yds
Short	34%6.3 yds	20%5.9 yds	26%5.5 yds

Share of NYG pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

WAS defense

WAS defense: Throws WAS faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed

Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	6%4.8 yds#30	4%19.6 yds#6	7%15.5 yds#4
Short	31%5.5 yds#21	16%9.6 yds#2	36%4.9 yds#25

Throws WAS faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His targets

His targets: Last 10 games

Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	14%9.5 yds	2%42.0 yds	7%23.3 yds
Short	19%4.0 yds	26%4.1 yds	33%6.4 yds

Last 10 games · Yds/target

Target share · NYG 2026

Each pass-catcher’s share of NYG targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.

#	Player	GP	Tgt/g	Total	Share
1	Isaiah Likely TE	4	8.8	35	31.0%
2	Malik Nabers WR	4	6.5	26	24.1%
3	Malachi Fields WR	4	3.8	15	13.1%
4	Darnell Mooney WR	4	2.5	10	9.4%
5	Cam Skattebo RB	4	2.2	9	8.7%
6	Devin Singletary RB	2	2.5	5	8.5%
7	Theo Johnson TE	3	2.0	6	6.5%
8	Patrick Ricard RB	2	1.5	3	5.2%
9	Odell Beckham Jr. WR	1	1.0	1	4.8%
10	Braxton Berrios WR	4	0.2	1	0.9%

Game log · 29 games

Date	Wk	Opp	Rec Yds	vs 2.5	Close	Snaps
2026-10-04	4	vs ARI	11	Over	8.5	22 (33%)
2026-09-21	2	@ LA	0	Under	9.5	16 (28%)
2026-09-13	1	vs DAL	9	Over	14.5	32 (46%)
2025-12-21	16	vs MIN	0	Under	0.5	54 (96%)
2025-12-14	15	vs WAS	72	Over	37.5	59 (87%)
2025-12-01	13	@ NE	29	Over	23.5	49 (89%)
2025-11-23	12	@ DET	77	Over	24.5	64 (78%)
2025-11-16	11	vs GB	36	Over	—	66 (92%)
2025-11-09	10	@ CHI	75	Over	75.5	71 (97%)
2025-11-02	9	vs SF	27	Over	37.5	49 (86%)
2025-10-26	8	@ PHI	20	Over	31.5	51 (98%)
2025-10-19	7	@ DEN	66	Over	25.5	68 (88%)
2025-10-09	6	vs PHI	27	Over	30.5	62 (90%)
2025-10-05	5	@ NO	33	Over	17.5	60 (82%)
2025-09-28	4	vs LAC	17	Over	18.5	53 (70%)
2025-09-21	3	vs KC	10	Over	10.5	57 (86%)
2025-09-14	2	@ DAL	34	Over	20.5	56 (84%)
2025-09-07	1	@ WAS	5	Over	10.5	53 (78%)
2024-11-28	13	@ DAL	54	Over	—	56 (89%)
2024-11-24	12	vs TB	39	Over	—	43 (73%)
2024-11-10	10	@ CAR	37	Over	—	69 (92%)
2024-11-03	9	vs WAS	51	Over	—	55 (85%)
2024-10-28	8	@ PIT	35	Over	—	70 (97%)
2024-10-20	7	vs PHI	0	Under	—	52 (90%)
2024-10-13	6	vs CIN	30	Over	—	70 (89%)
2024-10-06	5	@ SEA	48	Over	—	56 (78%)
2024-09-26	4	vs DAL	6	Over	—	49 (71%)
2024-09-22	3	@ CLE	13	Over	—	58 (81%)
2024-09-08	1	vs MIN	18	Over	—	61 (86%)

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 2.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: PrizePicks, updated 4m ago.