Game logs through Oct 8, 2026 · 171 players
Dalton Kincaid TE
BUF vs LAR ·
51.5 Rec Yds
O -111U -113
- Season avg
- 67.5
- Graph avg
- 50.4
- Graph median
- 39.50–130
- Over the close
- 44%4/9
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2025
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2026
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Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.
Splits all logged games · over 51.5
- Home 28% 5/18 · avg 45.2
- Away 19% 3/16 · avg 41.1
- vs LAR No games
Alt lines last 10 · how often Over cleared
- O 41.5 40% 4/10
- O 46.5 40% 4/10
- O 51.5 Today 30% 3/10
- O 56.5 30% 3/10
- O 61.5 30% 3/10
Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.
Matchup radar · TEs vs LAR
What LAR allowed to TEs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.
- Rec Yds38.5#27
- Receptions4.3#24
- Targets7.3#17
- Yds/Target5.3#31
- Rec TD0.4#16
TEs vs LAR · 2026
Each main TE who faced LAR this season: rec yds in that game against their own average in their other games.
| Date | Player | Result | Their avg | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 04 |
Johnny Mundt | 0 | 6.0 | -100% |
| Sep 27 |
Evan Engram | 0 | 22.0 | -100% |
| Sep 21 |
Isaiah Likely | 33 | 52.3 | -37% |
| Sep 10 |
George Kittle | 12 | 77.3 | -84% |
Target zones
Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.
BUF offense
| Depth | Left | Middle | Right |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep | 8%6.4 yds | 7%18.7 yds | 7%16.8 yds |
| Short | 29%7.2 yds | 13%7.3 yds | 37%5.8 yds |
Share of BUF pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att
LAR defense
| Depth | Left | Middle | Right |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep | 7%10.0 yds#16 | 4%16.3 yds#14 | 8%6.9 yds#30 |
| Short | 31%6.0 yds#11 | 20%4.6 yds#31 | 30%5.8 yds#12 |
Throws LAR faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed
His targets
| Depth | Left | Middle | Right |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep | 7%6.0 yds | 12%13.0 yds | 9%19.5 yds |
| Short | 33%13.1 yds | 19%9.0 yds | 21%9.8 yds |
Last 10 games · Yds/target
Target share · BUF 2026
Each pass-catcher’s share of BUF targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.
| # | Player | GP | Tgt/g | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Khalil Shakir WR | 4 | 5.8 | 23 | 20.3% |
| 2 | DJ Moore WR | 4 | 5.0 | 20 | 18.4% |
| 3 | Dalton Kincaid TE | 4 | 4.8 | 19 | 17.1% |
| 4 | Keon Coleman WR | 4 | 4.0 | 16 | 14.0% |
| 5 | Ty Johnson RB | 2 | 3.0 | 6 | 11.0% |
| 6 | Josh Palmer WR | 3 | 3.0 | 9 | 10.4% |
| 7 | James Cook RB | 4 | 2.5 | 10 | 8.9% |
| 8 | Dawson Knox TE | 4 | 1.5 | 6 | 5.3% |
| 9 | Jackson Hawes TE | 1 | 1.0 | 1 | 3.8% |
| 10 | Ray Davis RB | 3 | 0.3 | 1 | 1.1% |
Game log · 10 games
| Date | Wk | Opp | Rec Yds | vs 51.5 | Close | Snaps |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-04 | 4 | vs NE | 7 | Under | 47.5 | 35 (59%) |
| 2026-09-27 | 3 | vs LAC | 38 | Under | 57.5 | 44 (67%) |
| 2026-09-17 | 2 | vs DET | 95 | Over | 50.5 | 49 (66%) |
| 2026-09-13 | 1 | @ HOU | 130 | Over | 38.5 | 42 (72%) |
| 2026-01-17 | 20 (P) | @ DEN | 83 | Over | 35.5 | 38 (49%) |
| 2026-01-11 | 19 (P) | @ JAX | 28 | Under | 30.5 | 28 (44%) |
| 2026-01-04 | 18 | vs NYJ | 48 | Under | — | 10 (13%) |
| 2025-12-21 | 16 | @ CLE | 0 | Under | 0.5 | 19 (38%) |
| 2025-12-14 | 15 | @ NE | 34 | Under | 42.5 | 25 (36%) |
| 2025-12-07 | 14 | vs CIN | 41 | Under | 35.5 | 22 (34%) |
Pick’em lines: Underdog 49.5PrizePicks 50.5
Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: DraftKings, updated 13m ago.