Game logs through Oct 8, 2026 · 171 players
Aaron Jones Sr. RB
MIN vs NO ·
72.5 Rush Yds
O -114U -114
- Season avg
- 74.2
- Graph avg
- 58.9
- Graph median
- 55.53–105
- Over the close
- 78%7/9
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2025
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2026
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Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.
Splits all logged games · over 72.5
- Home 38% 6/16 · avg 59.4
- Away 39% 7/18 · avg 60.0
- vs NO No games
Alt lines last 10 · how often Over cleared
- O 52.5 60% 6/10
- O 62.5 40% 4/10
- O 72.5 Today 40% 4/10
- O 82.5 30% 3/10
- O 92.5 20% 2/10
Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.
Matchup radar · RBs vs NO
What NO allowed to RBs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.
- Rush Yds113.1#7
- Yds/Carry4.4#16
- Rush TD1.2#3
- Targets4.1#31
- Rec Yds24.1#28
RBs vs NO · 2026
Each main RB who faced NO this season: rush yds in that game against their own average in their other games.
| Date | Player | Result | Their avg | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 05 |
Bijan Robinson | 145 | 116.3 | +25% |
| Sep 27 |
Ashton Jeanty | 56 | 69.3 | -19% |
| Sep 20 |
Derrick Henry | 68 | 102.0 | -33% |
| Sep 13 |
Jahmyr Gibbs | 156 | 65.7 | +138% |
Target zones
Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.
MIN offense
| Depth | Left | Middle | Right |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep | 10%14.4 yds | 2%11.2 yds | 8%6.9 yds |
| Short | 26%4.6 yds | 18%7.0 yds | 35%5.2 yds |
Share of MIN pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att
NO defense
| Depth | Left | Middle | Right |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep | 9%7.7 yds#26 | 2%16.0 yds#15 | 7%12.2 yds#10 |
| Short | 33%6.3 yds#9 | 13%6.7 yds#17 | 37%4.6 yds#29 |
Throws NO faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed
His targets
| Depth | Left | Middle | Right |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Short | 22%3.9 yds | 20%4.5 yds | 58%4.1 yds |
Last 10 games · Yds/target
Target share · MIN 2026
Each pass-catcher’s share of MIN targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.
| # | Player | GP | Tgt/g | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Justin Jefferson WR | 3 | 5.7 | 17 | 26.2% |
| 2 | T.J. Hockenson TE | 4 | 6.5 | 26 | 24.5% |
| 3 | Jordan Addison WR | 4 | 5.5 | 22 | 22.3% |
| 4 | Aaron Jones RB | 4 | 3.8 | 15 | 13.1% |
| 5 | Josh Oliver TE | 3 | 1.7 | 5 | 7.6% |
| 6 | Tai Felton WR | 2 | 1.5 | 3 | 5.5% |
| 7 | Jauan Jennings WR | 3 | 1.3 | 4 | 5.1% |
| 8 | DeeJay Dallas RB | 4 | 0.8 | 3 | 3.2% |
| 9 | Gavin Bartholomew TE | 1 | 1.0 | 1 | 3.0% |
| 10 | Myles Price WR | 4 | 0.8 | 3 | 2.8% |
Game log · 10 games
| Date | Wk | Opp | Rush Yds | vs 72.5 | Close | Snaps |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-04 | 4 | vs MIA | 94 | Over | 66.5 | 57 (73%) |
| 2026-09-27 | 3 | @ TB | 58 | Under | 52.5 | 47 (80%) |
| 2026-09-20 | 2 | @ CHI | 105 | Over | 54.5 | 42 (81%) |
| 2026-09-13 | 1 | vs GB | 40 | Under | 29.5 | 30 (46%) |
| 2025-12-25 | 17 | vs DET | 53 | Under | 60.5 | 35 (65%) |
| 2025-12-21 | 16 | @ NYG | 85 | Over | 53.5 | 39 (64%) |
| 2025-12-14 | 15 | @ DAL | 34 | Under | 25.5 | 32 (58%) |
| 2025-12-07 | 14 | vs WAS | 76 | Over | 55.5 | 29 (45%) |
| 2025-11-30 | 13 | @ SEA | 3 | Under | 10.5 | 19 (37%) |
| 2025-11-23 | 12 | @ GB | 41 | Under | — | 29 (66%) |
Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 72.5Underdog 72.5
Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: FanDuel, updated 14m ago.