NFL Prop Research: Game Logs vs Today's Line

Rhamondre Stevenson RB

NE vs NYJ · Sun Oct 18 · 1:00 PM ET

62.5 Rush Yds O -114U -114

Hit rate · Last 20 25%5/20 Odds imply 50.0% Over

Season avg: 45.4
Graph avg: 48.0
Graph median: 47.05–131
Over the close: 45%9/20

2026 per game

Carries11.4▲+1.0

Rush Yds45.4▼-0.2

Rush TD0.4+0.0

Targets3.8▲+0.9

Rec3.0▲+0.6

Rec Yds22.2▼-4.0

Snaps43.2▲+3.3

Snap %62.0%▲+0.2

62.5

2025

38

Sep 28
14

Oct 05
18

Oct 12
88

Oct 19
34

Oct 26
5

Nov 23
40

Dec 01
50

Dec 14
51

Dec 21
47

Dec 28
131

Jan 04
53

Jan 11
70

Jan 18
71

Jan 25
23

Feb 08
2026

51

Sep 09
43

Sep 20
22

Sep 27
47

Oct 04
64

Oct 11
?

Oct 18

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 62.5

Home 39% 7/18 · avg 52.4
Away 25% 5/20 · avg 45.2
vs NYJ 0% 0/3 · avg 39.3

Alt lines last 20 · how often Over cleared

O 42.5 60% 12/20
O 52.5 30% 6/20
O 62.5 Today 25% 5/20
O 72.5 10% 2/20
O 82.5 10% 2/20

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · RBs vs NYJ

What NYJ allowed to RBs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

Rush Yds113.9#4
Yds/Carry4.5#8
Rush TD0.9#8
Targets5.3#17
Rec Yds38.6#5

RBs vs NYJ · 2026

Each main RB who faced NYJ this season: rush yds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm-9.2

Avg diff %-16%

Beat their average0% (0/5)

Date	Player	Result	Their avg	Diff
Oct 11	Quinshon Judkins	44	44.2	-1%
Oct 04	D'Andre Swift	58	74.0	-22%
Sep 27	Jahmyr Gibbs	99	101.2	-2%
Sep 20	MarShawn Lloyd	20	23.0	-13%
Sep 13	Tony Pollard	35	59.5	-41%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

NE offense

NE offense: Share of NE pass attempts, last 10 games
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	13%10.4 yds	3%10.5 yds	11%13.6 yds
Short	31%5.8 yds	15%7.4 yds	27%6.1 yds

Share of NE pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

NYJ defense

NYJ defense: Throws NYJ faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	8%10.0 yds#17	4%14.6 yds#18	8%13.0 yds#8
Short	32%5.6 yds#20	20%6.9 yds#16	28%6.2 yds#5

Throws NYJ faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His targets

His targets: Last 10 games
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	3%0.0 yds	0%	0%
Short	53%6.5 yds	8%21.0 yds	36%5.6 yds

Last 10 games · Yds/target

Each pass-catcher’s share of NE targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.

#	Player	GP	Tgt/g	Total	Share
1	Mack Hollins WR	4	5.0	20	16.7%
2	Romeo Doubs WR	5	4.6	23	15.3%
3	DeMario Douglas WR	5	4.4	22	14.6%
4	Hunter Henry TE	5	3.8	19	13.4%
5	A.J. Brown WR	1	4.0	4	12.9%
6	Rhamondre Stevenson RB	5	3.8	19	12.5%
7	Efton Chism III WR	4	3.2	13	10.5%
8	Reggie Gilliam RB	1	2.0	2	9.5%
9	Eli Raridon TE	4	2.2	9	7.4%
10	Kyle Williams WR	5	2.0	10	7.0%

Game log · 20 games

Date	Wk	Opp	Rush Yds	vs 62.5	Close	Snaps
2026-10-11	5	vs LV	64	Over	37.5	53 (71%)
2026-10-04	4	@ BUF	47	Under	32.5	50 (66%)
2026-09-27	3	@ JAX	22	Under	34.5	33 (52%)
2026-09-20	2	vs PIT	43	Under	48.5	20 (36%)
2026-09-09	1	@ SEA	51	Under	57.5	60 (85%)
2026-02-08	22 (P)	vs SEA	23	Under	48.5	45 (63%)
2026-01-25	21 (P)	@ DEN	71	Over	49.5	60 (94%)
2026-01-18	20 (P)	vs HOU	70	Over	39.5	40 (62%)
2026-01-11	19 (P)	vs LAC	53	Under	54.5	40 (62%)
2026-01-04	18	vs MIA	131	Over	32.5	28 (47%)
2025-12-28	17	@ NYJ	47	Under	70.5	32 (48%)
2025-12-21	16	@ BAL	51	Under	30.5	62 (84%)
2025-12-14	15	vs BUF	50	Under	38.5	35 (67%)
2025-12-01	13	vs NYG	40	Under	42.5	38 (58%)
2025-11-23	12	@ CIN	5	Under	10.5	22 (31%)
2025-10-26	8	vs CLE	34	Under	40.5	50 (74%)
2025-10-19	7	@ TEN	88	Over	44.5	49 (75%)
2025-10-12	6	@ NO	18	Under	45.5	46 (72%)
2025-10-05	5	@ BUF	14	Under	10.5	31 (52%)
2025-09-28	4	vs CAR	38	Under	50.5	28 (57%)

Pick’em lines: Underdog 59.5PrizePicks 63.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: FanDuel, updated 4m ago.