NFL Prop Research: Game Logs vs Today's Line

Kendre Miller RB

NO vs NYG · Sun Oct 18 · 1:00 PM ET

34.5 Rush Yds O -112U -112

Hit rate · Last 20 24%4/17 Odds imply 50.0% Over

Season avg: 20.8
Graph avg: 24.9
Graph median: 24.03–65
Over the close: 38%3/8

2026 per game

Carries7.2▲+0.5

Rush Yds20.8▼-6.8

Rush TD0.5▲+0.4

Targets1.5▲+0.8

Rec1.0▲+0.3

Rec Yds3.8▼-0.5

Snaps18.2▲+2.1

Snap %26.2%▲+2.0

34.5

2024

36

Oct 17
16

Oct 27
32

Dec 08
46

Dec 15
15

Dec 23
3

Dec 29
2025

24

Sep 07
8

Sep 14
27

Sep 21
65

Sep 28
41

Oct 05
21

Oct 12
7

Oct 19
2026

30

Sep 13
14

Sep 27
9

Oct 05
30

Oct 11
?

Oct 18

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 34.5

Home 30% 3/10 · avg 23.2
Away 14% 1/7 · avg 27.4
vs NYG 50% 1/2 · avg 36.5

Alt lines last 20 · how often Over cleared

O 24.5 47% 8/17
O 29.5 41% 7/17
O 34.5 Today 24% 4/17
O 39.5 18% 3/17
O 44.5 12% 2/17

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · RBs vs NYG

What NYG allowed to RBs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

Rush Yds96.4#15
Yds/Carry4.4#13
Rush TD0.6#18
Targets3.5#32
Rec Yds21.9#29

RBs vs NYG · 2026

Each main RB who faced NYG this season: rush yds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm+17.4

Avg diff %+40%

Beat their average80% (4/5)

Date	Player	Result	Their avg	Diff
Oct 11	Jacory Croskey-Merritt	82	39.2	+109%
Oct 04	Jeremiyah Love	63	45.5	+38%
Sep 27	Tony Pollard	74	49.8	+49%
Sep 21	Kyren Williams	85	64.5	+32%
Sep 13	Javonte Williams	41	58.8	-30%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

NO offense

NO offense: Share of NO pass attempts, last 10 games
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	10%7.6 yds	3%18.2 yds	7%13.7 yds
Short	32%5.7 yds	15%8.7 yds	33%5.5 yds

Share of NO pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

NYG defense

NYG defense: Throws NYG faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	9%7.6 yds#27	2%21.6 yds#4	8%8.9 yds#26
Short	30%5.9 yds#15	15%8.2 yds#9	36%6.0 yds#9

Throws NYG faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His targets

His targets: Last 6 games
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	0%	0%	0%
Short	36%4.8 yds	9%11.0 yds	54%2.5 yds

Last 6 games · Yds/target

Each pass-catcher’s share of NO targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.

#	Player	GP	Tgt/g	Total	Share
1	Chris Olave WR	5	10.8	54	27.9%
2	Devaughn Vele WR	5	7.4	37	19.7%
3	Juwan Johnson TE	5	6.4	32	16.8%
4	Alvin Kamara RB	4	4.0	16	11.1%
5	Travis Etienne RB	3	4.3	13	9.5%
6	Bryce Lance WR	5	3.2	16	8.3%
7	Noah Fant TE	4	3.2	13	7.4%
8	Kendre Miller RB	4	1.5	6	3.5%
9	Kevin Austin Jr. WR	1	1.0	1	3.1%
10	CJ Donaldson RB	5	1.0	5	2.5%

Game log · 17 games

Date	Wk	Opp	Rush Yds	vs 34.5	Close	Snaps
2026-10-11	5	vs MIN	30	Under	23.5	14 (31%)
2026-10-05	4	vs ATL	9	Under	26.5	19 (26%)
2026-09-27	3	vs LV	14	Under	—	14 (19%)
2026-09-13	1	@ DET	30	Under	—	26 (29%)
2025-10-19	7	@ CHI	7	Under	35.5	2 (4%)
2025-10-12	6	vs NE	21	Under	31.5	22 (39%)
2025-10-05	5	vs NYG	41	Over	20.5	26 (39%)
2025-09-28	4	@ BUF	65	Over	14.5	21 (31%)
2025-09-21	3	@ SEA	27	Under	—	20 (27%)
2025-09-14	2	vs SF	8	Under	9.5	11 (15%)
2025-09-07	1	vs ARI	24	Under	24.5	11 (15%)
2024-12-29	17	vs LV	3	Under	—	8 (13%)
2024-12-23	16	@ GB	15	Under	—	22 (39%)
2024-12-15	15	vs WAS	46	Over	—	26 (47%)
2024-12-08	14	@ NYG	32	Under	—	18 (26%)
2024-10-27	8	@ LAC	16	Under	—	10 (14%)
2024-10-17	7	vs DEN	36	Over	—	20 (29%)

Pick’em lines: Underdog 29.5PrizePicks 34.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: DraftKings, updated 9m ago.