NFL Prop Research: Game Logs vs Today's Line

Javonte Williams RB

DAL vs GB · Sun Oct 18 · 8:20 PM ET

69.5 Rush Yds O -110U -114

Hit rate · All 31%12/39 Odds imply 49.6% Over

Season avg: 55.2
Graph avg: 51.8
Graph median: 45.0-2–135
Over the close: 36%5/14

2026 per game

Carries14.8▼-0.9

Rush Yds55.2▼-19.9

Rush TD1.2▲+0.5

Targets4.0▲+0.8

Rec3.4▲+1.2

Rec Yds18.8▲+10.2

Snaps50.0▲+1.9

Snap %77.2%▲+8.2

69.5

2024

23

Sep 08
17

Sep 15
12

Sep 22
77

Sep 29
61

Oct 06
23

Oct 13
88

Oct 17
44

Oct 27
42

Nov 03
1

Nov 10
59

Nov 17
-2

Nov 24
1

Dec 02
15

Dec 15
24

Dec 19
0

Dec 28
28

Jan 05
29

Jan 12
2025

54

Sep 04
97

Sep 14
76

Sep 21
85

Sep 28
135

Oct 05
29

Oct 12
116

Oct 19
41

Oct 26
83

Nov 03
93

Nov 17
87

Nov 23
59

Nov 27
67

Dec 04
91

Dec 14
34

Dec 21
54

Dec 25
2026

41

Sep 13
30

Sep 20
98

Sep 27
62

Oct 04
45

Oct 08
?

Oct 19

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 69.5

Home 37% 7/19 · avg 56.5
Away 25% 5/20 · avg 47.3
vs GB 100% 1/1 · avg 85.0

Alt lines all · how often Over cleared

O 49.5 49% 19/39
O 59.5 38% 15/39
O 69.5 Today 31% 12/39
O 79.5 26% 10/39
O 89.5 15% 6/39

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · RBs vs GB

What GB allowed to RBs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

Rush Yds113.5#5
Yds/Carry4.3#15
Rush TD1.5#1
Targets4.8#24
Rec Yds33.3#14

RBs vs GB · 2026

Each main RB who faced GB this season: rush yds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm-10.6

Avg diff %-17%

Beat their average20% (1/5)

Date	Player	Result	Their avg	Diff
Oct 11	D'Andre Swift	43	77.8	-45%
Oct 04	Bucky Irving	61	86.2	-29%
Sep 24	Bijan Robinson	194	96.5	+101%
Sep 20	Breece Hall	29	67.0	-57%
Sep 13	Aaron Jones	40	92.5	-57%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

DAL offense

DAL offense: Share of DAL pass attempts, last 10 games
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	8%9.5 yds	5%21.2 yds	5%14.8 yds
Short	34%6.3 yds	16%5.7 yds	33%5.8 yds

Share of DAL pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

GB defense

GB defense: Throws GB faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	10%14.1 yds#7	3%11.0 yds#30	7%7.5 yds#28
Short	26%5.3 yds#23	20%6.3 yds#23	34%6.1 yds#7

Throws GB faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His targets

His targets: Last 10 games
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	0%	0%	0%
Short	34%4.9 yds	20%4.1 yds	46%3.1 yds

Last 10 games · Yds/target

Each pass-catcher’s share of DAL targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.

#	Player	GP	Tgt/g	Total	Share
1	CeeDee Lamb WR	5	10.2	51	27.3%
2	George Pickens WR	5	8.2	41	22.2%
3	Ryan Flournoy WR	5	5.4	27	14.8%
4	Javonte Williams RB	5	4.0	20	11.2%
5	Jake Ferguson TE	5	4.2	21	11.1%
6	Jonathan Mingo WR	3	2.3	7	5.8%
7	KaVontae Turpin WR	5	1.4	7	3.6%
8	Brevyn Spann-Ford TE	5	1.2	6	3.3%
9	Luke Schoonmaker TE	3	1.0	3	2.7%
10	Tyler Goodson RB	2	1.0	2	2.4%

Game log · 39 games

Date	Wk	Opp	Rush Yds	vs 69.5	Close	Snaps
2026-10-08	5	vs TB	45	Under	66.5	51 (85%)
2026-10-04	4	@ HOU	62	Under	58.5	58 (74%)
2026-09-27	3	vs BAL	98	Over	54.5	56 (76%)
2026-09-20	2	vs WAS	30	Under	76.5	44 (80%)
2026-09-13	1	@ NYG	41	Under	75.5	41 (71%)
2025-12-25	17	@ WAS	54	Under	72.5	25 (27%)
2025-12-21	16	vs LAC	34	Under	34.5	33 (57%)
2025-12-14	15	vs MIN	91	Over	91.5	20 (29%)
2025-12-04	14	@ DET	67	Under	60.5	65 (79%)
2025-11-27	13	vs KC	59	Under	60.5	56 (78%)
2025-11-23	12	vs PHI	87	Over	75.5	58 (78%)
2025-11-17	11	@ LV	93	Over	97.5	52 (78%)
2025-11-03	9	vs ARI	83	Over	—	58 (87%)
2025-10-26	8	@ DEN	41	Under	45.5	53 (72%)
2025-10-19	7	vs WAS	116	Over	115.5	46 (69%)
2025-10-12	6	@ CAR	29	Under	—	47 (85%)
2025-10-05	5	@ NYJ	135	Over	—	46 (77%)
2025-09-28	4	vs GB	85	Over	—	55 (80%)
2025-09-21	3	@ CHI	76	Over	—	44 (59%)
2025-09-14	2	vs NYG	97	Over	—	64 (72%)
2025-09-04	1	@ PHI	54	Under	—	47 (77%)
2025-01-12	19 (P)	@ BUF	29	Under	—	31 (74%)
2025-01-05	18	vs KC	28	Under	—	23 (31%)
2024-12-28	17	@ CIN	0	Under	—	22 (37%)
2024-12-19	16	@ LAC	24	Under	—	33 (52%)
2024-12-15	15	vs IND	15	Under	—	34 (54%)
2024-12-02	13	vs CLE	1	Under	—	30 (45%)
2024-11-24	12	@ LV	-2	Under	—	38 (56%)
2024-11-17	11	vs ATL	59	Under	—	32 (52%)
2024-11-10	10	@ KC	1	Under	—	17 (29%)
2024-11-03	9	@ BAL	42	Under	—	39 (54%)
2024-10-27	8	vs CAR	44	Under	—	42 (58%)
2024-10-17	7	@ NO	88	Over	—	41 (63%)
2024-10-13	6	vs LAC	23	Under	—	37 (67%)
2024-10-06	5	vs LV	61	Under	—	40 (63%)
2024-09-29	4	@ NYJ	77	Over	—	35 (57%)
2024-09-22	3	@ TB	12	Under	—	35 (51%)
2024-09-15	2	vs PIT	17	Under	—	40 (66%)
2024-09-08	1	@ SEA	23	Under	—	36 (52%)

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 69.5Underdog 69.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: DraftKings, updated 13m ago.