NFL Prop Research

LBI

Luther Burden III WR

CHI vs ATL · Sun Oct 18 · 1:00 PM ET

2.5 Rush Yds

Hit rate · Last 20 35%7/20 Odds imply —

Season avg

4.4

Graph avg

2.8

Graph median

0.0-4–15

Over the close

12%1/8

2026 per game

Targets7.0▲+2.6

Rec4.6▲+1.5

Rec Yds53.2▲+11.0

Rec TD0.2▲+0.1

Snaps49.2▲+20.1

Snap %64.8%▲+23.0

Splits all logged games · over 2.5

• Home 42% 5/12 · avg 3.8
• Away 20% 2/10 · avg 1.0
• vs ATL No games

Alt lines last 20 · how often Over cleared

• O 2.5 Today 35% 7/20
• O 7.5 15% 3/20
• O 12.5 5% 1/20

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · WRs vs ATL

What ATL allowed to WRs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

• Rec Yds169.4#6
• Receptions13.1#5
• Targets21.6#1
• Yds/Target7.8#19
• Rec TD1.1#6

WRs vs ATL · 2026

Each main WR who faced ATL this season: rush yds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm-1.0

Avg diff %-176%

Beat their average25% (1/4)

Date	Player	Result	Their avg	Diff
Oct 11	BAL Zay Flowers	13	6.7	+95%
Oct 05	NO Barion Brown	-5	1.0	-600%
Sep 24	GB Matthew Golden	0	1.5	-100%
Sep 13	PIT DK Metcalf	0	2.8	-100%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

CHI offense

CHI offense: Share of CHI pass attempts, last 10 games

Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	7%13.8 yds	6%12.2 yds	8%6.7 yds
Short	22%5.8 yds	24%6.7 yds	32%5.6 yds

Share of CHI pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

ATL defense

ATL defense: Throws ATL faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed

Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	11%8.8 yds#23	2%18.7 yds#8	10%11.2 yds#15
Short	32%6.2 yds#9	15%5.8 yds#26	30%4.8 yds#26

Throws ATL faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His targets

His targets: Last 10 games

Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	6%12.8 yds	10%19.7 yds	7%4.4 yds
Short	26%7.7 yds	20%7.1 yds	30%6.8 yds

Last 10 games · Yds/target

Target share · CHI 2026

Each pass-catcher’s share of CHI targets this season (nflverse), with games and targets.

#	Player	GP	Tgt/g	Total	Share
1	Luther Burden III WR	5	7.0	35	21.9%
2	Kalif Raymond WR	5	5.4	27	17.7%
3	Rome Odunze WR	5	5.8	29	17.5%
4	Colston Loveland TE	5	4.6	23	14.2%
5	D'Andre Swift RB	5	3.2	16	9.7%
6	Roschon Johnson RB	3	2.7	8	6.9%
7	Cole Kmet TE	5	1.8	9	5.9%
8	Kyle Monangai RB	4	1.2	5	4.4%
9	Sam Roush TE	4	1.2	5	4.0%
10	Jahdae Walker WR	2	1.0	2	3.2%

Game log · 20 games

Date	Wk	Opp	Rush Yds	vs 2.5	Close	Snaps
2026-10-11	5	@ GB	2	Under	—	53 (77%)
2026-10-04	4	vs NYJ	11	Over	—	52 (56%)
2026-09-28	3	vs PHI	7	Over	—	44 (61%)
2026-09-20	2	vs MIN	0	Under	0.5	42 (57%)
2026-09-13	1	@ CAR	2	Under	0.5	55 (73%)
2026-01-18	20 (P)	vs LA	0	Under	0.5	43 (53%)
2026-01-10	19 (P)	vs GB	-4	Under	40.5	49 (63%)
2026-01-04	18	vs DET	10	Over	—	34 (62%)
2025-12-28	17	@ SF	0	Under	0.5	38 (58%)
2025-12-14	15	vs CLE	0	Under	0.5	26 (39%)
2025-12-07	14	@ GB	3	Over	—	50 (71%)
2025-11-28	13	@ PHI	3	Over	—	44 (51%)
2025-11-23	12	vs PIT	15	Over	—	33 (51%)
2025-11-16	11	@ MIN	0	Under	0.5	33 (44%)
2025-11-09	10	vs NYG	0	Under	—	33 (49%)
2025-10-26	8	@ BAL	0	Under	—	11 (17%)
2025-10-19	7	vs NO	-1	Under	—	19 (28%)
2025-10-13	6	@ WAS	0	Under	0.5	15 (23%)
2025-09-28	4	@ LV	0	Under	—	19 (28%)
2025-09-21	3	vs DAL	7	Over	—	17 (29%)

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 2.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: nflverse weekly player stats + nflverse schedules, nflverse snap counts. Target zones: nflverse play-by-play. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: PrizePicks, updated 6m ago.